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The author:(作者)delv
published in(发表于) 2013/10/27 10:40:35
By 2050,China is main victims beacause climate warming

ADB: by 2050 warming the main victims were the Chinese victims | | | warming ADB _ Sina News October 24, 2013 (editors: SN063)

Xinhuanet, Tokyo, October 24 (reporter Lan Jianzhong)-the Asian Development Bank recently published a new study reported by, if appropriate measures are not taken, by the year 2050, global warming will cause sea levels to rise up to make East Asia more than 1 million people face the risk of having to migrate, the main victims were Chinese.

This report on varying degrees of estimating the impact of climate warming on East Asia, analysis objects include China, Japan, and Korea and Mongolia.

Reported that the worst case by 2050 sea levels will be higher than that of 1990 37. 8 cm, if the lack of response, at which time coast has been drowned with erosion caused about 1.12 million people in China, Japan and South Korea must move, use $ 150 billion, of which China needs migration population is 1.05 million. Even in the medium scenario, sea levels would rise by 28. 5 cm, led to about 600,000 people in East Asia need to be migrated.

Reports also said that if no measures are taken, at worst annual losses of about 65 square kilometers of China and 36 square kilometers of wetlands in drylands; medium scenario, China's annual losses of 29 square kilometres of dry land and 31 square kilometres of wetlands. The worst cases, China in 2010 will total 25% coastal wetlands, Japan lost 35%, Korea 22%.

Report estimated that flooding, loss of land and immigration costs to make East coast suffered economic losses of as much as $ 55 billion a year, China will account for 96%. If appropriate measures are taken, such loss mitigation 99% can be almost completely avoid flooding risks and substantially mitigate the effects of erosion.

Report said that, according to the current mode of economic development continues, losses suffered by 2100 due to climate change in East Asia will account for 5 per cent of GDP. 3%, report covers all States will suffer worst in Mongolia.

In 2011, between East Asia address climate change the infrastructure costs would be between $ 8 billion and 63 billion dollars annually, including reinforcement of roads and buildings, construction of embankments. Relative to the overall financial expenditure in East Asia, the proportion of these costs are relatively small, averaging about 1%, worst case scenario is 2. 7%, of which China's relatively lower cost, Mongolia is highest.

It also pointed out that, in adapting to climate change, disaster mitigation at the same time, efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is also very important, establishing a greenhouse gas emissions trading system in East Asia, can be used as a low cost measures to tackle global warming.

(亚行:到2050年气候变暖主要受害者是中国|气候变暖|受害者|亚行_新浪新闻
2013年10月24日09:14
（编辑：SN063）

　　新华网东京10月24日电（记者 蓝建中）亚洲开发银行日前发表的一份最新研究报告称，如不采取相应措施，到2050年，全球变暖导致的海平面上升最多将使东亚地区100多万人面临不得不迁移的风险，主要受害者是中国。

　　这份报告对不同程度的气候变暖对东亚的影响进行了估算，分析对象包括中国、日本、韩国和蒙古国。

　　报告说，最坏情况下，到2050年海平面将比1990年上升37．8厘米，如果缺乏应对，届时海岸遭淹没与侵蚀将造成中日韩三国约112万人必须迁徙，耗费1500亿美元，其中中国需要迁移的人口为105万。即使在中等情形下，海平面也将上升28．5厘米，导致东亚地区约60万人需要迁移。

　　报告还说，如果不采取措施，最坏情况下中国每年将损失约65平方公里的旱地及36平方公里的湿地；中等情形下，中国将每年损失29平方公里的旱地和31平方公里的湿地。最坏情况下，中国在2010年至2050年间将总共损失25％的沿海湿地，日本损失35％，韩国损失22％。

　　报告估计，洪水、土地损失和移民成本将使东亚沿海地区每年遭受多达550亿美元的经济损失，中国将占96％。而如果采取恰当的应对措施，可将上述损失减轻99％，几乎完全避免淹没风险并大幅度减轻侵蚀影响。

　　报告还认为，如果经济发展按当前模式持续下去，到2100年东亚地区因气候变化遭受的损失将占国内生产总值的5．3％，报告涉及的所有国家都将受害，其中蒙古国最严重。

　　在2011年至2050年之间，东亚地区应对气候变化所需的基建成本将在每年80亿美元至630亿美元之间，包括加固道路和建筑物、建设堤防等。相对于东亚总体财政支出而言，上述成本所占比例相对较小，平均大约为1％，最坏情况下为2．7％，其中中国的相对成本较低，蒙古国最高。

　　报告同时指出，在适应气候变化、减轻灾害的同时，努力减少温室气体排放也非常重要，在东亚设立温室气体排放指标交易制度，可以作为解决气候变暖的低成本措施。

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