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The author:(作者)归海一刀
published in(发表于) 2013/11/14 3:10:16
Media interpretation bulletin： too much meticulousness expected itself is misunderstood

CPC 18 plenary session Communique has been widespread discussion in the international community, foreign economists and observers have been published for the first time. However, participants compared to the previous high tone, international analysts interpret disagreement to the Communique after the meeting, also expressed that the bulletin content is specific enough, less than expected.

For China, whether it be "contingency" or "qiuquanzhihui", is a reflection of its economic importance, should be based on common heart. International community to the phenomenon of the concern of the ins and outs of the Conference itself, but also important manifestation of China's economic clout.

To understand the plenary session Communique released by the reform signals needed to beware of two miscarriage trends: first, it is unrealistic to hope in plenary session from all the difficulties in the reform of China "accomplish the whole task at one stroke"; the other was too hasty without access to comprehensive information and lose confidence in China's reform.

Before the meeting, overseas analysis generally will focus in areas of finance, land, household registration, State-owned enterprises and financial and taxation, and looks forward to the plenary session we are quick to take out specific reform measures. Because of household registration reforms in areas such as finance, inking the Communique not much raised some suspicions. However, this is too expensive, too small for the expected itself, that is a misunderstanding of China's economy. Viewed from the past, plenary session only do programmatic deployment, are involved in fresh concrete reform measures, usually just open the curtain on a series of reforms rather than packages of specific reform measures, "everything". For example, at the third plenary session held two years later, work of the household contract responsibility system was established.

Therefore, United Kingdom Financial Times reported: "it does not contain a rule, should not be regarded as a disappointing result. "The United States a renowned China hand, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for international economics, Roddy also believes that communiqué indicated the direction of reform, programme would need to be more specific in the bulletin to fill.

In fact, many overseas media and analysts have noted that, and begin to shift direction to upcoming releases comprehensive reform of the CPC Central Committee on several major issues decided on, more details of reform measures and proposals for possible future.

United States think tank Brookings Institute senior China Economist, Mr David dodwell said: "accelerated reform intentions is obvious in the plenary session Communique ... ... Despite some reforms in the field of lack of detailed descriptions, but for some time to come will gradually clear. "He believes that these areas may include domicile, land and financial market reforms.

Although some overseas opinion divided reaction to the Communique after the meeting, but, in General, the prospects of China's reforms is still optimistic. It should be said that plenary session Communique highlighted the market in the allocation of resources from the "decisive" role. Under this course of market reform, and should have firm confidence in the future of China's economy. But it also should be aware that comprehensive reform of the system cannot be achieved overnight, "amidst" tone for reform would not change. Therefore, have confidence in the Chinese economy at the same time, China's reform should also have more patience.

As the Chief Strategist of UBS's global information management aidehua·bang said to the reporter, look at the global picture, along with the United States, Europe and Japan to economic cycles, global economic map will appear in the next 3-5 years new changes. 18 convening of the third plenary session of CPC, "time" is very good, Chinese policymakers need to more carefully control for China and the world economy as a whole, to imagine economic development and structural adjustment in the long run. According to Xinhua News Agency

　Sound

The market "decisive" can be understood as signalling

18 bulletin published on the third plenary session, they become the focus of international attention. In this focus, the market's "decisive" effect becomes almost all international media and observers are focusing on a keyword. Look like "coincidence", but it's not, it reflects the international community's common to China's economic reform "exciting".

"Closely around the market plays a decisive role in the allocation of resources to deepen economic reform"--causes of the attention from the communiqué sets out the outside world lies a core of China's economic reform is to deal with the relationship between Government and market.

The market "decisive" raised, will help push China's economy from the old factor input mode conversion to efficient drive mode, so as to "new engine of growth comes from" bring answers to problems.

International observers have noted, in the communiqué of the third plenary of about 5,000 words, 22 times in the "market". In addition to the significant, captured by the foreigners keen on important details of changes in the market.

United Kingdom the FT argues that Beijing has promised to let the market play "decisive" role can be understood as signals: the world's second-largest economy will end government practices that affect pricing. According to Xinhua News Agency

　Bulletin a lot is actually "actual situation with leniency"

"To a large extent, the innovation of China's current economic reform governance and practice. "The overseas media has dealt with. 18 plenary session Communique is nearly ten points "governance" to respond. From domination, manage to govern, overseas media and experts noted that China not only slight changes in the decision-making power, more perceived temperature and direction of China's future social and economic reforms.

Plenary session Communique noted that "comprehensive reform of the overall objective is to improve and develop the Socialist system with Chinese characteristics, promote the modernization of national governance systems and capacity to govern", "to be more reform-oriented systematic, holistic and synergetic". Many overseas media noted, the ruling party in China many of the references are first appeared on governance.

"Seen from the communiqué of the meeting, China fully demonstrated from control Government to service Government's commitment to change. "Venezuela luyisi·aoliweisi, an economist said.

Japan Yamato General Institute Executive Director jinsenjunshu told reporters that the Communique did not involve too many specific economic reform policies, but has clearly demonstrated willingness to deepen reform. Some foreign media noted that the bulletin a lot is actually "excess and deficiency with leniency", both "played a decisive role in the allocation of resources in the market" and other major qualitative description, corresponding regimes and systems design support. According to Xinhua News Agency

　　中共十八届三中全会公报已经在国际社会引发广泛讨论，海外经济学家和观察家纷纷在第一时间发表看法。不过，与会前较高的论调相比，国际分析人士对会后公报的解读存在分歧，还有人认为公报内容不够具体，不及预期。

其实对中国来说，无论是“不虞之誉”还是“求全之毁”，都是其经济重要性的反映，应以平常心对之。国际社会对这次会议前前后后高度关注的现象本身，也是中国经济影响力的重要体现。

　　要深入理解三中全会公报所释放的改革信号，需提防两种误判倾向：其一，是不切实际地希望中国全部改革难点能在三中全会“毕其功于一役”；其二，是在未获取全面信息的情况下过于草率地对中国改革失去信心。

　　在会前，海外分析普遍将关注焦点集中在金融、土地、户籍、国企和财税等领域，并期待三中全会能立刻拿出具体明确的改革措施。由于公报对金融、户籍等领域的改革着墨不多，引发部分猜疑。然而，这种过高、过细的预期本身，就是对中国经济的一种误解。从过往看，三中全会一般只做纲领性部署，鲜会涉及具体改革措施，通常只是开启一系列改革的大幕，而不会将整套具体改革措施“和盘托出”。例如在十一届三中全会召开两年后，包产到户的家庭联产承包责任制才确立。

　　因此，英国《金融时报》报道称：“公报未包含细则，不应被视为一个令人失望的结果。”美国一位知名中国通、彼得森国际经济研究所高级研究员罗迪也认为，公报已指明了改革方向，公报中的纲领将有待更多具体内容来填充。

　　事实上，不少海外媒体和分析人士已注意到这点，并开始将关注方向转移到即将发布的《中共中央关于全面深化改革若干重大问题的决定》上，以及未来可能出台的更多细节改革措施。

　　美国智库布鲁金斯学会资深中国经济研究员杜大伟说：“三中全会公报中加快改革的意图十分明显……尽管有些领域的改革没有详尽描述，但未来一段时间将逐步明确。”他认为，这些领域可能包括户籍、土地和金融市场改革。

　　虽然海外舆论对会后公报的反应存在分歧，不过总体上对中国改革前景依然乐观。应该说，三中全会公报突出强调了让市场在资源配置中起“决定性”作用。在这一市场化改革方向下，应对中国经济的未来抱有坚定信心。但同时也应意识到，全面系统的改革不可能一蹴而就，“稳中求进”的改革基调不会变化。因此，在对中国经济拥有信心的同时，还应对中国改革抱有更多耐心。

　　正如瑞银全球资管首席策略师爱德华·邦对记者所言，从全球大图景看，随着美、欧、日经济起伏，未来3到5年内全球经济版图或将出现新变化。中共十八届三中全会召开的“时机”非常好，中国决策层需更审慎地把控中国乃至世界经济全局，为经济发展和结构调整谋算长远。据新华社

　　■声音

　　市场“决定性”可理解为发信号

　　十八届三中全会公报甫一公布，就成为国际关注重点。而在这个重点中，市场的“决定性”作用成为几乎所有国际媒体和观察人士聚焦的一个关键词。看似“巧合”，实则不然，这反映出国际社会对中国经济改革的共同“兴奋点”。

　　“要紧紧围绕使市场在资源配置中起决定性作用深化经济体制改革”——这一来自公报的阐述令外界瞩目的原因，在于中国经济改革的一个核心就是处理好政府与市场的关系。

　　这一市场“决定性”的提出，将助推中国经济从旧有的要素投入模式向效率驱动模式转换，从而为“新的增长动力从何而来”的问题带来答案。

　　有国际观察家注意到，在约5000字的三中全会公报中，22次提到“市场”。除了数量可观，敏锐的海外人士更捕捉到关于市场表述的重要细节变化。

　　英国《金融时报》则认为，中国政府承诺让市场起“决定性”作用，可以理解为发出信号：全球第二大经济体将结束政府影响价格形成的做法。据新华社

　　公报很多表述其实是“虚实相济”

　　“在很大程度上，中国目前的经济改革是治理的创新和实践。”海外媒体曾这样论述。十八届三中全会公报则以近十处“治理”作出回应。从统治、管理到治理，海外媒体和专家不仅注意到中国决策层执政思路表述的些微变化，更据此感知中国未来社会经济改革的温度和方向。

　　全会公报指出，“全面深化改革的总目标是完善和发展中国特色社会主义制度，推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化”，“必须更加注重改革的系统性、整体性和协同性”。不少海外媒体注意到，中国执政党关于国家治理的很多提法都是首次出现。

　　“从会议公报看，中国完全展示了从管理型政府向服务性政府转变的决心。”委内瑞拉经济学家路易斯·奥利维斯说。

　　日本大和总研常务理事金森俊树告诉记者，公报虽然没涉及太多具体经济改革政策，但已明确展现出全面深化改革的意愿。一些海外媒体注意到，公报很多表述其实是“虚实相济”，既有“使市场在资源配置中起决定性作用”等重大定性描述，也有相应的制度和体制设计作为支撑。据新华社

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