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The author:(作者)hpmailerpublished in(发表于) 2013/11/19 11:47:13 Justin yifu Lin， by 2020， China’s per capita income would double
Wang Ziyue Shao Haipeng
"This could be since the third plenary session, our country's most important economic meetings. "Yesterday, Justin Lin, the State Council, read 18 third plenary session to be held at the Development Research Institute of Peking University says reform policy forums.
This session of the plenary, the economic focus of the reform is to deepen reform, the core issue is to deal with the relationship between Government and market. Justin yifu Lin said that from the third plenary session of the 14 plenary session, then 18 plenary session, our understanding of the relationship between Government and market as the reform process continued to deepen.
Justin yifu Lin, introduction, from experience, after World War II, many for the colonial or semi-colonial countries after independence, efforts to develop the country's modernization, and want to narrow the gap in the developed world, but most do not realize this wish.
Data show that only 13 economies from middle-income to a high-income economy. There are around 8 Western, like much of Western Europe, and the remaining 5 were Japan and the "Asian Tigers".
Over more than 180 developing economies in the world, also means that, after the second world war, the vast majority of countries fall into trap low-income or middle-income trap.
Lin believes that from many years of research experience, mainly cause this issue did not deal with the relationship between Government and market in the above countries. He said the technological innovation and industrial upgrading are a source of economic growth, but the vast majority of developing countries in World War II, and then select the structuralism, want a Government-led approach to overcome market failures. Strong emphasis on the role of Government in the allocation of resources, while ignoring market function. But the truth is just the opposite, in many countries a growing gap with the developed countries.
Determinism in the market the question for this year's plenary session, in Justin Lin's view, market-driven allocation of resources can eliminate various distortions, protection and subsidies on the one hand, on the one hand can make economic development in accordance with comparative advantage.
Emphasizes the role market-determined at the same time, the CPC Central Committee on several major issues of comprehensive reform decision also stressed that the Government should grasp this played an active role. "If so, also sustained, stable, healthy and rapid economic growth. I believe China also lasted 20 years, annual growth potential of 8%. "Lin predicted that by 2020, GDP, per capita income in China to achieve the doubling in 2010 on the basis of objectives.
"In 2010, China's per capita income of $ 4,400, double is $ 8,800, coupled with a stronger yuan, in 2020 the per capita income will reach $ 12,700. "Justin yifu Lin said that during this Government's term, China will become the third turn from low-income to middle-income, high-income economies.
For the launch of the Government's reform measures and market, Peking University Professor Li Ling believes that this is primarily aimed at excessive government intervention in the market.
"Of course, this does not mean that the Government will only play ' night watch ' role. "Li Ling said in the process of marketization, the responsibilities and role of the Government is to maintain macroeconomic stability, strengthen and improve public services, fair competition, strengthening market supervision and to compensate for market failures.
In the view of Li Ling, unlike the one-sided focus on economic reform, economic reform logical instructions on other reforms, this plenary on the one hand put forward the "played a decisive role in the market," one hand is no longer a "market economy" as a whole the objectives of the reform, but merely as one of the five reform goals.
In order to avoid sectoral interests interfere with senior decided to establish the Central leading group on comprehensive reform, departments under the State Council are implemented, reflecting separate policy-making, implementation, monitoring.
(Edit: SN091)November 18, 2013 First financial daily(林毅夫：到2020年中国人均收入将翻番|林毅夫|市场|人均收入_新闻资讯
王子约 邵海鹏
“这可能是十一届三中全会以来，我们国家最重要的经济会议。”昨日，国务院参事林毅夫在北京大学发展研究院举行的解读十八届三中全会改革政策论坛上表示。
本届全会提出，经济体制改革是全面深化改革的重点，核心问题是处理好政府和市场的关系。林毅夫称，从十一届三中全会到十四届三中全会，再到十八届三中全会，我们对政府和市场关系的认识随着改革的进程而不断深化。
林毅夫介绍，从经验来看，二次世界大战以后，很多原来为殖民地或半殖民地的国家独立后，努力发展国家的现代化，希望缩小和发达国家的差距，但绝大多数并不能实现这个愿望。
数据显示，只有13个经济体，从中等收入变成高等收入经济体。当中有8个是西欧周边，原来就跟西欧差距不大，其余5个是日本和“亚洲四小龙”。
世界上有180多个发展中经济体，也就意味着，二战后，绝大多数国家长期陷入低收入陷阱或者中等收入陷阱。
林毅夫认为，从多年的研究经验来看，造成这个问题的原因主要是上述国家没有处理好政府跟市场的关系。他称，技术创新和产业升级是经济增长的来源，但绝大多数发展中国家在二战后选择了结构主义，希望以政府主导的方式克服市场的失灵。高度强调政府在资源配置中的作用，而忽视了市场作用。而事实却刚好相反，许多国家与发达国家的差距越来越大。
对于本届三中全会提出的市场决定论，在林毅夫看来，让市场主导配置资源一方面可以消除各种扭曲、保护和补贴，一方面可以让经济按照比较优势来发展。
在强调市场决定作用的同时，《中共中央关于全面深化改革若干重大问题的决定》也强调政府也要发挥因势利导的积极作用。“如果这样，我国的经济还会持续、稳定、健康而且快速地增长。我相信中国还有持续20年左右，每年8%的增长潜力。”林毅夫预测，到2020年，我国GDP、人均收入能达到在2010年的基础上翻一番的目标。
“2010年，中国人均收入4400美元，翻一番是8800美元，加上人民币升值，那么在2020年人均收入将达到12700美元。”林毅夫称，也就是在这一任政府任期内，中国将成为第三个从低收入变成中等收入，再到高收入的经济体。
对于本次推出的关于政府与市场的改革措施，北大国发院教授李玲认为，这主要针对的是政府过度介入市场行为。
“当然，这并不意味着政府将仅仅扮演‘守夜人’的角色。”李玲表示，在市场化的过程中，政府的职责和作用主要是保持宏观经济稳定，加强和优化公共服务，保障公平竞争，加强市场监督，弥补市场失灵。
在李玲看来，不同于过去片面侧重经济改革，用经济改革的逻辑指导其他改革，此次全会一方面提出了“市场起决定性作用”；另一方面不再把“市场经济”作为整体改革的目标，而是仅仅作为五大改革之一的目标。
而为避免部门利益干扰，高层决定建立中央全面深化改革领导小组，国务院各部门都是执行者，体现决策、执行、监督分开。
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