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The author:(作者)hpmailerpublished in(发表于) 2013/11/19 11:51:14 Shanghai in October， new-home prices rose for the first time the country’s first
Evening news reported Zhang Jun you
"Hu's seven" quick introduction today, there seems to be a very good explanation of why. This morning, the Bureau in October, prices in 70 cities in new residential sales statistics show that in 70 cities, prices rose there are 69 cities, Shanghai rose 21.4%, for the first time become the country's highest. Worth noting is that in 144 square meters of new residential buildings, Shanghai also rose 21.7% to become the country's first.
Industry analysts, in Shanghai in October to improve housing stock prices rose rapidly, as its price rose in the country's first major cause, it also makes Government was determined to improve project control once again.
Property market regulation and power all over already visible
In October for the real estate market, the control frequency, and this has also been reflected in the index today. Senior Statistician of the NBS City Division Liu Jianwei said that on the whole, preliminary estimates, 70 cities in newly built commercial housing prices compared with an average gain of 0.7%, than the average figures for the September gains narrowed 0.2%.
City view, first-tier cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, figures for the newly built commercial housing price increase than in September have narrowed. 4 tier cities newly built commercial housing prices compared with an average gain of 0.9%, than the average figures for the September gains narrowed 0.5%. Seen from the highest rise quarter on quarter comparison, 70 cities, October figures for the price of newly-built commercial residential high rises to 1.3%, up quarter on quarter rise than in September narrowed 0.6%. And Shanghai from September the chain rose 1.6%-October rose cent, upward trend eased.
"The October rates rise quarter on quarter to narrow, and further strengthening of regulatory policy related in some cities. "Interpretation of Liu Jianwei said. In its view, the chain gains narrowed in part because developers keep an eye on "ten gold, nine silver," the traditional sales season, is pushing a new project, increases in market supply, and to some extent eased the pressure of price rises. The other hand, some cities on the part of the project also further tightened the approval conditions of sale prices, house prices rise quarter on quarter have been contained.
At the same time, 70 cities in newly-built commercial housing prices rose with a relatively low base of comparison in the same month of last year have a certain relationship. Preliminary estimates, last October, prices in 70 cities in newly built commercial residential up to 1.1%. In addition, changes in prices between cities still varies, per cent inflation is higher, are still mainly concentrated in first-tier cities and a two or three tier cities, the majority of urban housing prices rose overall smooth. In addition, Liu Jianwei stressed that determine secular trends in the price also take into account changes in the fixed base index. Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other cities in recent months this year despite the newly-built commercial housing prices rose more in the year, but from a 2010 price-fixed base index of 100, each of the three years have averaged at around 7% per cent.
New homes in Shanghai rose 21.4%
New homes rose 21.4%, making Shanghai the first to ascend the country's first. Seen from the classification project, whether it is in September compared with a year ago as compared to October, 144 square improvement availability rises are still evident, in particular, remains more than 20% per cent, ranked first in the country. In the industry's view, is the main reason prices climb in Shanghai.
From strategy consulting research data show that 2013-October, commodity houses sold in Shanghai area has exceeded 10 million square meters mark, 10.52 million square meters, is expected to contract 12 million square meters. Which, January-October merchandise residential main just needed (area 100 square following, total 2 million within) sold area accounted for city proportion for 26.54%, improved type needs (area in 100-180 square Zhijian, total in 2.005 billion Zhijian) sold area accounted for city proportion reached 25.45%, 2013 years Qian October improved type needs in total increased based Shang, overall accounted for city sold area proportion also more 2012 throughout 24.23% rose 1.22%. "Qi Sheng's case, led to the overall price rise. "Zhang Hongwei, Director, strategic research Advisory Board analyze.
Shanghai real estate researcher Yan Yuejin said summing up Shanghai, Shanghai more closely controlled at the per cent quarter on quarter, rose a relatively stronger among the 70 cities in the first place. This also makes it necessary for government departments to curb regulation, in Shanghai, "Shanghai's seven" under the policy, some purchasers of the home ownership schemes had been interrupted, including two mortgage payments, buyers purchase seniority in the field to meet, increased home ownership costs. This will further undermine part of raising prices of disturbance factors and change the rise in house prices is expected in the future.
Hongwei ZHANG, Director of China Strategic Advisory Research Department also noted that the two mortgage downpayments perform not less than 70% policy may be for part of the population, especially for the first time to improve this population have an impact, leading to this part of the demand reset. Judging from the end of this period, high-end real estate sales or will be affected.
(Original title: Shanghai new homes rose for the first time the country first)
晚报记者 张骏斓 报道
“沪七条”快速出台的原因今天似乎有了很好的解释。今天上午，国家统计局发布的10月份70个大中城市新建住宅销售价格统计数据显示，70个大中城市中，价格同比上涨的城市有69个，上海涨幅为21.4%，首次成为全国最高。值得注意的是，在144平方米以上的新建住宅分项中，上海也以上涨21.7%成为全国第一。
业内人士分析，申城10月改善型房源的价格上涨迅猛，成为其价格同比涨幅全国第一的主要原因，这也使得政府部门下定决心对一些改善型项目进行再度调控。
各地楼市调控威力已经显现
10月对于房地产市场而言，可谓各地调控频出，而这在今天房价指数中也得到体现。国家统计局城市司高级统计师刘建伟指出，从总体上看，初步测算，70个大中城市新建商品住宅价格环比平均涨幅为0.7%，比9月份的环比平均涨幅收窄0.2个百分点。
分城市看，北京、上海、广州、深圳等一线城市新建商品住宅价格环比涨幅比9月份均有所收窄。 4个一线城市新建商品住宅价格环比平均涨幅为0.9%，比9月份的环比平均涨幅收窄0.5个百分点。从环比最高涨幅比较看，70个大中城市中，10月份新建商品住宅价格环比最高涨幅为1.3%，比9月份的环比最高涨幅收窄0.6个百分点。而上海也从9月份的环比上涨1.6%下降至10月的环比上涨0.8%，上涨趋势有所缓解。
“10月份房价环比涨幅收窄，与部分城市进一步强化调控政策有关。 ”刘建伟解读道。在其看来，环比涨幅收窄一方面是由于开发商看好“金九银十”这一传统销售旺季，力推新项目，市场供应量增加，一定程度上房价上涨的压力有所缓解。另一方面，一些城市对部分项目也进一步严格了房价的销售审批条件，房价环比涨幅受到了抑制。
同时，70个大中城市新建商品住宅价格同比上涨与去年同月对比基数相对较低有一定关系。初步测算，去年10月份70个大中城市新建商品住宅同比价格下降1.1%。另外，城市之间房价变动仍是差异较大，同比价格上涨较多的，仍主要集中在一线城市和少数二、三线城市，大部分城市房价同比涨幅总体平稳。另外，刘建伟强调，判断房价长期变动趋势还要参考定基指数的变化。北京、上海、广州、深圳等一线城市尽管今年近几个月新建商品住宅价格当年同比上涨较多，但从以2010年价格为100的定基指数看，三年来每年平均涨幅在7%-8%左右。
上海新建住宅同比上涨21.4%
新建住宅同比上涨21.4%，使得上海今年首次登顶全国第一。从分类项目看，无论是与9月相比还是与去年10月相比，144平方米改善型房源的上涨幅度依旧明显，尤其是同比仍然上涨2成以上，雄踞全国首位。而这在业内人士看来，则是上海价格登顶的主要原因。
来自同策咨询研究部数据显示，2013年1-10月，上海商品住宅成交面积已经突破1000万平方米大关，达到1052万平方米，预计全年成交1200万平方米左右。其中，1-10月商品住宅主力刚需 (面积100平方米以下，总价200万以内)成交面积占全市比例为26.54%，改善型需求(面积在100-180平方米之间，总价在200-500万之间)成交面积占全市比例达到25.45%，2013年前10月改善型需求在总量增加基础上，总体占全市成交面积比例也较2012年全年24.23%上升1.22%。 “量价齐升的情况下，导致了整体房价攀升。 ”同策研究咨询部总监张宏伟分析道。
上海易居房地产研究院研究员严跃进则表示，纵观上海市场，上海在环比涨幅上控制得较严密，而同比涨幅相对更为强劲，位列70个城市首位。这也使得政府部门必须进行抑制调控，在目前上海“沪七条”的政策下，部分置业者的置业计划被打乱了，包括二套房贷的付款比例、外地置业者购房资格年限的满足，都增强了相应的置业成本。这会进一步削弱部分抬高房价的扰动因素，并改变未来房价的上涨预期。
同策咨询研究部总监张宏伟也指出，二套房贷首付比例执行不低于70%政策可能会对于部分人群尤其是首次改善这类人群产生影响，导致这部分需求后置。从年底这个时间段来看，高端楼盘销售或将受到一定影响。
(原标题：上海新房同比涨幅首次全国第一)
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