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The author:(作者)delvpublished in(发表于) 2014/1/20 9:12:39 2013 economic data announced today that GDP growth is likely to reach 7.7%
CNS, Beijing, January 20 (reporter Li Jinlei)-2013 to be published today by the National Bureau of economic operation. At that time, headline gross domestic product (GDP), both urban and rural residents ' income and other data will be announced. Experts estimate that in 2013 targets GDP growth exceeding 7.5% a foregone conclusion, is expected to be about 7.7%.
2013 increased GDP, or about 7.7%
Enter the 2013, China's economic growth for the second consecutive quarter of decline, GDP growth in the first quarter of 7.7%, 7.5%, GDP growth in the second quarter. In the new Government to take a series of steady growth, promoting the reform of policy measures under the action of the economy back in positive territory in the third quarter, an increase of 7.8%.
"At this point, in 2013, seen as sure to achieve the desired objective of 7.5%, GDP growth is estimated to be up to 7.7%. "The macroeconomic Research Department of the development research center of the State Council researcher Zhang Liqun said in an interview with Xinhua reporters.
Dr Cao Yuanzheng, Chief Economist of China pointed out that recent indicators, such as industrial production, credit, consumption and export, four-quarter 2013 would maintain overall good, but the impact of 2012 high-cardinality, GDP growth is likely to be a minor fall, initially expected in 2013, annual GDP growth of around 7.7% in 2012, were flat.
Latest data showed that December 2013, China's manufacturing purchasing managers ' index (PMI) of 51%, more than 15 consecutive months at tipping point; 2013 RMB loans increased by 8.89 trillion yuan for the year, up more than sum of $ 687.9 billion in 2013, total import and export volume amounted to us $ 4.16 trillion, an increase of 7.6%, 2012 increase compared to 1.4%.
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Institute of financial strategy recently released the report on China's macroeconomic operations (2013-2014) points out that in 2013, to restore the economic dip, expects annual GDP growth 7.7%. The report said that the future economic stability will be improved, economic growth may even be slightly improved, but still needs effective regulation of macro policies, and to do so in "steady growth, adjusting economic structure and promoting reform," seeking balance.
GDP growth this year, or slightly better than in 2013
The recent central economic work Conference, a clear, 2014 economic work should stick to steady improvement, innovation, and seize the opportunity to maintain reasonable GDP growth, advance economic structure adjustment, and strive to achieve increased quality and efficiency of economic development also entails no sequelae speed.
2014 year of economic news, lianping, Chief Bank economist pointed out, small improvements in external demand in the future, potential growth capacity support and reform dividend under the effect of sustained release and moderate stimulation of macro policies, China's economy maintained rapid growth can still be.
Lianping expects over 2014 GDP growth was slightly better than in 2013, will remain at reasonable intervals of 7.5% per cent, initially is expected to be around 7.8% and less volatile quarter, running smoothly all year round.
Lianping pointed out that in 2014, the world economy is expected to gradually get out of the shadow of the international financial crisis, overall was slightly better than in 2013, export growth will be increased; pace of urbanization, exports improved pull manufacturing investment rebounded, as well as reform and promoting investment in services under the environment, 2014 investment growth roughly unchanged from the previous year.
At the same time, since 2013 introduced the promotion of information consumption policies will gradually mature, the Government will further intensify their efforts at promoting consumption, but efforts to control air pollution policies in an expanded, more and more cities to purchase the car restrictions will affect the automobile consumption. Consolidated is expected in 2014, total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by around 13.6%, slightly more than in 2013.
In addition, the institution for 2014 GDP growth forecasts are generally not less than 7.5%. Center for forecasting science Chinese Academy of Sciences predicted in 2014 after China's economic growth was below the level before the higher trend, estimated GDP growth rate for the year is 7.6%, the State information center, 2014, China's GDP growth is expected to be at around 7.5%, but suggested that the expected increase in 2014 g DP objectives identified as 7%. (End text)
(Original title: 2013 economic data today announced GDP growth or up to 7.7%)
中新网北京1月20日电 (记者 李金磊)国家统计局今日将公布2013年国民经济运行情况。届时，备受关注的国内生产总值(GDP)、城乡居民收入等数据将一并揭晓。专家预计，2013年GDP增速超过7.5%的预期目标几成定局，预计可达7.7%左右。
2013年GDP或增7.7%左右
进入2013年，中国经济增速连续两个季度下滑，一季度GDP增长7.7%，二季度GDP增长7.5%。在新一届政府采取的一系列稳增长、促改革的政策措施作用下，三季度中国经济重拾升势，同比增长7.8%。
“目前来看，2013年实现7.5%的预期目标几成定局，预计GDP增速可达7.7%。”国务院发展研究中心宏观经济研究部研究员张立群在接受中新网记者采访时表示。
中国银行首席经济学家曹远征指出，从最近工业生产、信贷、消费和出口等指标来看，2013年四季度经济将保持总体向好，但受2012年高基数的影响，GDP增速可能会有小幅回落，初步预计2013年全年GDP增长7.7%左右，与2012年基本持平。
最新数据显示，2013年12月中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为51.0%，连续15个月位于临界点以上；2013年全年人民币贷款增加8.89万亿元，同比多增6879亿元；2013年进出口总值达4.16万亿美元，同比增长7.6%，比2012年提高1.4个百分点。
中国社科院财经战略研究院近期发布的《中国宏观经济运行报告(2013—2014)》指出，2013年中国经济探底回稳，预计全年GDP增长7.7%。报告还认为，未来经济运行的稳定性将有所提高，经济增速甚至可能会略有提升，但仍需要宏观政策的有效调控，并且要在“稳增长、调结构与促改革”中寻求平衡。
今年GDP增速或略好于2013年
不久前召开的中央经济工作会议明确，2014年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、改革创新，抓住机遇保持国内生产总值合理增长、推进经济结构调整，努力实现经济发展质量和效益得到提高又不会带来后遗症的速度。
对于2014年的经济走势，交通银行首席经济学家连平指出，未来在外部需求小幅改善、潜在增长能力支撑、改革红利持续释放和宏观政策适度刺激的作用下，中国经济继续保持中高速增长仍然可期。
连平预计，2014年GDP同比增速将略好于2013年，仍将维持在7.5%—8%的合理区间，初步预计在7.8%左右，且季度波动较小，全年运行平稳。
连平指出，2014年世界经济有望逐步走出国际金融危机的阴影，总体略好于2013年，出口将对增长贡献有所增大；在城镇化加快步伐、出口改善拉动制造业投资回升以及改革促进服务业投资的大环境下，2014年投资增速大致会与上年持平。
同时，2013年以来出台的促进信息消费等政策会逐步见效，政府还会进一步加大促进消费的力度，但治理大气污染的政策力度在加大，越来越多的城市对汽车进行限购限行，将影响汽车消费。综合预计，2014年社会消费品零售总额增长13.6%左右，略高于2013年。
此外，机构对2014年GDP增速的预测值普遍未低于7.5%。中国科学院预测科学研究中心预测2014年中国经济增长呈前低后高之势，预计全年GDP增速为7.6%，国家信息中心预计2014年中国GDP增速将维持在7.5%左右，但建议将2014年的G DP预期增长目标确定为7%。(完)
（原标题：2013年经济数据今日公布 GDP增速或达7.7%）
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