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The author:(作者)delv
published in(发表于) 2014/1/27 8:54:42
7.7%-than-expected GDP growth in Shanghai, urban residents ’ income growth slows

Shanghai 7.7%-than-expected GDP growth of urban residents ' income growth slows | Shanghai | GDP| economic growth _ news

Xu Huiyun


Consecutive years ranked behind GDP growth in Shanghai, was achieved in 2013 beyond the intended target (7.5%) growth (7.7%).


Shanghai Municipal Government held a press conference yesterday, 2013-economy Shanghai, statistics. Results showed that Shanghai's GDP last year of 2,160,212,000,000 yuan, up 7.7% over the previous year, an increase of 0.2% increase in 2012. Shanghai Municipal Bureau of statistics Chief Economist Jun Yan said, Shanghai's economy to achieve a "steady".


  Steady


Shanghai's economic growth has been fairly stable in 2013, each quarter's economic growth rate, 7.8%,, 7.8%, respectively, and "the amplitude of only 0.2%, in 2012 compared with narrow 0.5%. "Jun Yan said.


In addition, the tertiary sector be the major factor in overall economic growth in Shanghai. Shanghai tertiary industry growth rate reached 8.8%, faster than secondary industry 2.7%. Tertiary industry further rose to 62.6% per cent of GDP in 2013, raising 1.8%.


Meanwhile, Shanghai 2013 achieved above-scale industrial added value of 676.964 billion dollars for the year, rose 6.6%, increases to improve 2012.


However, the development of Shanghai's industrial sector as a whole is divided. Several key industries such as automotive, medical, petrochemical, grew faster than number two or near double digits. Electronic information products manufacturing, iron and steel, complete sets of equipment and other industries, are still down. Jun Yan said that the world economic recovery is not strong, so Shanghai industrial economic order is there is a lack of. And for some labour-intensive industries in Shanghai, also in the adjustment of industrial structure.


According to the Government work report of Shanghai Mayor Yang Xiong, 2014, Shanghai's GDP growth target remained at around 7.5%.


  Faster growth in real estate investment


In fixed assets investment in Shanghai real estate development investment is 281.959 billion yuan last year, an increase of 18.4%.


Compatible with that, Shanghai commercial housing sales grow faster. In 2013 the city's home sales 23.822 million square meters, up 25.5% over the previous year, with apartment sales 20.1581 million square meters, an increase of 26.6%.


Jun Yan explained that real estate regulation in the first half of last year, "five" policy before and after short-term market demands a concentrated release, resulted in surging housing stock is sold. "Shanghai's seven" after the introduction of turnover growth rate fell, but still maintain high growth rates.


In the rapid growth of investment in real estate development, and sold at the same time, Shanghai's housing prices are rising at the same time. In 2013, the Shanghai new apartment sales prices and second-hand residential sales price increases and 14.2%, respectively.


In the 23rd, the Shanghai Municipal Government told a press conference, Yang Xiong, repeatedly asked about Shanghai's housing prices and real estate regulation issues. Yang Xiong said the fluctuations in the property market does sometimes get surprising. "In 2014, we aim to keep prices stable in the property market. ”


Shanghai party Secretary Han Zheng recently in Shanghai CPPCC Committee on special consideration on Shanghai's private enterprises development says, top taxpayer in Shanghai's private enterprises are mostly in the real estate industry. "List I looked at it and I don't feel at ease. "Han Zheng said, indicating the structure of Shanghai's private enterprises are not strong enough.


The Shanghai Municipal Government Development Research Center, also said in a report, pulling large 2013 economic growth of Shanghai's real estate industry. 2013 the first three quarters of the year, the real estate industry's contribution to the economic growth rate reached 8%. Once the housing market to decline in the future, a greater impact on economic growth.


  City residents pay income



Increase in 5-year low


Data show that in 2013, the city's urban and rural residents ' disposable income increase of 9.1% over the same period a year earlier, after deducting the price increase of 6.6%.


Jun Yan explains, the main cause of urban residents ' income growth slowed, is wage income growth is relatively slow. 2013 Shanghai urban households per capita wage income was 28,518 Yuan, rose by 6.6%. The increase fell 2012, since 2009, the lowest increase.


2012 in Shanghai's economic growth rate has slowed, economic efficiency of industrial enterprises in decline, which led directly to enterprise workers year-end bonuses and pay increases in 2013, to adversely affect the resident wage income. "Wage income and economic growth has some relevance, but this relationship often reflected after a year or so, a lag of a year or so. "Jun Yan said.


However, disposable income of rural residents in Shanghai increased 10.4% over in 2012, allowing for price factors increase 7.9%, slightly outperform GDP growth. This change also makes 2.31 times times the per capita incomes of urban and rural residents by 2012, narrowed to 2.28 times.


(Original title: 2013 7.7%, Shanghai's GDP increased more than expected)

January 27, 2014 First financial daily
(
上海GDP增长7.7%超预期 城市居民收入增长减缓|上海|GDP|经济增长_新闻资讯

  胥会云


  连续几年GDP增速排名落后的上海,2013年实现了超出预期目标(7.5%)的增速(7.7%)。


  上海市政府昨日召开新闻发布会,发布2013年上海市国民经济运行统计数据。结果显示,上海去年全年实现生产总值21602.12亿元,比上年增长7.7%,增幅比2012年提高0.2个百分点。上海市统计局总经济师严军称,上海经济实现了“稳中有进”。


  稳中有进


  2013年上海经济增长可谓相当稳定,各个季度经济增长速度分别为7.8%、7.6%、7.8%、7.6%,“整个波幅仅为0.2个百分点,与2012年相比缩小0.5个百分点。”严军说。


  此外,第三产业成为拉动上海整个经济增长的主要因素。上海第三产业增速达到8.8%,比第二产业快2.7个百分点。第三产业占地区生产总值2013年进一步上升到62.6%,提高1.8个百分点。


  与此同时,上海2013年全年实现规模以上工业增加值6769.64亿元,比上年增长6.6%,增幅比2012年提高3.7个百分点。


  不过,上海整个工业行业的发展还是有分化。几个重点发展行业如汽车、医药、石化,增速超过两位数或者接近两位数。但电子信息产品制造、钢铁、成套设备等行业,仍然在下降。严军说,世界经济复苏力度不强,所以上海工业经济订单还是存在一定不足。且上海对于一些劳动密集型产业,也在调整产业结构。


  根据上海市市长杨雄的政府工作报告,2014年上海生产总值的增长目标依然定在了7.5%左右。


  房地产投资增长较快


  在全社会固定资产投资中,上海去年房地产开发投资2819.59亿元,增长18.4%。


  与之对应,上海商品房销售速度增长也比较快。2013年全市商品房销售面积2382.2万平方米,比上年增长25.5%,其中商品住宅销售面积2015.81万平方米,增长26.6%。


  严军解释,去年上半年房地产调控“国五条”政策出台前后,短期市场需求有一个集中释放,导致存量房成交激增。虽然“沪七条”出台后成交增速有所回落,但仍保持高速增长。


  在房地产开发投资和成交快速增长的同时,上海房价也同时上涨。2013年,上海新建商品住宅销售价格和二手住宅销售价格同比分别上涨14.2%和9.7%。


  在23日举行的上海市政府记者招待会上,杨雄就屡次被问及上海的房价和房地产调控问题。杨雄表示,房地产市场的波动确实有时候会出乎意料。“2014年,我们的房地产市场目标还是保持房价平稳。”


  上海市委书记韩正在日前参加上海两会上政协专题审议时谈及上海民营企业发展现状说,上海民营企业纳税百强中绝大部分都是房地产行业。“单子看了以后我觉得心里不踏实。”韩正表示,这说明上海民营企业的结构还不够健壮。


  此前上海市政府发展研究中心也曾发布报告称,2013年上海经济增长受房地产业的拉动较大。2013年前三季度,房地产业对经济增长的贡献率达到8%。未来一旦房市回落,对经济增长的影响较大。


  城市居民工资性收入



  增幅5年最低


  数据显示,2013年本市城乡居民可支配收入比上年同期增长9.1%,扣除价格因素增长6.6%。


  严军解释,造成城市居民收入增长减缓的主要原因,是工资性收入增长相对比较缓慢。2013年上海市城市居民家庭人均工资性收入是28518元,比上年增长6.6%。这个增幅比2012年回落了2.8个百分点,也是2009年以来最低的增幅。


  2012年上海市经济增长速度有所放缓,工业企业经济效益在下滑,这些都直接导致了企业就业人员年终奖金发放和2013年的加薪情况,对居民工资性收入产生不利影响。“工资性收入是与宏观经济增长有一定相关性,而且这种相关性往往是在之后的一年左右得到体现,有一年左右的滞后期。”严军说。


  不过,上海农村居民可支配收入比2012年同期增长10.4%,扣除价格因素增长7.9%,略微跑赢了GDP增速。这个变化也使得城乡居民人均收入比由2012年的2.31倍,缩小到了2.28倍。


(原标题:2013上海GDP增7.7%超出预期)


2014年01月27日01:52
第一财经日报
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