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The author:(作者)归海一刀
published in(发表于) 2014/3/24 3:45:17
Guiyang new houses can be up to 3 million people， or into a new “ghost town“

　　Reference news net reported on March 24 , foreign media said that large-scale urban redevelopment project in Guizhou are triggering concerns about significant excess supply of real estate market, there is concern that the province's capital Guiyang may be reduced to "ghost town".

Australia the Sydney Morning Herald website reported on March 22 next year is the proud Guiyang will have a place, it's a seven-star hotel. Will build a new "world class" amusement parks, theaters and other facilities. Guiyang is not satisfied with the "twin towers". For a city, and if there is no light rail shuttle, how can you be successful? Guiyang construction of the light rail.

But reports say, Guiyang in the change plan, the most ambitious of several of its construction of a huge number of residential projects. The next few years, housing construction large enough to accommodate 3 million people in Guiyang. This worrying and Ordos, and Wenzhou, Guiyang, China and a "ghost town".

Given China's already struggling to cope with the huge surge in the shadow banking system and the risk of local government debt, analysts warned that the crisis in China's overheated real estate market is potentially huge.

Zhang Zhiwei, an analyst at Nomura Securities, said: "we believe that on the real estate market to take significant remedial actions could lead to a full-blown crisis in China, we believe that this is the greatest risk facing the economy is currently in China. ”

Reports, it continues to be a reality for the contrary view. Most investors found that China's urbanization will shore up its real estate market. Apart from Wenzhou, the rising prices in many parts of the country each month, some cities rise alarming.

However, as Zhang Zhiwei said, far more than he has this concern Nomura Research team, led by this group. Li Wei, Director of development research center of the State Council said that last year, further expansion of the real estate bubble, which effectively has become stable and healthy development of the Chinese economy's most unpredictable risks.

Famous real estate enterprises of China vanke Chairman Wang Shi said last year, rising prices in China and Japan in the late 1980 of the 20th century is similar to the situation during the period of the bubble economy.

News that the legendary Hong Kong business tycoon Li Ka-shing, have been busy with the mainland China property written off from its own portfolio. Wang said, this is a sign of concern.

In addition, earlier this month, the Suri Sun issued bonds of listed companies unable to notice of the interest payment for the full amount due.

Chinese Prime Minister Li keqiang said this month that the individual circumstances of breach of financial products in China are hard to avoid. Reports that this statement highlights the delicate position facing the Chinese authorities, that is to risk possible moral risk on the one hand, on the other hand also to face the possibility of further weakening confidence in the domestic financial sector.

(Original title: Guizhou new homes can be up to 3 million people, or a new "ghost town")

　　参考消息网3月24日报道 外媒称，贵州的大规模城市再开发项目正在引发对于房地产市场供应严重过剩的担忧，有人担心该省的省会贵阳可能沦为“鬼城”。

　　据澳大利亚《悉尼先驱晨报》网站3月22日报道，明年贵阳将拥有一个值得夸耀之处，那就是一座七星级酒店。这里将建设新的“世界级”游乐园、剧院等设施。贵阳不满足于拥有“双子塔”。对于一座城市而言，如果没有轻轨在其中穿梭，怎么能称得上圆满？贵阳就在建设这样的轻轨。

　　不过报道称，在贵阳大变身的计划当中，最野心勃勃的要数它要建设的数量庞大的住宅项目。今后几年，贵阳的住房建设规模足以再容纳300万人。这让人担心贵阳将和鄂尔多斯及温州一样，成为中国又一座“鬼城”。

　　鉴于中国已经在努力应对庞大的影子银行系统和激增的地方政府债务所带来的风险，分析人士警告说，中国过热的房地产市场潜伏着巨大的危机。

　　野村证券的分析师张智威说：“我们认为，对房地产市场采取大幅度纠偏的举动可能会导致中国爆发全面的危机，我们认为这是中国经济目前面临的最大风险。”

　　报道说，这仍然是与现实局面相反的一种观点。大多数投资者认定中国的城镇化会支撑其房地产市场。除了温州，全国许多地方的房价每个月都在上涨，一些城市涨幅惊人。

　　但是正如张智威所言，有此担忧的远不止他率领的野村证券研究小组这一拨人。国务院发展研究中心主任李伟去年曾说，房地产泡沫进一步膨胀，这实际上已经成为中国经济稳定健康发展最不可预测的风险点。

　　中国知名房地产开发企业万科集团的董事会主席王石去年说，中国房价上涨的态势和日本在20世纪80年代末泡沫经济时期的情况相似。

　　有消息称，具有传奇色彩的香港商界巨头李嘉诚一直在忙着将中国内地地产从自己的投资组合中剔除出去。王石说，这是一个值得关注的迹象。

　　此外，本月初，上市公司超日太阳发布了债券无法到期全额付息的公告。

　　中国总理李克强本月说，中国金融产品违约的个别情况确实难以避免。报道称，这一表态凸显了中国当局所面临的棘手局面，那就是一方面要冒着可能产生的道义上的风险，另一方面还要面对进一步削弱对本国金融领域信心的可能性。

(原标题：贵阳新建住房可再容纳300万人 或成新“鬼城”)

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