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The author:(作者)归海一刀published in(发表于) 2014/5/31 8:17:47 Hebei County adjacent to the Beijing housing prices have far exceeded the urban area
Counties in central Beijing House prices "false start" Shijiazhuang, Tangshan inventory elimination
Experts said the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei province surrounding the property market to bullish overly sensitive, objectively advance market expectations, buyers should rational treatment
Securities times, Mr Yu Shengliang Luo Feng Xu Yan in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei's integration and breezy, blowing wrinkle, Hebei has made waves in the property market.
Securities times, recently in an interview with several major cities and counties in Hebei province has found that radiation effect in the capital of Hebei's real estate market is obvious. Integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei expected impacts of three ring Beijing, Baoding and Langfang, Zhangjiakou City, housing prices are rising, particularly several small County bordering the Beijing, prices have become more common, goes well beyond the city centre property prices. Far from Beijing, Tangshan, Shijiazhuang and other cities walked out of the independent market, real estate market seems to be the concept of integration is not sensitive or even facing to inventory problems.
Interviewed by reporters of the industry experts say, because of location and infrastructure completed to varying degrees, even in the context of integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, Hebei, throughout the real estate market development model also shows obvious differences. Long term, as the integration process advances, real estate market, Hebei will burst out enormous potential, but short term, part of the market for positive policy is too sensitive, expected by the market risk of overdraft, homebuyers should be rationally.
Price County
Is the geographical center of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration in Langfang, located between two cities of Beijing and Tianjin, known as "Beijing-Tianjin corridor, the Gold zone," said. Beijing East and South in the middle circle is surrounded by the District of Langfang, in particular Gu an, two in Yongqing County, at the due integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei "event", as the buyers of the new hot spots, prices have soared.
Out from the line of Beijing Metro Line 4 Temple Station 25 minutes by bus to get to Guan, Peacock was a relatively large properties for sale here.
"We only 6000~7000 Yuan/sq m in June last year when the market opens, new opening in March this year two buildings currently prices at 8000~11000 Yuan/square meter. Peacock ' United Kingdom ' fifth new disk has reached 9000~12000 Yuan/sq m, was Gu an is currently the most expensive items. The "Peacock" Cambridgeshire "salesperson Xiao Li told reporters that he received nearly two months in Beijing to see the guest.
Guan Yongqing County farther south 20 km are here on both sides of the road full of construction sites, many sales people holding up a sign to attract customers. "March every day, dozens of sets of the book, most of the customers are Beijing, Tianjin and other places, Yongqing 5000~6000 Yuan/square meter house prices have now doubled. "A salesperson told reporters.
Zhangjiakou is located in Northwest Beijing, adjacent to the Beijing yanqing County, Zhangjiakou joint integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, Beijing's bid for the Winter Olympics the two hottest topics, revolutionized the market ecology. And this year, in yanqing County home prices downward trend, with house prices still rising in Zhangjiakou, in particular area in Central the capital economic circle in Huailai County, chongli County of hosting the Olympic Winter Games snow games in Beijing, prices go even faster.
Local Government Chief, who said to the securities times, sigh, gap between districts and counties in Zhangjiakou property market and msft, Huailai County of economic good, average prices for its high-end real estate has more than urban areas, and State-level poverty-stricken counties Huailai County, chongli County's high-end real estate prices are far beyond.
Huailai County, rates rose beginning in 2010, in Hebei province, "capital economic circle, Central" location for the surrounding Beijing, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional cooperation in special economic zone strategic platform, building south of Beijing East, Beijing North, Beijing Metro, Huailai County was included in the North of Beijing Metro for construction. Two years ago, the county seat prices hovered at around 3000 Yuan per square meter, with the continuous storm of loop capital economic circle for various news, today, regional average prices for new flats in County centres around 6000 Yuan per square meter, Badaling is the most expensive real estate in the County of peacocks, and a mountain apart in yanqing County of Beijing. Here's little top (decoration) to 10,000 yuan per square meter.
Chongli County's most expensive real estate in several ski resorts nearby. Ski down the Hill House a few years ago less than thousand Yuan per sq m, are now friends. Chongli County in central area house price 5000 Yuan, with house prices alongside the Zhangjiakou area.
Vice President of tourism development of Hebei province said Liang Yong, under the jurisdiction of the County in Zhangjiakou prices higher than the urban areas, this unusual phenomenon is due to take his two counties to ring the capital market economy treatment, Beijing eco-gardens in Huailai, Beijing Tourism garden chongli, underdeveloped carved against Beijing.
However, Huailai County, the officials said the price rally to continue: "property market prices already by the end of last year, in yanqing County of 14,000 Yuan has now declined to 12,000 yuan if Beijing prices don't rise, prices in Huailai County, enjoying the shows? ”
Is located in southwestern Beijing, Baoding, outgoing first Deputy rumors from the center of the capital, property fire a handful. Urban area north of Beijing close prices once-fired high to 10000 Yuan per sq m, has now come down to about 8200~8800 Yuan per square meter. Urban areas to the South was far away from Beijing, prices at around 5000 Yuan/square meter, and the gap to the North. A taxi driver told reporters, North of Baoding price any higher than County High House prices closer to Beijing, laishui and wild hillside home prices have risen to above USD.
Housing and real estate industry Association General Secretary Gao Binglian, Hebei province, Baoding City properties for sale in the "inventory" line above, the lack of momentum, soaring into the rumors of "water", and Baoding now has almost recovered to the property market stable.
Gao Binglian said that although the national strategy for the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei have become, but still rational view. In the long term, the central markets around Beijing will be good, but at least up to the ten-year period. In the short term, markets a good some overly sensitive, objective risk of overdraft on market expectations. Recommended buyers rationally, not to blind market.
Inventory to large cities
And with vacillation differs from the counties around Beijing, within major cities in Hebei province's real estate market still retains its own running rhythm.
Take the high-speed train to Shijiazhuang from Beijing West railway station takes only 1 hour and 20 minutes. From the railway station, looking on the left, is a mass of skyscrapers is nearing completion and nearly 20 tower cranes. Taxis along the road running in a circle, over every other car is a 30-story high-rise on either side.
Master Li has said the taxi driver, second ring around most urban village reconstruction project, these houses were all built within 3 years, and many of the buildings were empty. In the second ring road to the North, leading to definite new direction is building a vast tracts of tall buildings, evergrande Royal scenic peninsula is one of them. A pair of Liu and his wife just bought a hardcover, 7800 Yuan per square meter. "We live in a central (City Center), demolition and divided into 3 apartments, buy here are designed to provide a better living environment. ”
Evergrande Royal scenic peninsula a salesperson told reporters that markets overall a relatively steady in Shijiazhuang, and even the 2008 economic crisis, house prices didn't drop, which for two years has been steadily rising, but not as fast as other cities have risen.
Shijiazhuang built, similar to the high vacancy rate, destocking pressure on Tangshan. Because real estate sales are slow, packaging and marketing is important. After the reporter visited the Tangshan more properties for sale found discount on real estate sales, become commonplace.
Is located in the Centre of Tangshan region, Wanda Plaza, 6300 Yuan per sq m is growing at an average the 30 sets of preferential room, and the end of 2009 the property first to quote up to 8500 Yuan per square meter. Markdowns are likewise first County of China's hydropower project, which started on May 1 raised recognize daily save 1000 Yuan. In addition, Expo square also played "copy upset 6420 Yuan, only 10 sets of" ads.
Earlier reports said, from 2009 to 2012, the Tangshan area total of 17.41 million square meters of commercial buildings under construction, only digest the 4 new building inventory will require 10 years.
Located Northwest of downtown Phoenix Metro, located in "services, services around Beijing and Tianjin Bohai" concern, within the area of about 23 square kilometers spread over more than 20 large buildings. Although some preliminary launch real estate has been sold out, but perhaps because the package is not perfect and other reasons, also looked deserted, the occupancy rate is low.
In Tangshan, similarly even fewer believe that integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei will affect local real estate. And one from Beijing to Tangshan project sales were of the view that in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei's integration plan may be introduced in the near future, when the task of undertaking industrial transfer in Beijing fell upon especially in caofeidian of Tangshan, Tangshan, will boost economic development, and certainly beneficial to the property market.
However, when the reporter went to caofeidian industrial zone and supporting the eco-city, and found it deserted, construction schedule is not ideal. One of the earliest in the local community have been sold out, property staff say the community a total of 730 households, currently staying only about 270 households.
Gao Binglian said that from the perspective of geographic advantages, Langfang, Baoding, Zhangjiakou, Chengde, the four cities around Beijing and Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, and less dominant.
In his view, the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are not real estate, Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei's integration absolutely inseparable from the property. With the development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei's integration, the real estate market in Hebei province will burst out enormous potential, aged in residential, commercial, industrial, and tourism development will gradually become hot, steady upward trend in house prices in some areas of Hebei is also understandable.
"At present, the relevant planning integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei issued no firm timetable for future paper planning to actual implementation requires longer time period. "Gao Binglian said that the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei to be done, to co-ordinate industrial layout, break down barriers, optimal division of labour. At the same time, you want to narrow the huge gap of public resources, triage populations. In addition, to achieve integrated transport, less "beheading road", through "last mile".
环京市县房价“抢跑” 石家庄唐山库存难消
专家称，京津冀周边楼市对一体化利好过度敏感，客观上透支市场预期，购房者应理性对待
证券时报记者 张达 余胜良 罗峰 许岩 京津冀一体化的徐徐微风，吹皱了河北楼市一池春水。
证券时报记者近日在河北省的几个重点市县采访时发现，首都对河北房地产市场的辐射作用非常明显。受京津冀一体化预期影响，环北京的廊坊、保定和张家口三市房价已经上涨，特别是与北京相邻的几个小县城，房价过万已比较常见，远超所在城市市中心的房价。离北京较远的石家庄、唐山等城市则走出了独立行情，房地产市场似乎对一体化的概念并不敏感，甚至面临去库存难题。
接受记者采访的业内专家认为，由于区位和基础设施完成程度不同，即便是在京津冀一体化的大背景下，河北各地房地产市场的发展模式也会呈现出明显的差异化。长期来看，随着一体化进程的推进，河北房地产市场将会迸发出巨大潜力，但短期来看，部分市场对政策利好过于敏感，存在透支市场预期的风险，购房者应该理性看待。
房价过万的小县城
廊坊是京津冀城市群的地理中心，位于京津两个国际城市之间，素有“京津走廊、黄金地带”之称。北京的东部和南部大半圈都被廊坊的区县包围，特别是固安、永清两个县，因摊上了京津冀一体化的“大事”，成了购房新热点，房价已经飞涨。
从北京地铁4号线天宫院站出来坐车25分钟就能到固安县，孔雀城是这里一个比较大的楼盘。
“我们去年6月开盘时才6000～7000元/平方米，今年3月份新开盘的两栋楼目前价格在8000～11000元/平方米。孔雀城的‘英国宫’第五期新盘已达到9000～12000元/平方米，是固安目前最贵的项目。”孔雀城“剑桥郡”的一名销售人员小李告诉记者，他近两个月接待了不少北京来的看房客。
固安县再往南20公里是永清县，这里道路两边布满建筑工地，不少销售人员举着牌子招徕顾客。“3月份每天都有几十套的预订，大多数客户是北京、天津等地的，永清原来5000～6000元/平方米的房价现在已经翻番了。”一个销售人员告诉记者。
张家口位于北京的西北部，紧邻北京延庆县，京津冀一体化、北京张家口联合申办冬奥会这两个热门话题，彻底颠覆了这里的楼市生态。与延庆今年房价下行趋势相反，张家口的房价仍在上涨，特别是辖区中环首都经济圈的怀来县、承办北京冬奥会雪上比赛的崇礼县，房价涨得更快。
当地政府一位科长对证券时报记者感慨说，张家口各区县楼市与收入基本脱节，经济较好的怀来县，其高端楼盘均价已经超过市区，而国家级贫困县崇礼县的高端楼盘价格更是远超怀来。
怀来县房价大涨始于2010年，河北省将“环首都经济圈”定位为环京经济特区、京津冀区域合作战略平台，建设京东、京南、京北新城，怀来县被列入京北新城进行建设。两年前，县城房价还徘徊在每平米3000元左右，随着环首都经济圈的各种新闻不断热炒，如今，县城中心区域新楼盘均价在每平米6000元左右，县里最贵的楼盘是八达岭孔雀城，与北京延庆县一山之隔。这里的小高层(精装修)每平米达到1万元。
崇礼县最贵的楼盘在几个滑雪场附近。滑雪场山下的房子几年前每平米尚不足千元，现在均已过万。崇礼县城中心地段的房子均价也站上了5000元，与张家口市区房价比肩。
河北省旅游发展研究院副院长梁勇对记者说，张家口下辖县房价高过市区，这种反常的现象是因为市场把这两个县当作环首都经济圈对待，北京生态后花园的怀来、北京旅游后花园的崇礼，经济欠发达反而利于北京雕琢。
不过，也有当地官员认为怀来县房价涨势难以继续：“延庆县楼市均价已经由去年底的1.4万元降到现在的1.2万元了，要是北京房价不涨，怀来的房价能一枝独秀吗？”
位于北京西南部的保定，因最先传出首都副中心传言，楼市火了一把。市区北边因离北京近，房价一度被炒高到每平米10000元，现在已经回落到每平米8200～8800元左右。而市区南边因离北京远，房价在5000元/平方米左右，与北边差距巨大。一位出租司机告诉记者，保定北边房价再高也不如离北京更近的县城房价高，像涞水和野山坡的房价都涨到了万元之上。
在河北省住宅与房地产业协会秘书长高炳连看来，保定楼盘已处在“高库存”警戒线以上，缺乏上涨动力，房价飙升的传闻中注入了“水分”，而现在保定楼市已基本恢复平稳。
高炳连指出，虽然京津冀一体化已成为国家战略，但仍需理性看待。从长远来看，对环北京周边市场将是利好，但是至少要放到十年的周期上去看。短期内，市场对于这一利好有些过度敏感，客观上存在透支市场预期的风险。建议购房者理性看待，切勿盲目入市。
库存难去的大城市
与闻风而动的北京周边市县不同，河北省内大城市的房地产市场仍然保持着自己的运行节奏。
从北京西站坐高铁到石家庄仅需1小时20分钟。从火车站出来，左手边放眼望去，是一大片即将竣工的高楼和近20台塔吊。出租车沿着二环路跑一圈，两边满眼都是30层以上的高楼。
出租车司机李师傅说，二环周边大部分是城中村改造项目，这些房子都是3年内建起来的，很多楼盘都空着。在二环北边，通往正定新区方向正在建设成片的高楼，恒大御景半岛是其中之一。一对刘姓夫妇刚在这里买了一套精装修房，每平米7800元。“我们住在一环(市中心)，拆迁分了3套房子，买这里是为给孩子提供一个好的居住环境。”
恒大御景半岛的一位销售人员告诉记者，石家庄市场整体比较平稳，就连2008年经济危机时，房价也一点都没降，这两年则一直稳步走高，但不像其他城市涨得那么快。
与石家庄大兴土木、空置率高企相似，唐山也面临去库存压力。因为楼盘销售速度很慢，包装和营销显得很重要。记者走访了唐山市多个楼盘后发现，楼盘滞销、打折优惠成为普遍现象。
位于唐山市中心区域的万达广场，正在以均价每平米6300元推出30套特惠房，而2009年底该楼盘第一次对外报价时达到每平米8500元。同样降价促销的还有中国水电首郡项目，该项目自5月1日开始认筹，每日优惠1000元。另外，世博广场也打出了“抄底价6420元起，仅限10套”的广告。
此前有报道称，从2009年到2012年，唐山市在建商品房面积累计有1741万平方米，仅消化这4年新建的楼房库存就需要10年。
位于市中心区西北部的凤凰新城，因定位于“服务环京津、服务环渤海”而备受关注，约23平方公里的范围内分布着20余个大型楼盘。尽管一些前期推出的楼盘已基本售罄，但或许因为配套尚不完善等原因，这里还显得很冷清，入住率偏低。
在唐山，同样甚少有人认为京津冀一体化会对当地楼盘产生影响。而一位从北京到唐山工作的某项目售楼员则认为，京津冀一体化规划可能于近期出台，届时承接北京产业转移的重任将会落在唐山特别是曹妃甸身上，将拉动唐山经济发展，当然也对楼市有利。
不过，当记者来到曹妃甸工业开发区和配套的生态城时，发现这里一片荒凉，建设进度均不理想。当地最早的一个小区虽已售罄，但物业人员表示，该小区共有730户，目前仅入住270户左右。
高炳连说，从区位优势看，廊坊、保定、张家口、承德这四个市环抱着北京和天津，而石家庄相对不占优势。
他认为，京津冀一体化不是房地产化，但京津冀一体化绝对离不开房地产。随着京津冀一体化的发展，河北省房地产市场将会迸发出巨大的潜力，住宅、商业、工业、养老、旅游等都将逐渐成为开发热点，河北部分地区房价呈现稳步上涨的趋势也是可以理解的。
“目前，京津冀一体化的相关规划出台还没有明确的时间表，将来由纸上规划到实际落实需要很长时间周期。”高炳连说，京津冀一体化任重道远，要统筹产业布局，打破藩篱，优化分工。同时，要缩小公共资源的巨大落差，分流人口。此外，还要实现交通一体化，少些“断头路”，打通“最后一公里”。
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