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The author:(作者)qqpublished in(发表于) 2014/6/9 6:23:21 CLOUT of China being Japan， the Philippines， Viet Nam， not United States eye
Foreign Media: Chinese less clout today alone the Philippines United States ostracized | sea | diplomacy _ China News
Chinese Navy's new type 052D guided missile destroyer (file photo)
Reference news net reported on June 9 Singapore United morning post published on June 8, entitled ' falling into Sea Island sovereignty dispute in China alone as Philip's article, author is Yu Zeyuan. The article said that China 981 large offshore drilling platform in the Xisha waters early last month, raised Viet Nam domestic large-scale anti-Chinese riots and more boats in the confrontation a collision also bring Japan leader's high profile accusations. The Chinese Foreign Ministry "naturally Ambidextrous", South Viet Nam "international credit rating is very low", East of Japan "in troubled waters". Plus, Filipinos in reef dispute could inflame China singled out the Philippine situation is already taking shape.
The article said that Philip is clear, even if the three countries stand together, to counter China is also very difficult. Fortunately, boss of the world United States rather than turn a blind eye to China's rise, its "Asia-Pacific rebalancing" strategic and political and military actions in recent years, have to contain China's intentions.
Article says, despite the United States publicly stand behind to the day Philip, China does not intend to back down on the East China Sea and South China Sea issues.
Article also says China tough refuted United States criticisms. PLA Deputy Chief of general staff Wang Guanzhong condemned Hagel speech at the Shangri-La dialogue is full of hegemonism, threats, intimidation, unconstructive remarks, speeches inciting, abetting unrest in Asia Pacific to pick things, rioted. China also ridiculed United States efforts to maintain primacy. Obama United States may continue to lead the world in centuries after the announcement, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesman Qin Gang said: "when the boss feels good in the world, in international relations, I don't know if Paul could predict the future. ”
Military big development activist emboldened enough
The article said that Chinese don't even singled out the Philippines as they backed the United States seriously, have been unthinkable a few years ago. Deng Xiaoping had proposed "Tao Guang Yang Hui" diplomatic strategy, this strategy effectively reduces the Western countries on China's political and military pressure, provides an indispensable external condition for China's economic rise. After years of rapid development, China's comprehensive national strength growing, today in the East China Sea and the South China Sea "difference" provides a solid backbone.
Article, this emboldened the main forces supported by rapid growth in economic strength. In recent years, equipped with a large aircraft carriers and heavy ships of the Chinese Navy carrier fighter, type 052D guided missile destroyer, a variety of new surface warships, equipped with AIP (does not depend on the air promoting) technologies conventional submarines and long-range missiles as well as the new nuclear submarines are in volume production. By 2020, China will have two or three aircraft carrier fleets; while equipment hopes, of the air force f-15, f-16, j -10B, a third-generation fighter aircraft, equipment and the speed and scale of the advanced warplanes far exceeds not only Russia, even more than the United States. Meanwhile, China is actively developing fourth-generation fighter j-20 and f-31, and the United States side-by-side as the world's only two countries while developing two fourth-generation fighter.
Article says, on the strategic power of Dongfeng-41 ICBMs and submarine-launched Julang-2 improvement of strategic missile was exposed by the media for the first time last year, showing China is truly a second nuclear retaliatory capability. China is also actively developing Hypersonic rocket, Exo-atmospheric anti-ballistic missile, anti-satellite weapons and so on, and initially even the United States has no ballistic missile attacking aircraft carrier capability.
Article also said that while the United States still has a large gap in comparison, but in recent years "the leaping development" enough to keep China's military gupanzixiong in Asia. Chinese Navy break with tradition the first island chain has become commonplace, naval and air forces before it is difficult to put the Spratly Islands region so far, goes without saying. Chinese military assessment, excluding United States intervention, there are islands and reefs in the South China Sea and China dispute the State together, also arrived but a South China Sea fleet.
The article says that, from this point of view, China's military and other "energy" growth brings to the official "must be external strong" more pressure. Blinded by external means strong could not only damage the hard won peace around the environment, and even disrupt the senior maintenance "period of strategic opportunity" risk. Good "backbone" in maintaining the balance between sovereign and regulatory risks, is the top focus of the East China Sea and South China Sea Islands dispute.
Joint development of strategic intelligence
Article says dispute over the Diaoyu Islands, Chinese goal at this stage is by sending official vessels or aircraft cruising the area declared sovereignty, forcing Japan recognizes Diaoyu Island sovereignty dispute, and both sides discussed issues of common development. According to the present tense Sino-Japanese relations, and this goal is difficult to achieve in the short term, but based on the close economic and trade relationship, possibility of military conflict broke out because of the Diaoyu Islands dispute is also low.
The article said that Sino-Vietnam confrontation in Xisha sea area, China rely on the strong maritime strength to force Viet Nam ships close to 981 drilling platform. Viet Nam in addition to the International Court of Justice, there's no better way to prevent exploitation of oil and gas in Xisha sea area in China. Sino-Vietnamese land border conflict, both sides are keenly aware that the consequences of the conflict, and unlikely confrontations in Xisha sea area be extended to other areas. China sent 981 drilling platform is designed to "their area" exploration wells. Unless the Viet Nam to take aggressive action, such as damaged by military means 981 rigs, otherwise not easily to the use of force.
Article, compared with Japan and Viet Nam both "old enemies", Chinese-Philippine dispute may be the most "cool". Due to the disparity of national strength, China sees the Philippines as competitors or threats, but that does not mean China will relent to the Philippines. The Philippines continued to hold a number of Chinese fishermen, and to take China to the International Tribunal. If these issues are further fermented, is likely to repeat in 2012, China controls the huangyan island "foundress" expulsion "manned" benevolence reef of Philippine soldiers.
Article said that, on the whole, China in the East China Sea and South China Sea to take some of the offensive doesn't mean it has to give "bide your time" strategy, but of its rising economic and military power to a certain extent, capable of maintaining historical manifestation of sovereignty. But for neighbouring countries, a strong where neighbors suddenly appeared at the door, the kind of nervous fear is not for the neighbour to feelings. From this perspective, China and the Philippines will need to strengthen communication, relieve their anxiety.
Article concluded by saying that China and the Philippine Islands rendered unable to quell the dispute, but by no means no possibility of a peaceful solution. Made by Deng Xiaoping in the 80 's of the last century, "sovereignty belongs to me, shelve disputes, joint development" approach is full of strategic intelligence. This wisdom is not only for the East China Sea and South China Sea to the senior management of risk provides a great deal of room for manoeuvre, but also to the Philippine settlement of maritime disputes with China provides: shelve disputes, joint development is probably not the most desired outcome, but at least it's not the worst result.
(Original title: the Straits Times: China has "emboldened" alone as Philip)
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