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published in(发表于) 2014/6/12 5:06:16
Experts said the Shenyang residential inventory is the country’s second， market pressures

Beijing, June 12 (real estate channel Ma Rong) the slowdown in the rise in property prices, high housing inventories, congestion situation, place to relax restriction of an endless stream of rumours of bailout. Following a series of local policies "micro-stimulation" after recently in Shenyang, capital of Liaoning province, "restriction of cancellation" Schultz, was limited by industry as a place to fine-tune policy upgrade version.

On June 11, the Beijing real estate channel "sales canceled" rumors call the Shenyang real estate board confirmation, crews responded: are now Shenyang implementing restrictions announced in April last year, without any changes. And said, don't know online sources and channels. Circulating on the Internet on June 10, Shenyang "e Center" released "remove restriction" screenshot of the notification, the officer said Shenyang real estate Board did not know about this.

In this connection, the media dubbed, Shenyang "remove restriction" only lasted one day. But local alignment restrictions of public opinion is still in ferment, industry analysis, there will be a number of cities to purchase still more restrictions, high inventories, housing prices fell and local cities will bear the brunt of economic dependence on the real estate.

　　Untie in at least 15 cities will be limited to purchase impulses

At the Shenyang "remove restriction" whistle-blowers settlement real estate Vice President Yang Hongxu, Shenyang canceled purchases there are rational reasons, he believed, first of all, housing inventory in Shenyang is the nation's second-highest, to cycle more than 20 months, market pressures. Secondly, the Shenyang price is not very high, the average price is about seven thousand or eight thousand, relatively small gains over the past decade. Third, the original Shenyang looser restrictions.

These characteristics, before which came in 16 cities to fine-tune policy is more obvious in its universality. Analysis of the property, according to Zhang Dawei, Chief Analyst, inventory digestion cycle for more than a year, deal size fell sharply in the first quarter, purchasing land transfer to sales ratio is too high, too low, a substantial price reduction projects, the net outflow of population, there are more than two new cities, are likely to be the follow-up to relax regulation, cancel the purchase of city.

Shanghai Institute of real estate May, newly-built commercial housing inventory report released on June 10, according to the monitor in 35 major cities across the country, Jining, XI?ˉan, Fuzhou, Wenzhou, Hangzhou, Shenyang, Qingdao, Changzhou, 15 cities, including deposit and sold more than 20 months, in other words, newly-built commercial housing in these cities to sell for at least 20 months to sell. Save pins than the number of cities with more than 16 months were up by 20.

This would "remove restriction" Shenyang apartments deposit and pin up to 22 months, before being exposed to fine-tune policies in Hangzhou, Ningbo and Wenzhou cities this number the same high, Wenzhou to 44.9 save more pins than the top. In this regard, Habitat Yi Yan Yuejin, a researcher of the Institute of real estate in Shanghai Beijing, real estate channel in an interview, said the deposit currently sold at higher than these cities will face a restriction of relax impulses.

　　"Cancel the purchase" market role be?

A few days ago, Feng Jun, Chief Economist of the Department of housing to come forward in response to "If the cancellation or partial lifting of the restrictions," said do you want to cancel, and should make judgements based on actual. But in the view of many experts, the "remove restriction" on the property market the role of warming is not very big.

This would "remove restriction" Shenyang, for example, the Economist Ma Guangyuan said, the market does not respond much to cancel the purchase of. In his view, the overall inventory of Shenyang, ranked three, digest the current inventory requires a minimum of three years. Coupled with investment value of Shenyang's House is not high, is not obvious for restriction inhibits investment, restrictions exist on the market as a whole has no influence.

"This round of market turns cold too much more as a result of early supply in some cities, excessive price increases and other market risk factors accumulate, and the volume was concentrated in the early release of the demand gap caused. "Based on this, centaline Chief Analyst Zhang Dawei analysts believe that growing restriction of policy adjustments to boost market turnover.

BNU Dong Fan of real estate experts were of the view that "only limited role, but it wasn't enough, but also credit easing as a tie. "(Beijing, real estate channel)

(Original title: housing inventory began to destroy does not loosen restrictions so that local governments utter failure in her hand)

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