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published in(发表于) 2016/3/9 10:14:34
Investigation of China’s economic life 10 years

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Investigation of 10 years of economic life in China: Beijing-Shanghai House prices rise by nearly 400%| 10 rates | stock _ news

Comics


"China Economic Forum," China's economy for 10 years and surveys


Entrepreneurs don't understand after the spending habits


The past ten years, stock market returns than the property market, house prices rose in Beijing, Shanghai 380%


The China economic weekly reporter He Fangzhu | Beijing


Observing China's economic development over the past decade may be found, the stock market has gone through a few cycles, instantly ready for prime time and quietly at the end of the property market, after the just entered the community, but has become a business focused people ... ... Then, economic development over the past decade left how to mark in the lives of ordinary people? Data can give us a micro comes in. On February 23 the column field of the dialog of CCTV, "2006-2016 China economic survey" (hereinafter the "survey") from the investment, consumption and income levels reveals the changes of a decade of economic life.


The past ten years, stock market returns than the property market in 2016, people are more willing to invest in insurance


Back in 2006, China's household expenditures, savings accounts for the highest proportion of 31.27%; housing expenditures for second place, is 27.77%; the third highest expenditure, 24.12%; securities investment accounted for only 5.25%. Ten years ago, most people choose to put a significant portion of the extra money for savings. Three of them guest contact shares were one of the earlier groups, all of whom shared his early years and stocks "origin".


Gree, Chairman Dong mingzhu, think of themselves as beneficiaries of gree electric appliances stocks. She said earlier held 10,000 yuan in gree shares, now worth about 18 million Yuan.


Ctrip founder James Liang investments seem to be in the stock market has not been easy, he said "House has risen a lot, shares still lost a lot." He also regrets in the past decade, China's rapid development of the manufacturing industry, if you can select the quality of the manufacturing enterprise, sharing business growth, there will be good earnings.


Sequoia Capital founder Shen's early exposure to stocks. Others just stock investments, he began experimenting with early investments, unlisted companies. "Investments mature Enterprise, you can do a ' quiet man ' early investment enterprise, you should be more actively involved in company decisions, helping the company grow. "Shen said.


Despite investment experience, three of them agreed that the past ten years, sprang to his feet as the real estate market most appreciate in market, the golden age. Survey shows that in 2006, the average house price in Beijing is 7375 Yuan/square meter, Shanghai is 7039 Yuan/square meter. According to data from 2016, Beijing 380%, average annual overall rise in prices in a decade rose 17.5%; 17.6%, 384.6%, average annual overall rise in prices rise Shanghai.


The data, said Jia Kang, a famous scholar, while riding through the golden age of real estate, but still has a gold in the silver age. But in first-tier cities and the real estate market differentiation occurs in two or three cities, second-tier cities, to inventory remains a worrying problem.


2016 in the face of stock, real estate, banking, Internet banking products, insurance, gold and other commodities, three of them for how to choose? James Liang dong and selected stock, Shen chose to contains the stock portfolio. James Liang believes that quality enterprises listed overseas to return home is an opportunity to market, and profitability has not yet played in the investment phase, there is a large potential for future.


Survey shows that more respondents in 2016 to choose insurance, stock and financial products followed, real estate investments and into fifth place. Guests at the site, only the counselors ' researcher Yao Jingyuan put insurance in their own investment choices, his alternative is venture capital. In his view, venture capital and insurance in the next year respectively to meet the income and hedging needs.


Dong mingzhu and James Liang disclosed mental age; after the spending habits, they don't understand


Investigations revealed that ten years, per capita consumption level of Chinese residents increased from 2006 6416 to 17806 Yuan, Chinese consumer attitudes are changing, more consumer choice and brand concept of stronger consumer content is changing, recreational consumption becoming hot consumption.


Entrepreneurs in determining consumer market, invariably focus to after the body. Dong mingzhu, disclosure, 62, her mental age is 25 years old, and immediately post James Liang said he measured the psychological age is 4 years old, the audience listened without smiling. Of course, understand after the spending habits is not a mental age that counts, the next tests, two performance was not satisfactory.


After the issues are willing to pay for what, Dong mingzhu, selected the stars around, James Liang chose the concert and found, after love spending money on movies. Dong mingzhu, think when after the consumption determined entirely by himself, without any other factors, James Liang considers after the more popular online evaluation impact survey found that after the more popular price. Dong mingzhu, thought after the favorite to buy electronics, James Liang that after the more love to spend money on travel, found that after the favorite to buy home appliances. For other spending habits, panelists estimated and compared to a survey is even more radical.


Several rounds of selection, the reporter found that, after the guests think spending habits is not so advanced, they also need their own economic conditions and the needs of reality to gradually raise consumption levels.


This topic such as online shopping, almost all the guests and the audience believe that online shopping has become mainstream. But survey results show that conventional supermarkets to 61.4% proportion of consumers preferred way of shopping, online shopping with 38.9% in fourth place.


Also agree that the rapid development of online shopping, Jia Kang, and Yao Jingyuan replace supermarkets such as for online shopping online shopping or take a cautious attitude. Yao Jingyuan think online shopping to really account for consumption of "half", still needs several years of development. Yao Jingyuan said, "the rapid development of online shopping to some extent is a reflection of our circulation problems, impact of online shopping will also promote traditional circulation system improvements. ”


People are most concerned about what three things


Survey results show that 2015-2016 Chinese people most concerned about three main areas, the first is income, and second pension, and the third is health care. According to the survey has disclosed the information, people's concern is earnings, the answer to this may be the only change in recent years. Survey results show that the disposable income of Chinese residents in a decade by 11759.5 from 21966 Yuan.


The presence of two entrepreneurs, Dong and James Liang said the employees salary increases, ctrip employee annual salary rose from 10% to 20%, said Dong mingzhu, gree employs nearly ten years to double. But Dong believed that staff is difficult to please everyone, because prices are rising, and many young people begin to take to family pressure. Yao Jingyuan also believes that although Chinese residents ' income rose in the world is pretty quick, but education, health care, pensions and other issues also are putting pressure on people.


Jia Kang, believes that besides increasing income levels, should also be formed in the supply system, pension, for example, past pension system cannot meet the needs of society, should also have old-age home, community, pension Park and a series of choices. "These are supply side problem which we cannot evade. "Jia Kang, said.



Responsible editor: Chen yan SN225





Article keywords:
House prices the stock market

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China economic weekly
中国经济生活10年调查:京沪房价10年上涨近400%|房价|股市_新闻资讯

漫画


  【中国经济论坛】中国经济生活10年大调查


  企业家不解90后消费习惯


  过去十年,股市回报不及楼市,北京、上海房价上涨380%


  《中国经济周刊》 记者 何方竹 | 北京报道


  观察过去十年中国经济的发展可能会发现,股市已经走过了几个周期,楼市的黄金时代瞬间到来而又悄然结束,90后刚刚迈入社会却已经成了商家聚焦的人群……那么,过去十年经济的发展在老百姓的生活中留下了怎样的烙印?数据可以给我们一个微观的切入点。在2月23日央视《对话》栏目现场,“2006—2016中国经济生活大调查”(下称“大调查”)从投资、消费和收入三个层面揭示了十年经济生活变迁。


  过去十年,股市回报不及楼市;2016年,老百姓更愿意投资保险


  回顾2006年,中国的家庭支出中,储蓄所占比例最高,为31.27%;买房支出占第二位,为27.77%;保险支出占第三位,达24.12%;证券投资只占5.25%。可见十年之前,多数老百姓选择将相当一部分多余的资金用来储蓄。现场三位企业家嘉宾是接触股票较早的一拨人,他们都分享了自己早年和股票的“渊源”。


  格力董事长董明珠认为自己是格力股票的受益者。她说早年持有的一万元的格力股票,现在的市值已经在1800万元左右。


  携程创始人梁建章在股市上的投资似乎并非一帆风顺,他表示“房子涨了很多,股票还是亏了不少”。同时他还感慨,过去的十年,中国的制造业迅猛发展,如果能够选中优质的制造业企业,分享企业的成长,应该也会有不错的收益。


  红杉资本创始人沈南鹏很早便接触到了股票。在别人刚刚认识股票投资时,他开始尝试投资早期的、没有上市的公司。“投资成熟的企业,你可以做个‘安静的美男子’;投资早期的企业,你应该更加积极地参与公司决策,帮助公司成长。”沈南鹏说。


  尽管投资经历不同,三位企业家一致认同,过去的十年,房地产市场一跃而起成为最有升值空间的市场,黄金时代悄然而临。大调查显示,2006年,北京平均房价是7375元/平方米,上海则是7039元/平方米。根据2016年的数据,十年来北京房价总体上涨380%、年均上涨17.5%;上海房价总体上涨384.6%、年均上涨17.6%。


  面对数据,著名学者贾康表示,房地产虽然告别了黄金时代,但在其白银时代仍然有着含金量。不过一线城市和二三线城市的房地产市场走势会出现分化,二线城市以下,去库存仍然是让人焦虑的问题。


  2016年,面对股票、楼市、银行理财产品、互联网理财产品、保险、黄金等众多投资品,三位企业家作何选择?梁建章和董明珠都选择了股票,沈南鹏选择了包含股票的投资组合。梁建章认为,海外上市的优质企业回国上市是一个机遇,另外,处于投资阶段的企业盈利能力尚未发挥,未来还有较大的潜力。


  大调查显示,更多的受访家庭在2016年首选投资保险,股票和理财产品分列二、三位,房地产投资下滑到第五位。现场的嘉宾中,只有国务院参事室特约研究员姚景源在自己的投资选择中填上了保险,他的另一个选择是创业投资。他认为,创业投资和保险在未来一年分别迎合了对收益和避险的需要。


  董明珠和梁建章披露心理年龄;90后消费习惯,他们不懂


  大调查显示,十年来中国居民人均消费水平由2006年的6416元增长到17806元,中国百姓的消费观念正在变化,消费的选择更多,品牌的观念更强,消费的内容也正在改变,休闲娱乐消费逐渐成为热门的消费领域。


  企业家在判断消费市场时,不约而同地将关注点放到90后身上。董明珠现场披露,62岁的她心理年龄是25岁,而60后梁建章立即表示自己测出来的心理年龄是4岁,让现场观众听了无不莞尔。当然,是否了解90后的消费习惯不是心理年龄说了算,在接下来的测试中,两位的表现可谓都不够尽如人意。


  在90后愿意为什么项目花钱的问题中,董明珠选择的是明星周边,梁建章选择的是演唱会,而大调查发现,90后更爱在电影上花钱。董明珠认为90后在消费时完全由自己决定,不受任何其他因素影响,而梁建章认为90后更受网上评价影响,大调查却发现,90后更受价格影响。董明珠认为90后最爱购买电子产品,梁建章认为90后更爱把钱花在旅游上,而大调查发现,90后最爱购买的还是家电。而对于其他消费习惯,嘉宾们的估计与调查结果相比都显得更加激进。


  几轮选择下来,记者发现,90后的消费习惯并非嘉宾们想象的如此超前,他们也需要根据自身的经济条件和现实的需求来逐步提升消费水平。


  例如对于网购这一话题,几乎所有嘉宾和现场观众都认为网购已经成为主流。然而大调查结果显示,传统的商超以61.4%的比例成为消费者首选的购物方式,网购以38.9%排在第四位。


  虽然同样认同网购的快速发展,贾康与姚景源对于网购取代商超等线下购物还是持谨慎的态度。姚景源认为网购要真正占据消费的“半壁江山”,确实还需要几年的发展。姚景源表示,“网购的快速发展一定程度上是我们流通环节出了问题的反映,网购的冲击也会促进传统流通机制的改进。”


  老百姓最关注哪三件事


  大调查结果显示,2015到2016年度中国百姓最关注的三大领域中,第一是收入,第二是养老,第三是医疗。据大调查已披露的信息来看,老百姓最关注的问题是收入,这可能是近年唯一没有变化的答案。而大调查结果显示,十年来中国居民可支配收入由11759.5元上涨至21966元。


  在场的两位企业家,董明珠和梁建章都透露了公司员工的薪水上涨幅度,携程员工年均薪水上涨10%到20%,董明珠表示格力员工近十年收入翻番。但是董明珠却认为,员工很难人人满意,因为物价也在上涨,而且很多年轻人开始承担家庭的压力。姚景源也认为,虽然我国居民收入上涨速度在全世界来看都是相当快的,但是教育、医疗、养老等问题还是给老百姓带来了压力。


  贾康认为,除了提升收入水平,还应该在供给机制上形成体系,以养老为例,过去的养老机制不能满足社会需求,还应该有居家养老、社区养老、养老园区等一系列选择。“这些都是供给侧不能回避的问题。”贾康说。



责任编辑:陈琰 SN225





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房价 股市

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