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published in(发表于) 2016/3/18 6:28:44
Annual economic report: coal and oil industry overcapacity in most

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Industry's annual economic report: the excess capacity of the coal and oil industry economic report _ the most serious overcapacity in | | industry news

Original title: China industrial economy in 2015-report: most serious overcapacity in coal mining, oil processing


China Youth online (China Youth daily online reporter Wang Jing Shuo ? green) the afternoon of March 16, 2015 economic report on China released in Beijing. The paper pointed out that contradiction 2015 overcapacity more serious than the previous year.


The report for the Graduate School of finance and economic development research center and Beijing Sino-American information consulting limited partnership. The starting sample of scale through the National Bureau of investigation (that is, sales of more than 5 million yuan) 488,000 companies by industry, region and size of stratified random sampling. Of 2015, where samples of final investigation recycling business in the fourth quarter to 2038.


Graduate School of finance and economic development Research Center Director Gan Jie introduced, judging from last year, the industrial economy compared to the more difficult, has a tendency to slip further and further expansion of excess capacity. "The industrial economy is still the biggest challenge facing insufficient demand. ”


Reports show that last quarter, 21% excess capacity of more than 10%, 8% excess capacity of more than 20%. About one-third industry and overcapacity, the number decreased significantly in the last quarter. Serious business in reducing excess production capacity and the overall diffusion index high of overcapacity. Gan Jie interpretation, which suggests that many serious excess capacity businesses have had to shut down, on the other hand also needs further down and part of the enterprise in case of excess capacity continues to expand production.


Report shows serious excess capacity in the four quarter last year the top three industries for coal mining and coal preparation industry of petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing; Nonmetal minerals mining and dressing. Guizhou province, Jilin province, Heilongjiang province, and Beijing, (tied for third) in the four quarter last year as overcapacity in the top three places.


Gan Jie proposed to establish long-term industrial policy is to address the root of the problem. "Industry out of its slump means that overcapacity to be eliminated, a considerable number of businesses may shut down, closed down. "Industry policy should around help part Enterprise achieved properly shut stopped, and remaining Enterprise upgrade and the increased income three aspects for: local Government should active coordination, and help unemployment employees re-employment, for ordered achieved repaid debt, and bankruptcy program provides guarantees; encourages support real brings market, and employment of technology innovation and products upgrade; deepening reform, development private economic, reduced its into monopoly industry of threshold; encourages, and strengthening high-end technology workers of training, and training. "As incomes rise to domestic demand, and rising incomes is the premise of providing higher-income jobs. ”


The other hand, fiscal policy should be based on expanding domestic demand. In Gan Jie's view, in the short term, fiscal policy is not recommended to simply "across the Board" tax cuts, more effective policy is fiscal expenditure to provide social security, reduce family, health clinics ready for retirement savings, thus contributing to the increase in domestic demand. Taking into account the current corporate tax in the value added tax is heavy, may reduce the enthusiasm of private investment, Gan Jie suggested that "represents the future direction, helping employment industry should consider targeted tax breaks for excess industry, local governments ' reliance on its sales tax should be reduced. ”



Responsible editor: Ni Zi Jiang





Article keywords:
Overcapacity in industry economic report

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China Youth daily
产业经济年度报告:煤炭石油业产能过剩最严重|产能过剩|产业经济报告_新闻资讯

  原标题:中国产业经济2015年度报告发布:煤炭开采、石油加工产能过剩最严重


  中青在线讯(中国青年报·中青在线记者 王景烁) 3月16日下午,《中国产业经济2015年度报告》在京发布。该文指出,2015年产能过剩的矛盾较上一年度更为严重。


  该报告为长江商学院金融与经济发展研究中心及北京富奥华美信息咨询有限公司合作完成。调查的起始样本为通过对国家统计局规模以上(即销售额大于500万人民币)的48.8万家企业进行以行业、地区及规模分层的随机抽样产生。其中对2015年第四季度最终调查回收企业样本为2038家。


  长江商学院金融与经济发展研究中心主任甘洁介绍,从去年的情况来看,产业经济相较之前遭遇更大困难,有进一步下滑的趋势,产能过剩的矛盾进一步扩大。“产业经济面临的最大挑战仍然是需求不足。”


  报告显示,去年四季度,21%的企业产能过剩超过10%,8%的企业产能过剩超过20%。约三分之一的行业、地区产能严重过剩,该数字较上季度明显下降。产能过剩严重的企业在减少,而总体产能过剩的扩散指数居高不下。甘洁解释,这一方面说明许多产能过剩严重的企业已经不得不关停,另一方面也反映需求进一步下滑及部分企业在产能过剩的情况下仍在扩大生产。


  报告显示,去年四季度产能过剩严重的行业前三名为煤炭开采和洗选业;石油加工、炼焦和核燃料加工业;非金属矿采选业。贵州省、吉林省和北京市、黑龙江省(并列第三)在去年四季度成为产能过剩严重地区的前三名。


  甘洁提出,建立长期的产业政策是解决问题的根本。“产业走出低谷意味着过剩产能要被淘汰,相当一部分企业可能关停、倒闭。”产业政策应围绕帮助部分企业实现妥善关停、剩余企业升级及增加收入三方面进行:地方政府应积极协调、帮助失业员工再就业,为有序实现清还债务、破产程序提供保障;鼓励支持真正带来市场、就业的技术创新与产品升级;深化改革,发展民营经济,降低其进入垄断行业的门槛;鼓励、加强高端技术工人的培养、培训。“收入增加才能让内需扩大,而收入增加的前提是提供较高收入的岗位。”


  另一方面,财政政策应该以扩大内需为主。在甘洁看来,短期而言,不建议财政政策简单地“一刀切”减税,更为有效的策略是通过财政支出提供社会保障,降低家庭为养老、医疗所准备的储蓄,从而推动内需的增加。考虑到目前企业税中增值税较重,可能降低民间投资的积极性,甘洁建议,“对于代表未来方向、有助就业的行业应该考虑有针对性地减免赋税,而对于过剩的产业,应该减少地方政府对其增值税的依赖。”



责任编辑:倪子牮





文章关键词:
产能过剩 产业经济报告

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