The Bank's former Vice President Justin yifu Lin: before and after 2020 China will become a high income country _ | Thirteen-Five | the World Bank News

Reference news, March 23 the World Bank (World Bank) first Vice President Justin yifu Lin said 22nd China "Thirteen-Five" 6.5% more than the economic growth rate can be maintained for the period, I believe either 2020 or 2021, more slowly in 2022, China will become a high income nation.

According to Taiwan "Central News Agency", March 22, Bo 鰲 2016 annual meeting of the Asia Forum held in Boao, Hainan Province, from 22nd to 25th, national school of development at Peking University, Honorary President, former Vice President Justin yifu Lin, representative of World Bank research team published in the forum for the first time "restructuring of the inclusive index."

He said that China is likely until around 2020, becomes the third from low income to middle income, and then become a high income economy.

Said Justin yifu Lin, the Chinese Government in the national economic and social development, the 13th of the 5-year plan ("Thirteen-Five", from 2016 to 2020) target economic growth rate for the period was more than 6.5%.

Lin believes that the goals can be achieved, because China's industry is now in the low end, you can invest in the high-end industry, manufacturing imports to $ 130 billion each year, so many investment opportunities. And city infrastructure improvement, environment, urbanization will require a lot of investment. But developed countries when the economic downturn of the time, it is difficult to find investment opportunities.

He said, if we can achieve that by 2020, China can reach 90 trillion yuan output value, calculated according to the current exchange rate, the per capita GDP of us $ 11,000.

He said that if China maintains economic growth above 6.5%, has developed a State weak growth, representatives of China's labor productivity rate 4%-5% higher than in developed countries. When the trend is the appreciation of the Yuan. If appreciation, by 2020 the per capita GDP may well reach $ 12,615, that is, the threshold for the high income countries.

Responsible editor: Chen yan SN225

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The World Bank Thirteen-Five

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世行前副总裁林毅夫:2020前后中国将成高收入国|世界银行|十三五_新闻资讯

　　参考消息网3月23日报道 世界银行（World Bank）前副总裁林毅夫22日表示，中国在“十三五”期间可维持6.5%以上的经济增长率，相信不是2020年就是2021年，再慢是2022年，中国一定会变成高收入国家。

　　据台湾“中央社”网站3月22日报道，博鰲亚洲论坛2016年年会22日至25日在海南省博鳌举办，北京大学国家发展研究院名誉院长、世银前副总裁林毅夫代表研究团队在论坛中首次发表“包容性结构转型指数”。

　　他说，中国很可能到2020年前后，变成第三个从低收入进入到中等收入、然后变成高收入经济体。

　　林毅夫表示，中国政府在《国民经济和社会发展第13个5年规划纲要》（简称“十三五”，2016年至2020年）期间的经济成长率目标是达到6.5%以上。

　　林毅夫认为上述目标可以实现，因为中国现在的产业在中低端，可以投资到中高端产业升级，每年制造业的进口还要到1300亿美元，投资机会非常多。而且大陆基础设施进行完善、环境、城镇化都需要很多投资。但已开发国家当经济下行的时候，很难找到投资机会。

　　他说，如果能达成目标，到2020年，中国可以达到人民币90万亿元产值，按现在的汇率计算，人均GDP达1.1万美元。

　　他说，如果中国维持6.5%以上的经济增长，已开发国家进入疲软成长，代表中国劳动生产率增加的速度比已开发国家高出4到5个百分点。届时人民币的趋势是升值。如果加上升值，到2020年人均GDP很可能就会达到1.2615万美元，也就是高收入国家的门槛。

责任编辑：陈琰 SN225

文章关键词：
世界银行 十三五

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