Report of the Chinese Academy of social sciences: 1 quarter of GDP growth is expected to 6.7%| Academy of social sciences | GDP growth _ news

Original title: report of the Chinese Academy of social sciences: about 1 quarter of GDP growth is expected to 6.7%

Beijing News newsletter (reporter Sha Lu) this afternoon, "NAES quarterly analysis of the macro-economic situation", the CASS financial Institute of strategic research group report 2016 1 quarter, China's economy continued the four-quarter dip, expect 1 quarter GDP growth down to about 6.7%.

Financial economic Wang Hongju, Deputy Director of the Department of strategic studies research fellow on behalf of financial institutions research group doing thematic reports. Wang Hongju said 2016 1 quarter, China's economy continued the four-quarter slide in industrial production growth continues to slow, investment slowing consumer spending and severe export situation, overcapacity continues, is expected in 2016 1 quarter GDP growth down to about 6.7%.

According to Wang Hongju introduces, in 2016, the global economy and present "low growth, low inflation and high uncertainty". Under the influence of the economic situation, global monetary policy on a new watershed. Fed is expected in 2016 and start the process of raising interest rates in the second half, the eurozone and Japan continues to expand lax, sharp rise in the dollar, have a profound impact on global capital flows and oil price movements.

For the second quarter, financial institutions research group report, expects economy to stabilise in the second quarter, GDP growth remained at around 6.8%, CPI rose 2.4%. First of all, backing policies have been effective. Some leading indicators improved, moderate revenue increase of contradictions, real estate market rebound, business inventory continues. Same time, increase the supply side reforms, break shackles civil institutional barriers to economic development, support innovation and development. In addition, strengthening the construction of major infrastructure projects, promoting the construction of camp increases and other fiscal and tax management system, strong positive financial policies to prevent precipitation caused money supply fluctuations, flexible and prudent monetary policy will need to cut interest rates continue to drop, for the smooth operation of economic backing.

Responsible editor: Liu Debin SN222

Article keywords:
Academy of social sciences, GDP growth

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社科院报告：预计1季度GDP增速下滑至6.7%|社科院|GDP增速_新闻资讯

　　原标题：社科院报告：预计1季度GDP增速下滑至6.7%左右

　　新京报快讯(记者沙璐)在今天下午的“NAES宏观经济形势季度分析会”上，中国社科院财经战略研究院课题组报告认为，2016年1季度中国经济延续去年四季度的下滑态势，预计1季度GDP增速下滑至6.7%左右。

　　财经院综合经济战略研究部副主任汪红驹研究员代表财经院课题组做主题报告。汪红驹表示，2016年1季度，中国经济延续去年四季度的下滑态势，工业生产增速继续放缓，投资增速趋缓，消费低迷，出口形势严峻，去过剩产能继续进行，预计中国2016年1季度GDP增速下滑至6.7%左右。

　　据汪红驹介绍，2016年全球经济总体呈现“低增长、低通胀和高不确定性”特征。受经济状况影响，全球货币政策走上新的分水岭。预计美联储将于2016年下半年启动加息进程，欧元区和日本继续扩大宽松力度，美元大幅升值，对全球资本流动和油价走势产生深远影响。

　　对于二季度的情况，财经院课题组报告认为，预计二季度经济基本企稳，GDP增速保持在6.8%左右，CPI上涨2.4%左右。首先，托底政策已经发挥效力。部分先行指标好转、财政收支矛盾加大、房地产市场温和回暖，企业去库存继续进行。同时，加大供给侧改革力度，破除束缚民间经济发展的体制壁垒，大力支持创新发展。此外，政府加强重大基础设施工程建设，推动营改增等财税管理体制建设，实施有力的积极财政政策防止资金沉淀造成货币供应波动，灵活稳健的货币政策还将需继续降准降息，为经济平稳运行托底。

责任编辑：刘德宾 SN222

文章关键词：
社科院 GDP增速

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