National Climate Center: comparison of precipitation in middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, or severe
Beijing, April 1, the national climate Center climate monitoring and research of engineering Zhou Bing today pointed out that 2016 climatictype total deviation, primarily taking into account the impact of strong El Ni?o events, under normal circumstances, super strong El Nino year 2016 in this case, its impact on the main flood season in China is very clear.
CMA 1st Press Releases March national weather and climate characteristics, review of major weather and climate events at home and abroad; "qingming Festival" weather forecast weather and during the next ten days; spring agricultural production and forest steppe fire weather services, and so on.
Zhou Bing this year's flood forecast predicts that the national climate Center has a basic conclusion, 2016 climatictype total deviation, primarily taking into account the impact of strong El Ni?o events. Under normal circumstances, super strong El Nino year 2016 in this case, its impact on the main flood season in China is very clear.
"We concern to, may this year Yangtze River middle and lower reaches of area precipitation situation compared severe, but El just a years inter scale Shang of important signal", Zhou bing said, effect to China main flood of climate factors many, which including has East summer wind of strength changes, most highlight of features is subtropical high pressure system activities or long time stable, situation, addition also has from tropical marine vapor conveying of features,
Zhou Bing introduced, so said this year General old said we estimates has meteorological times, but from forecast of angle, also exists some not determine factors, each El of appeared, on global and China climate of effect has common yiwai, each of features also has different, not El occurred Hou climate on must will led to a species specific of exception, so we meteorological sector also close concern various factors including monsoon system of activities and from tropical also including in the latitude circulation system of changes transition,.
(Editors: Biao Guo UN832)
2016-04-01 19:42:15
China News Network

国家气候中心：长江中下游降水情况或比较严峻
中新网4月1日电  国家气候中心气候监测室正研级高工周兵今日指出，2016年气候年景总体偏差，主要是考虑到这次超强厄尔尼诺事件的影响，一般情况下，超强厄尔尼诺的次年，像2016年这种情况，它对中国主汛期的影响是非常明确的。

　　中国气象局1日举行新闻发布会，发布3月全国天气气候特征、国内外主要天气气候事件回顾；“清明节”期间天气及未来十天天气趋势预报；春季农业生产及森林草原防火气象服务情况等内容。

　　周兵就今年汛期预测指出，国家气候中心有一个基本的结论，2016年气候年景总体偏差，主要是考虑到这次超强厄尔尼诺事件的影响。一般情况下，超强厄尔尼诺的次年，像2016年这种情况，它对中国主汛期的影响是非常明确的。

　　“我们关注到，可能今年长江中下游地区降水情况比较严峻，但是厄尔尼诺只是一个年际尺度上的重要信号”，周兵称，影响到中国主汛期的气候因素很多，其中包括了东亚夏季风的强度变化，最突出的特点就是副热带高压系统活动或者长时间稳定等情况，另外还有来自热带海洋水汽输送的特点，

　　周兵介绍，所以说今年总体老说我们预估了气象年景，但从预测的角度来讲还存在一些不确定因素，每次厄尔尼诺的出现，对全球和中国气候的影响有共性以外，每次的特点还有不同，不是厄尔尼诺发生后气候就必然会导致某种特定的异常，所以我们气象部门也密切关注各种因素包括季风系统的活动以及来自热带也包括中高纬度环流系统的变化转折等。
(责任编辑：郭彪 UN832)
2016-04-01 19:42:15
中国新闻网