Foreign media say developed countries most dependent on China and Australia: don't sell iron ore to China sellers | Australia _ news
Reference news, April 4, foreign media said that as China's industrialization helped reshape Australia's economy, the Asian giant to consumption-led growth is to challenge again in Australia.
According to the United States by Bloomberg News, April 1, according to Australia Reserve Bank of China for food and energy demands will only partially offset the slow growth of iron ore exports. For more than a decade, iron ore exports for the entire Australia pumped more cash. This means that, at the time of cooling real estate market, Australia must find new growth drivers.
Australia's Central Bank Governor Glenn Stevens admitted a few days ago, could not understand how China's transition. His comments suggested that the developed countries most dependent on the Chinese State are at greater risk. Meeting minutes of the Central Bank Board on March 1 showed that policy makers discuss China issues most of the time.
"Abnormally low interest rates push up asset prices, brought confidence to the people, now that confidence has boosted Australia's economy. "Director Andrew Charlton said a consulting company in Sydney. Charlton was as an adviser to former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd.
Reports for Australia, the stakes are high. China accounted for Australia trade one-third. In addition, according to Australia Reserve Bank Chief China experts Yiwan·luoboci in a research report released on March 18, in the next 20 years, Australia's commodity exports to China, share resources will still be greater than food.
Pressure is not confined to Asia. Fitch Ratings warned on March 24, amid concerns that the Chinese producers poses a threat to continental European counterparts, EU measures to consider imposing stiffer tariffs on steel imports, China's steel production may actually fall. This will inevitably affect Australia's iron ore industry, prices have fallen in the past five years about 75%.
Reported that to date, Australia have in adapting to the changing of Chinese economic flexibility. At the end of last year, as household savings rates to fall, driven by consumer spending, Australia's growth accelerated to 3%.
Australia's data show that crucial moment in Australia, China is intensifying the transition to consumption-led growth, which helped boost Australia's non-resource industries. Meanwhile, Australia is looking for new opportunities, to provide food to its biggest trading partners, services and healthcare products, Sydney and other cities have more Chinese tourists than at any other time.
According to HSBC Holdings, Australia's net exports of services have increased in the past year about 0.5%, and a few years ago, net exports of services have also been a drag on the country's economic growth.
"Driving this growth is that Asia's middle-class income growth, and favored spending more on services, tourism and education. "HSBC Australia and New Zealand Chief Economist baoluo·buluokesihanmu said. He added that the Chinese population only 4% Passport. "The recent growth is likely to last. ”
However, long Zhou andelu·batesen, an economist in Hong Kong believe that Fanny Pack bulging Chinese tourism boom will not be sufficient to fill the gap left by the collapse in commodity.
"In the mining industry before the great depression, Australia's elasticity is not actually due to surge of new demand of Chinese consumers," Batson said, "simply stated, in response to China's real estate boom ended, Australia has released its real estate boom. ”
Over the past seven years, as mortgage rates fell to 50-year low point, foreigners in Australia House (many people associated with China) helped fuel the boom in real estate prices around 55%.
Reported in the past two months, as people began to doubt the Federal Reserve's tightening of policy degree, stabilization of commodity prices, the Australian dollar has risen. While Australia need currency in its favour, risk is that further appreciation could be a drag on its service industry.
United Kingdom jielimi·laosen, standard life investments Chief Economist said when when the decline in mining investment, real estate investments take over, but the question now is, what to do next.
"The question is: what is driving growth? "Australia's Central Bank said Lawson. In view of the reduction of fiscal space, "Australia particularly vulnerable to the effects of a global economic recession under." (Compile/Hong Man)
Source: reference news network
Responsible editor: Liu Debin SN222
Article keywords:China Australia
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外媒称发达国家中澳最依赖中国:不卖铁矿改卖房|中国澳大利亚_新闻资讯
参考消息网4月4日报道 外媒称，正如中国的工业化帮助重塑澳大利亚的经济一样，这个亚洲巨人走向消费主导的经济增长正在给澳洲重新构成挑战。
据美国彭博新闻社网站4月1日报道，根据澳大利亚储备银行，中国对食品和能源的需求将仅部分抵消铁矿石出口的缓慢增长。十年多来，铁矿石出口为整个澳大利亚输送现金。这意味着，在房地产市场降温之际，澳大利亚必须找到新的增长动力。
澳大利亚央行行长格伦·史蒂文斯日前承认，不可能了解中国的转型将如何展开。他的言论暗示着，这个发达国家中最依赖中国的国家的风险更大了。央行董事会3月1日的会议纪要显示，决策者大部分时间都在讨论中国问题。
“异常低的利率推动了资产价格，给人们带来了信心，此刻这种信心提振了澳大利亚的经济。”悉尼一家咨询公司主管安德鲁·查尔顿说。查尔顿一度为前总理陆克文担任顾问。
报道称，对澳大利亚而言，赌注很高。中国约占澳大利亚贸易的三分之一。此外，根据澳大利亚储备银行首席中国问题专家伊万·罗伯茨在3月18日发布的一份研究报告，在未来二十年，在澳大利亚对中国的大宗商品出口中，资源所占的份额仍会大于食物。
压力并不仅限于亚洲。惠誉国际信用评级有限公司在3月24日警告说，由于担心中国生产商对欧洲大陆同行构成威胁，欧盟采取措施，考虑征收更严厉 的钢铁进口关税，中国的钢铁产量可能会实际上下降。这将不可避免地波及澳大利亚的铁矿石行业，其价格已在过去五年中下跌了大约75%。
报道称，迄今为止，澳大利亚经济灵活性已经在适应正在发生改变的中国。在去年年底，随着家庭储蓄率下降，在消费者支出的推动下，澳大利亚的增长加速至3%。
澳大利亚的数据显示，在对澳中两国而言至关重要的时刻，中国向消费主导的增长的过渡正在加剧，这有助于提振澳大利亚的非资源产业。与此同时，澳 大利亚正在寻求新的机会，以向其最大的贸易伙伴提供食物、服务和医疗产品，而飞往悉尼和其他城市的中国大陆游客比其他任何时候都多。
根据汇丰银行控股公司，澳大利亚的净服务出口在过去一年增加了大约0.5个百分点，而在几年前，净服务出口还一直在拖累该国经济增长。
“驱动这一增长的是，亚洲中产阶级收入的增长，以及变得偏爱把更多的开支花在旅游和教育服务方面。”汇丰银行澳大利亚和新西兰问题首席经济学家保罗·布洛克斯汉姆说。他补充说，目前中国人口中仅有4%有护照。“最近的增长很可能会持久下去。”
不过，香港龙洲经讯经济学家安德鲁·巴特森认为，腰包鼓鼓的中国游客的旅游热潮将不足以填补商品暴跌留下的缺口。
“在矿业萧条面前，澳大利亚的弹性实际上并不归功于中国消费者新需求的激增，”巴特森说，“简单地说，为了应对中国房地产繁荣期的结束，澳大利亚释放了自身的房地产市场繁荣。”
在过去七年间，随着抵押贷款利率下降到50年来低点，外国人在澳大利亚的购房(许多人与中国有关联)帮助推动了房地产价格暴涨55%左右。
报道称，在过去的两个月里，随着人们开始怀疑联邦储备局对政策的收紧程度，以及商品价格趋于稳定，澳元已经升值了。而此时澳大利亚正需要货币汇率对其有利，风险是，进一步升值可能会拖累其服务行业。
英国标准人寿投资公司首席经济学家杰里米·劳森说，当矿业投资下滑之时，房地产投资接手过来，但现在的问题是，下一步该怎么走。
“问题是：是什么驱使增长？”曾在澳大利亚央行工作的劳森说。鉴于财政空间的减少，“澳大利亚特别容易受到下一场全球经济衰退的影响”。(编译/洪漫)
来源：参考消息网
责任编辑：刘德宾 SN222
文章关键词： 中国澳大利亚
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