Foreign media said no winner never won a real return of the Philippines sea arbitration cases Nanhai | | | arbitration _ the Philippines news

Original title: foreign media said South China sea battle never won a Philip real return

Reference news, May 8 United Kingdom China May 2 was published, entitled the broadcasting company's website reviews: South China Sea arbitration case: a battle without winners article, the author for the United Kingdom's Royal Institute of international affairs Xue Guifang, a senior researcher, compiled as follows:

In January 2013, Philippines Philippines disputes in the South China Sea between the two countries start enforcing the arbitration procedure. Since then, the arbitration case in South China Sea received unprecedented attention. The South China Sea has been growing in "high wind swells and contradictions", seems to mind drift away from the settlement of disputes. Even just around the corner of the ruling as "minority" wish, nor to dispute eased, it will be a battle without winners.

Face of the ruling, questioning the voice of China will be merged into a more powerful influence. Legal aspects will make China face more criticism from the international community.

But the Philippines also have more income. Apparently underestimated the justices hearing the case of the Philippines legal literacy, maintenance of the United Nations Convention on the law of purpose and integrity is the top priority of the International Court of arbitration, the lack of official qualitative "nine lines" difficult to be relied upon. In addition to "smear" of China, the Philippine side has more benefits. Even against Philip island as a "Rock" or even "low Heights" will not change the reality of the dispute worsened.

United States are not stakeholders in the South China Sea, in addition to publicly and privately asked China to comply with the arbitration, and the efforts of the allies to sustain freedom of navigation and overflight, United States does not have an empty sea, GEO and time advantages, unsustainable for long. Their motivation was clear: in addition to challenge China's claim to put pressure on China beyond is more to the world, and particularly its allies claim credit for the future when they can't go "unscathed" pave.

Decision after the results are announced, if the United States adopted a new round of cruise, China may take retaliatory measures, including the publication of the baseline point of the Nansha baseline, huangyan Island Island reclamation work and the construction of airport runways, strengthening its control over the South China Sea.

Source: reference news network

Responsible editor: Wang Hao

Article keywords:
Arbitration South Philippines

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外媒称南海仲裁案没有赢家 菲律宾难获实质收益|仲裁|南海|菲律宾_新闻资讯

　　原标题：外媒称南海争斗菲难获实质收益　　

　　参考消息网5月8日报道 英国广播公司网站5月2日发表题为《点评中国：南中国海仲裁案：一场没有赢家的争斗》的文章，作者为英国皇家国际问题研究所高级研究员薛桂芳，编译如下：

　　2013年1月，菲律宾就中菲两国间的南中国海争端启动强制仲裁程序。此后，南中国海仲裁案得到空前关注。南中国海局势日益“风高浪急、矛盾丛生”，似乎离解决争端的初衷渐行渐远。即便指日可待的裁决结果如“众”所愿，也无助于争端的缓解，反而会成为一场没有赢家的争斗。

　　面对可能的裁决结果，质疑中国的声音会汇成更强大的影响力。法律方面会使中国面临国际社会的更多批评。

　　但菲律宾也难有更多收益。菲律宾显然低估了审理此案的大法官们的法律素养，维护《联合国海洋法公约》的宗旨和整体性是国际仲裁法庭的头等任务，对缺乏官方定性的“九段线”恐难予以裁决。除“抹黑”中国外，菲方难有更多收益。即便将菲所诉岛屿定性为“岩礁”甚至“低潮高地”，也不会改变争端进一步恶化的现实。

　　美国并非南中国海的利益攸关方，除了公开和私下里要求中国遵守仲裁、与盟国持续进行航行与飞越自由的努力外，美国不具有空海、地缘和时间优势，难以支撑太久。其动机其实很明显：除挑战中国的主张，向中国施压之外，更是向世界尤其是其盟友邀功，为日后自己撑不下去时的“全身而退”做好铺垫。

　　裁决结果公布后，如果美国采取新一轮的巡航活动，中国可能采取反制措施，包括公布南沙的领海基点基线、在黄岩岛进行填海造岛作业和机场跑道建设等，强化其对南中国海的控制。

　　来源：参考消息网

责任编辑：王浩成

文章关键词：
仲裁 南海 菲律宾

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