SOA: too much rain due to El Nino this year South | | El | rain South _ news

Original title: SOA: too much rain due to El Ni?o is expected to flood the South

Beijing News News (reporters Wang Shuo) duration 13 months of 2015/2016 very strong El Nino events, which had ended in April this year, State of Equatorial Eastern Pacific will enter the La Ni?a in summer. This morning, the State Oceanic Administration, held a press conference on this year's marine disaster forecast in flood season status.

Forecast Center climate prediction of Oceanography room Feng Licheng, the Deputy Director said that 2015/2016 very strong El Nino event have ended, but the impact on China's offshore ocean environment will continue. Forecast Center predicted that under the influence of the El Nino events, occurrences of red tide in East China Sea waters this summer may be too much storm surge disaster will be all the more likely, the East China Sea and South China Sea fishery production or will be affected.

Forecast Center disaster warning of Oceanography director Li Baohui, said with the end of the El Ni?o event, Equatorial Eastern Pacific this summer may enter La Ni?a, La Ni?a event could enter the development stage after going into the fall. It is reported that the La Ni?a event occurred, Western Pacific warmer, conducive to the formation of typhoons, fall need to guard against typhoons and more impact on China's coast.

El Nino refers to the Central and Eastern Equatorial Pacific waters continued phenomenon of abnormal high temperature range, opposite of La Nina and El Nino phenomenon refers to East-Central Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies on the cold side of phenomena. Historical statistics, strong after the occurrence of the El Ni?o phenomenon, turned to the La Nina phenomenon is more likely.

Monitoring shows that the El Ni?o events since the beginning of April 2015 April 2016 end, over a period of 13 months.

　　Follow-up: El Nino, La Nina will affect?

Forecast Center climate prediction of Oceanography room Feng Licheng, the Deputy Director said that is far away from our country of East-Central Equatorial Pacific, has no direct effect on our country, through atmospheric circulation and other factors, there is a certain lag,

Usually have an impact on our country the following year.

Feng Licheng said this year is a very strong El Nino events the following year, so the larger impact of the El Ni?o phenomenon in our country will also be at the show this year. Based on anticipated, this year's flood, JAC, jianghan, South and Southwest more precipitation than normal in the South and North China, Huang-Huai, loop and less precipitation than normal over South China. The temperature is expected to flood season in most parts of China this year just slightly warmer temperatures over a year earlier, but much of the Northeast and cooler parts of the huaihe River over a year earlier.

This summer will gradually rise into a La Nina phenomenon in the winter have a greater impact on China's expected this winter, snowfall in South China more. "In 2008, frozen snow in the South, which is under the influence of La Nina", Feng Licheng said.

Responsible editor: Zheng Hanxing

Article keywords:
El Ni?o rains in southern

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国家海洋局：因厄尔尼诺预计今年南方雨水偏多|厄尔尼诺|雨水|南方_新闻资讯

　　原标题：国家海洋局：因厄尔尼诺预计今年汛期南方雨水偏多

　　新京报快讯(记者王硕)持续时间长达13个月的2015/2016年极强厄尔尼诺事件，已于今年4月结束，赤道中东太平洋将于夏季进入拉尼娜状态。今天上午，国家海洋局召开新闻发布会，通报今年汛期海洋灾害预警预报情况。

　　国家海洋局预报中心海洋气候预测室副主任冯立成表示，2015/2016年极强厄尔尼诺事件虽已结束，但对我国近海海洋环境的影响仍将持续。预报中心预计，受本次厄尔尼诺事件影响，今年夏季东海海域赤潮发生次数可能偏多，风暴潮致灾的几率将加大，东海和南海渔业生产或将受影响。

　　国家海洋局预报中心海洋灾害预警报室主任李宝辉表示，随着厄尔尼诺事件的结束，今年夏季赤道中东太平洋可能进入拉尼娜状态，进入秋季后拉尼娜事件可能进入发展期。据悉，拉尼娜事件发生后，西太平洋偏暖，有利于台风的生成，秋季需防范台风偏多对我国沿海的影响。

　　厄尔尼诺是指赤道太平洋中东部的海水温度大范围持续异常偏高的现象，拉尼娜与厄尔尼诺现象正好相反，是指赤道太平洋中东部海面温度持续异常偏冷的现象。历史统计，极强厄尔尼诺现象发生后，转向拉尼娜现象几率较大。

　　监测显示，本次厄尔尼诺事件自2015年4月开始，2016年4月结束，时间长达13个月。

　　追问：厄尔尼诺、拉尼娜对我国会产生哪些影响?

　　国家海洋局预报中心海洋气候预测室副主任冯立成表示，赤道太平洋中东部离我国较远，不会直接影响我国，需要通过大气环流等因素作用，存在一定的滞后性，

　　通常在发生次年对我国产生影响。

　　冯立成表示，今年是极强厄尔尼诺事件的次年，所以此次厄尔尼诺现象对我国的较大影响也将在今年显现。根据预计，今年汛期，我国江淮、江汉、江南及西南南部地区降水较常年偏多，而华北、黄淮、河套及华南地区降水较常年同期偏少。气温方面，预计今年汛期我国大部分地区温度较常年同期略偏暖，但东北大部及江淮部分地区较常年同期偏冷。

　　而今年夏季逐渐升成的拉尼娜现象将在冬季对我国产生较大影响，预计今年冬季，我国南方降雪较多。“2008年南方的冰冻暴雪天气，即是受拉尼娜现象的影响”，冯立成说。

责任编辑：郑汉星

文章关键词：
厄尔尼诺 雨水 南方

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