United Kingdom out of the EU to global great earthquake! Five major changes will occur in your life | | EU United Kingdom from the European Union _ news

Headline! United Kingdom out of the EU, the global great earthquake! Your life will be five changes

24th at noon Beijing time, United Kingdom out of the EU referendum results settled, "out of the EU" win, United Kingdom from the European Union.

United Kingdom out of the EU will affect? ￡ Great earthquake collapsed the global market, Mr Cameron may resign; Chinese tourism buy buy buy to study in the UK will be more cost effective ... Today at 1 o'clock in the afternoon, CCTV financial channel will be broadcast around the clock, for everyone to read.

　　Impact on the global economy

≫>>> impact international capital markets

To see recent volatility in international financial markets has been evident, London is one of the world's two biggest financial centers, at present, has become the most dynamic and the most important trading center and one of the offshore RMB market, if the status changes, the impact of simple is by no means an economist can be measured.

United Kingdom out of the EU, and London's status as one of the world's top financial center, or challenge, the internationalization of the Yuan and China's capital "going out" have some influence.

≫>>> pound sterling exchange rate

United Kingdom out of the EU, Sterling is bound to fall, although the United Kingdom for those who study abroad and tourism, is a big plus.

But in the short term in the foreign exchange market, from the devaluation of the pound after EU, will strengthen against the dollar, devaluation of the Renminbi against the dollar and drive.

≫>>> the world political situation will overwrite

At least, to be sure, United Kingdom from the European Union, bringing the inevitable is the disruption of European integration, the EU can hardly escape the fate of divided. If that is so, the pattern of world politics will rewrite, though not relapse into war in Europe, but will inevitably go weak, I'm afraid this is what many people want to see.

　　Impact on China?

　　1, trade and investment negotiations or meet the challenge

1% in both the current EU average tariff levels, taking into account the volume of China's economy and international standing, even if the United Kingdom out of the EU, the European Union and the United Kingdom to China increase its tariff level of probability is small, so out of the EU's impact on China's trade is limited. United Kingdom has supported the process of liberalization of trade in China and the European Union, United Kingdom out of the EU, progress in the negotiations between China and the European Union, or affected.

　　2, devaluation pressure or

Fed rate hikes will only be late not absent, United Kingdom from the European Union could push the dollar index. If the Fed raised interest rates, United Kingdom from the European Union comes together, pressure of devaluation of the renminbi is likely to be recycled.

　　3, the result of the referendum as an important factor in affecting the share movements

Last week, the Fed rate hike moratorium Ludo, United Kingdom "from the EU" would become a referendum on including a-share stock markets around the world, an important factor in nerve.

As of 23rd close, Prev-0.47%, fell 2,900 points again. Jufeng investment analysis, United Kingdom "from the EU" referendum makes shares rise in risk aversion. But the market remains rangebound, up both crash probability is not high.

CITIC Securities analysis, United Kingdom "from the EU" referendum results will directly determine the short-term capital market trends.

Analysts pointed out that investors ' asset allocation in a-share markets may be delayed or reduced. Judging from the plate, holding of euro and Sterling assets of foreign trade enterprises, the banking industry was of great impact.

　　4, "out of the EU" to study pros and cons: tuition price is higher

"If the United Kingdom out of the EU, United Kingdom will study more easily? "A lot of students in the United Kingdom are thinking about this issue on the eve of the referendum.

Overall, the study abroad cost changes to exchange rates, commodity prices, the result of many factors, such as employment.

On one hand, "out of the EU" success, Sterling will face more downward pressure, nature will reduce the pound on the Yuan exchange rate, and for outside people to study abroad, tuition will be reduced a lot.

The other hand, the experts said, "the United Kingdom out of the success of the European Union, trade partnerships with the European Union in the short term will be eased." This section only by means of raising prices to make up for losses, coupled with the adverse economic conditions, will the United Kingdom overall rise in prices, students living on the "rising tide".

"From the practical standpoint, a referendum on the behavior of individuals studying abroad had little impact. "Working in a study abroad agency Zhang told reporters, first of all," out of the EU "will not waver United Kingdom current policy, allocated to China to study in the UK will not increase the number of second, pound of the fluctuation of prices, tuition fees, offset to a certain extent.

　　5, a weaker pound will reduce the cost of travel to British shopping more affordable

Students are waiting for the results of the similar, a lot of Chinese tourists is headed to English did not dare to "rash actions".

"Still don't know how to change Exchange rates, ready to look at the referendum results, then we can determine when to swap" has made "11" UK air tickets Tian told Xinhua, booking a hotel, watching the Raiders felt United Kingdom price is very high, "out of the EU" succeeded Sterling down to outbound tourists can save a lot of money.

"Out of the EU" will increase the United Kingdom Visa's difficult is it? In fact, Chinese citizens went to United Kingdom tourism requires a separate application for a tourist visa, and 26 European Schengen common Schengen visa is not the same, so "out of the EU" will not increase the difficulty of Chinese visa in the UK.

In addition, if the devaluation of the pound, United Kingdom tourism and shopping have a certain good, United Kingdom purchase the same goods will cost less money. Haitao, individual transport companies in the local shopping website to purchase goods more affordable in price. E-commerce platforms for channels and pricing is complex, directly affect the geometry it is difficult to predict.

　　News background

　　United Kingdom and European integration and the

United Kingdom in the year 1973 joined the European Union's predecessor, the European economic community. This regional trade organizations have been set up for as long as 16 years. Before and finally decided to become members of the European economic community, United Kingdom has repeatedly rejected its invitation. In the 1975 referendum, more than two-thirds people choose to stay in the European economic community. Today, more than 40 years later, United Kingdom once again held a referendum to decide, leave, or stay.

For the United Kingdom, in the seventies or eighties of the 20th century was troubled times: massive power failure, strike, the oil crisis and inflation of more than 10%. While the European common market brings new opportunities for trade, but opposition voices remain. The big question is:: EEC microstructure evolution from an economic into a political Union. In 1988, Thatcher expressed their views clearly.

United Kingdom Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher: we have not successfully control the United Kingdom some of the outermost regions, but now I see on the European level, a European superpower is to give us orders from Brussels.

But she did not have much effect. In 1992, world leaders signed the Maastricht Treaty, formally announced the establishment of the European Union, and laid the groundwork for single currency.

The London School of economics professor Yien·beige of the Institute of Europe: we cannot pretend not to see the truth. It was in Margaret Thatcher's speech, there is a clear signal that, United Kingdom not always the road to federalism. Eventually, United Kingdom won because federalism was excluded from the political agenda.

But the currency crisis is imminent. United Kingdom finally joined has been reluctant to join the exchange rate mechanism. Which members of the European Union's currency control within a certain range. Market speculators saw the opportunity to profit. They know United Kingdom Central Bank must keep the value of the pound to a certain range. So they use this fact to optimize selling strategies. In September 1992, the situation became out of control.

United Kingdom Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont before: Government came to the conclusion: for the time being leave the exchange rate mechanism in line with United Kingdom interests.

The Black Wednesday, United Kingdom out of the exchange rate mechanism. United Kingdom and European monetary cooperation on exploration ended in failure, the United Kingdom brought more than 3 billion pounds of losses, brought huge losses to the ruling Conservative Party. But in 1997, the United Kingdom's political situation has changed. Labour won a landslide victory in the general election, ending conservative 18-year rule, when the incumbent Prime Minister Tony Blair pledged to make United Kingdom as Europe's leaders. A new political force has embarked on the political scene, it is advocating United Kingdom EU United Kingdom Independence Party.

In the 2015 general election, poll analysis predicted that the results of the elections well matched, the independence party will gain seats in the Parliament, influential. Mr Cameron wants to undermine that threat, his way is held United Kingdom Ou Gong back to vote.

Responsible editor: Chen yan SN225

Article keywords:
EU United Kingdom out of the EU

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英国脱离欧盟全球巨震！你的生活将发生五大改变|欧盟|英国脱离欧盟_新闻资讯

　　大头条！英国脱离欧盟，全球巨震！你的生活将发生五大改变

　　北京时间24日中午，英国脱离欧盟公投结果落定，“脱离欧盟派”胜出，英国将脱离欧盟。

　　英国脱离欧盟将带来哪些影响？全球市场巨震英镑暴跌，卡梅伦可能辞职；中国人赴英留学旅游买买买将更划算...从今天下午1点开始，央视财经频道将进行全天候直播，为大家进行解读。

　　对全球经济的影响

　　>>>>冲击国际资本市场

　　单去看国际金融市场近期的大幅波动就已经可见一斑，伦敦是全球两大金融中心之一，目前，已成为最具活力和最重要的人民币交易中心和离岸人民币市场之一，如果地位改变，所带来的冲击也绝不是经济学家简单能测算出来的。

　　英国退出欧盟，伦敦作为全球顶级金融中心之一的地位或面临挑战，这对人民币的国际化和中国资本“走出去”多少会有些影响。

　　>>>>英镑汇率下跌

　　英国脱离欧盟，英镑汇率势必大跌，虽说对于去英国留学和旅游的人来说，算是一大利好。

　　但短期内在外汇市场，脱离欧盟后英镑的贬值，将会美元升值，进而带动人民币兑美元贬值。

　　>>>>世界政治格局将改写

　　至少可以肯定的，英国脱离欧盟，带来的必然是欧洲一体化的中断，欧盟也难以逃脱四分五裂的命运。如果真的是这样，世界政治舞台的格局将重新改写，欧洲虽不至重陷战争，但不可避免地将走向衰弱，恐怕这是许多人都不愿看到的。

　　对中国有何影响？

　　1、贸易投资谈判或遇挑战

　　当前欧盟各国的平均关税水平均为1%，考虑到中国的经济体量和国际地位，即使英国脱离欧盟，欧盟和英国对中国提高关税水平的概率也不大，所以脱离欧盟对中国现有贸易的冲击很有限。而英国一直支持中国和欧盟贸易自由化进程，英国退出欧盟，中国与欧盟之间谈判进度或受影响。

　　2、人民币贬值压力或再起

　　美联储加息只会迟到不会缺席，而英国脱离欧盟可能推升美元指数。如果美联储加息、英国脱离欧盟一起来袭，人民币很可能会再生贬值压力。

　　3、公投结果成影响A股走势的一个重要因素

　　上周，美联储宣布暂缓加息的话音刚落，英国“脱离欧盟”公投就成为牵动包括A股在内的全球股市神经的一个重要因素。

　　截至23日收盘，沪指跌0.47%，再度失守2900点。巨丰投顾分析认为，英国“脱离欧盟”公投使得A股避险情绪升温。但目前市场依旧是区间震荡，大涨大跌概率均不高。

　　中信建投证券此前分析称，英国“脱离欧盟”公投结果将直接决定短期资本市场的走势。

　　有分析指出，投资者对A股市场的资产配置可能会推迟或者减少。从板块来看，持有欧元资产和英镑资产的外贸企业、银行业受到的影响较大。

　　4、“脱离欧盟”对留学有利有弊：学费降低 物价却更高

　　“如果英国脱离欧盟，去英国留学会不会更容易？”许多留学生在英国公投前夕都在思考这个问题。

　　总体来看，留学成本变动是汇率、物价、就业等多方面因素共同作用的结果。

　　一方面，“脱离欧盟”成功，英镑必将面临较大贬值压力，自然会使英镑对人民币汇率降低，对于留学在外的人来说，学费肯定会降低不少。

　　另一方面，有专家表示，“英国如果脱离欧盟成功，短期内与欧盟的贸易合作伙伴关系一定会有所松动”。这部分损失只能通过上调物价等手段弥补，加之不利的经济环境，会使英国物价整体上涨，留学生生活费也就“水涨船高”。

　　“从实际情况来看，公投对个人留学行为的影响甚小。”就职于某留学中介机构的张老师告诉记者，首先，“脱离欧盟”不会动摇英国现行的留学政策，分配给中国地区的赴英留学人数也不会增加；其次，英镑贬值带来的物价、学费波动，在一定程度上可以相互抵消。

　　5、英镑若走弱将降低赴英旅游成本 购物更实惠

　　与留学生们静待结果的情况类似，很多即将奔赴英旅游的中国游客也不敢“轻举妄动”。

　　“还不知道汇率怎么变，准备看看公投结果，再确定啥时去换汇”，已经订好“十一”赴英机票的田小姐告诉记者，订酒店、看攻略的过程就感觉到英国物价很高，“脱离欧盟”成功，英镑汇率降下来，对出境游客来说能省不少钱。

　　“脱离欧盟”会否加大英国签证的办理难度呢？事实上，中国公民去英国旅游就需要单独申请旅游签证，与欧洲26个申根国家通用的申根签证并不一样，因此，“脱离欧盟”不会增加中国赴英签证办理难度。

　　另外，如果英镑贬值，对去英国旅游、购物都有一定的利好，在英国购买同一商品将花费更少的人民币。至于海淘，个人通过转运公司在当地购物网站购买商品的价格会更加实惠。而电商平台因为渠道和定价情况较为复杂，直接影响几何尚难预测。

　　新闻背景

　　英国与欧洲一体化的去与留

　　英国在1973年才加入欧盟的前身—欧洲经济共同体。当时这一区域性贸易组织成立已有16年之久。而且在最终决定成为欧洲经济共同体成员之前，英国曾多次拒绝其邀请。而在1975年的公投中，超过三分之二的英国人选择留在欧洲经济共同体。40多年后的今天，英国再次举行全民公投来决定，是离开，还是留下。

　　对于英国来说，二十世纪七八十年代是多灾多难的时代：大规模停电、罢工、石油危机、通胀率超过10%。尽管欧洲共同市场带来了新的贸易机会，但反对的呼声依旧存在。最大的问题是：欧洲经济共同体开始从一个经济组织演变为一个政治联盟。在1988年，撒切尔就明确表达了自己的观点。

　　英国前首相 撒切尔：我们还没有成功控制住英国最边缘的一些地区，但是现在却看到在欧洲层面上，一个欧洲超级大国正在从布鲁塞尔向我们发号施令。

　　但是她的话并没有起到多大作用。1992年，各国领导人签署了马斯特里赫特条约，正式宣告欧盟的成立，并且为之后的单一货币奠定了基础。

　　伦敦政经学院欧洲研究所教授 伊恩·贝格：我们不能假装看不到这样一个事实。那就是在玛格丽特 撒切尔的演讲中，有明确的信号表示，英国不会一直走向联邦主义的道路。最终，英国获得了胜利，因为联邦主义被排除在政治日程之外。

　　但是一场货币危机即将发生。英国终于加入了迟迟不肯加入的汇率机制。该机制对欧盟成员的货币汇率控制在一定的范围内。市场投机者看到了获利的机会。他们知道英国央行必须将英镑的价值保持在一定的区间内。于是他们利用这一点来优化卖空策略。1992年9月，情况变得失去了控制。

　　英国前财政大臣 诺曼·拉蒙特：政府得出了这样的结论：暂时退出汇率机制最符合英国的利益。

　　那个黑色星期三，英国退出了汇率机制。英国与欧盟在货币上的合作探索以失败告终，这给英国带来30多亿英镑的损失，给执政的保守党也带来了巨大损失。但是在1997年，英国的政治局势发生了变化。工党在大选中赢得了压倒性胜利，结束了保守党18年的统治，当时在任的首相布莱尔承诺，要让英国成为欧洲的领袖。一股新的政治力量也开始走上政治舞台，那就是主张英国退出欧盟的英国独立党。

　　而在2015年的大选中，民调分析者预测，选举的结果势均力敌，独立党会在议会中获得席位，拥有影响力。卡梅伦想要削弱这种威胁，他的办法就是举行英国退欧公投。

责任编辑：陈琰 SN225

文章关键词：
欧盟 英国脱离欧盟

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