China plans new town more than 3,500, 3.4 billion people, who live is a question | Metro district | urban planning _ news

Original title: planned Metro to 3.4 billion people?

According to Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, July 13

Recently in an interview with reporters found that in the case of large urban population, expansion of small towns, small towns are eager to accelerate the development, have put in 2020, 2030 population doubling target. Relevant departments of the State Council, China's data showed that according to incomplete statistics, as of May 2016, more than the County Metro area of more than 3,500, planned population of 3.4 billion.

These plans can hold nearly half the world's population of the town, who is going to live?

　　Metro holds about half the world's population

In 2015, China's urbanization rate was 56.1%, the "Thirteen-Five" program suggested that by 2020 China's population urbanization rate reached 60%, the registered population urbanization rate of 45%.

Li Zuojun, a researcher at China's State Council Development Research Center, said: "currently, China's population urbanization rate of 39.9%, but also to improve the 5% in the future, equivalent to 100 million people settled in the town, a difficult task. ”

However, the reporter found that compared to this arduous task, proposes more ambitious targets in some areas. National development and Reform Commission, the city centre and small town reform and development survey, according to incomplete statistics, as of May 2016, the country above the county level and more than more than 3,500 the number of Metro area. According to previously published surveys of the Centre, the Metro area planning population reached 3.4 billion.

National development reform Board city and small town reform development center of research displayed, more than 3,500 multiple Metro in the, National District 17 a; various national economic and technological development zone, and high-tech district, and fully insurance district, and border economic cooperation district, and export processing district, tourism resort, about 500 a; various provincial industry Park more than 1600 multiple; more mass of city industry Park 1000 a; County following of various industry Park tens of thousands of meter.

"The planned population of 3.4 billion, equivalent to about 2.5 times times the size of China's population, enough to hold about half of the world population. "South China City Planning Association, school of management, said Hu Gang, a professor at Jinan University, this plan is clearly out of touch.

National School of administration, said Wang Yukai, a Professor, China's population growth has passed its peak, and the opening up of a second child, population growth is not likely to rise sharply, mainly incremental transfer of population from rural to town to town. Willingness to consider town, settled in the ability and other factors, no matter what, be filled for 3.4 billion people "pit".

　　Some parts of "the task is to grab people"

How to implement population planning? Western, Southwestern City Planning Department head said in an interview, "we have an important task is to get people." In addition to the rural population into town, also introduced populations in some cities focused on regional and on population movements between cities.

China's regional Science Research Institute Director, Hao Shouyi, a professor at Nankai University and other experts interviewed said that differential signaling in the regulation of population size has made it clear the city, mega-cities to rein in population size, medium and small cities to speed up release settled in the system. As the city's population of "overflow", small towns, small cities, may have to undertake a part of the big city the benefit of the population.

However, in reality served as task of gathering population of smaller cities faced embarrassment. Recent national new urbanization in 2015, according to the report, Chinese migrant workers accounted for more than 70% flows to city-level, into small towns of less than 10%.

Not only people facing difficult in some places, still in the net outflow of "bleeding" status. Reporters recently in "food town" Fujian shaxian County, in the County area, dozens of real estate is on sale, and even some sold houses, the occupancy rate is not high.

Fujian shaxian County construction Bureau official, Sha population more than 260,000, according to the plan, Cheng Guan population should reach 350,000, by 2030. "One-fourth of the population are now out in the snack industry, net outflow of population is not good. ”

　Expert analysis

Overexploitation of radical plans to make real estate real estate to stock more difficult

"Planning the aggressive expansion of the population, behind the cult of local governments on land targets. "Gang Hu said that every sequence of one more person into the town, and this corresponds to the construction of per capita land use indicators. For example, under the current per capita 100 sq m of urban construction land, land of 200,000 and 400,000 population indicators vary greatly, the potential of land transfer income, cause was land finance in trouble.

Latest land and resources "Thirteen-Five" program, according to the "Twelve-Five" national urban construction land growth of about 20% in the period, much higher than the increase in urban population of 11% over, growth of urban construction land is approximately 180% urban population growth in the same period.

Experts pointed out that close contact among planning, land, people, planning, population "larger picture", a direct effect of excessive real estate development, to become hard. National development and Reform Commission reform and development center research shows cities and small towns, a city in Yunnan district, bid, auction of land in residential 74.63%, business services infrastructure projects accounted for only 15.53%, industrial projects 5.24%.

Property analysis of Zhang Dawei, Chief market analyst, some three or four line the city's new town development too much emphasis on housing, a single module, 3.4 billion of population planning means great real estate market development, will further increase the commercial housing inventory of hard to digest.

Responsible editor: Sun Ailin SN146

Article keywords:
Metro area city planning

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中国全国规划新城超过3500个，能住34亿人，谁来住是个问题|新城新区|城市规划_新闻资讯

　　原标题：规划的新城要容纳34亿人？

　　据新华社北京7月13日电

　　记者近期在多地采访发现，在特大城市限制人口、中小城镇扩容的情况下，一些中小城镇迫切希望加速发展，纷纷提出2020年、2030年人口倍增的目标。中国国务院有关部门数据显示，据不完全统计，截至2016年5月，全国县以上新城新区超过3500个，规划人口达34亿。

　　这些规划能容纳全世界近一半人口的新城，谁来住？

　　新城可装世界约一半人口

　　2015年，我国城镇化率为56.1%，“十三五”规划纲要提出，到2020年我国常住人口城镇化率达60%，户籍人口城镇化率达45%。

　　中国国务院发展研究中心研究员李佐军说：“目前我国户籍人口城镇化率为39.9%，未来还要提高5个百分点，相当于有1亿人在城镇落户，任务艰巨。”

　　然而，记者调查发现，比起这个艰巨的任务，一些地方提出了更加宏伟的目标。国家发展改革委城市和小城镇改革发展中心调查显示，据不完全统计，截至2016年5月，全国县及县以上的新城新区数量3500多个。据该中心此前发布的调查显示，这些新城新区规划人口达到34亿。

　　国家发展改革委城市和小城镇改革发展中心的研究显示，3500多个新城中，国家级新区17个；各类国家级经济技术开发区、高新区、综保区、边境经济合作区、出口加工区，旅游度假区等约500个；各类省级产业园区1600多个； 较大规模的市产业园1000个； 县以下的各类产业园上万计。

　　“规划人口34亿，约相当于中国目前人口规模的2.5倍，足以装下全世界约一半人口。”华南城市规划学会会长、暨南大学管理学院教授胡刚表示，这种规划显然脱离实际。

　　国家行政学院教授汪玉凯表示，中国人口的生育高峰已经过去，即便全面放开二胎，人口增速不会出现大幅上涨，城镇化的主要增量来源于进城农村转移人口。考虑进城意愿、落户能力等多方面因素，不管怎么算，也填不满34亿人口的“大坑”。

　　一些地方“任务是抢人”

　　如何落实人口规划？西部、西南部几个地市规划部门负责人在接受记者采访时表示，“我们一个重要的任务就是抢人”。除了进城农村转移人口，一些城市也把人口引进目标聚焦在区域和城市间人口流动上。

　　中国区域科学研究会理事长、南开大学教授郝寿义等受访专家表示，城市人口规模差别化调控的信号已经明确，特大城市严控人口规模，中小城市加快放开落户制度。随着特大城市人口“溢出”，对小城镇、小城市来说，可能会迎来承接一部分大城市转移人口的利好。

　　然而，现实中担当集聚人口重任的中小城市却面临尴尬。近期出版的《国家新型城镇化报告2015》显示，中国农民工流向地市级以上的占70%以上，流向小城镇的不到10%。

　　一些地方不仅面临引进人口难，还处于人口净流出的“失血”状态。记者近日在“小吃之乡”福建沙县看到，在县城新区，数十个楼盘正在促销，即使一些售出的房子，入住率也并不高。

　　福建沙县建设局相关负责人介绍，沙县人口26万多，按照规划，到2030年城关人口要达到35万。“现在四分之一的人口都外出从事小吃行业，人口不净流出就不错了。”

　　专家解析

　　激进规划使房产过度开发让商品房去库存更加艰难

　　“规划人口的激进扩张，背后是地方政府对土地指标的狂热追求。”胡刚表示，每多一个人进入城镇化序列，与此对应的人均建设用地指标就多。例如，按照目前人均城市建设用地100平方米计算，20万人口和40万人口的土地指标差别很大，潜在的土地出让收益就多，根由还是土地财政在作怪。

　　最新公布的 《国土资源“十三五”规划纲要》显示，“十二五”时期全国城镇建设用地增长约20%，远高于同期城镇人口11%的增幅，城镇建设用地增长速度约为同期城镇人口增幅的180%。

　　专家指出，规划、土地、人口三者紧密联系，规划人口“画大饼”，直接的影响就是房地产过度开发，去库存艰难。国家发展改革委城市和小城镇改革发展中心的研究显示，云南某城市一个新区，招拍挂土地中，住宅高达74.63%，商业服务业设施项目只占15.53%，工业项目只有5.24%。

　　中原地产首席市场分析师张大伟分析，目前一些三四线城市的新城发展过多偏重于住宅这一单一模块，34亿的人口规划意味着房地产市场又要大发展，将进一步增加难以消化的商品房库存。

责任编辑：孙爱林 SN146

文章关键词：
新城新区 城市规划

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