Beijing property market collapse in stock: owners sat starting at next day, up 300,000 | property | stock _ news

House prices have soared while people begin to see the direction, but it led to buy up not buying panic of the fall. The China Times reporter taking the recent Beijing homebuyers identity House, second-hand housing market survey, a surge of anxiety mood in the Beijing property market.

"100,000 dollars to a number, you can put your card order in advance, but not necessarily to buy, but probability is larger. "A new opening in Beijing project a salesperson told reporters. In addition to the new homes market, reporters at a Beijing real estate trading floor saw, full of anxious faces, people waited anxiously to queued transactions.

Chinese Counselor of the State Council, Ministry of housing, former Vice Minister of construction Qiu baoxing at a recent real estate Summit hosted by the founder securities pointed out that national financial sector policy and regulation of the real estate sector objectives conflict with each other is to promote one of the key reasons for this round of price hikes. That financial regulators allowed the down payment loan, allows residents to add leverage, prices immediately soared.

　House prices up $ 300,000

August was a weak, Beijing property market suddenly booming.

On September 19, the statistics for August released 70 cities nationwide House sales data. Data show that overall rise in prices. Among them, Beijing in August new housing and housing prices rose 3.8% and 3.9%, respectively, rising far above the July 1.7% and 1.6%.

Chain stores in dongcheng district, told reporters that owner sincerely recently sold houses are almost sold, sold quickly, and turnover is high, fewer and fewer houses became more and more nervous, CEng price goes up.

Tiantong real estate stores real estate agents in wheat fields told reporters, though many buyers, but sold a House was not easy, because owners who sell less in good faith, owners of continuous sat starts at, a room was too much a 300,000 rise the next day.

Recently Ms Lee told reporters of the planned purchase ridicule, the Mid-Autumn Festival showings, watch a set, every day, being robbed, or don't know if intermediaries intentionally or is really so hot.

"I recently saw a new plate or near the subway, nor school districts, only two or three weeks, then looked 31000 Yuan/square meter, 36000 Yuan now. "Lee told reporters, because it is in the Fangshan area, myself started showing did not do a very high budget, that can accept between 2.6 million to 2.8 million, was later prices higher and higher, but then I thought that 3 million would help, see now from 4 million acceptable.

Agency officials said, bought up not to buy down the buyer and the seller to be up, and the Bank's easy credit policy, combined to push up the property market in Beijing, including the recently soaring housing market.

In fact, Beijing property market whether it is new or second-hand, is a fierce rally in the near future. Centaline said Chief Analyst Zhang Dawei, Beijing in August prices rose by 5-month high.

World secondary analysis of the Group's Regional Director of Beijing Zhang Yunfeng, Chinese consumption has a point, buying up not to buy down, many customers are chasing rising stocks, and now they really worry about the House, and even then hasn't enough money for the down payment in hand.

　Beijing market collapse in stock

In the Beijing market, trading volume soared brought stocks plummeted. The property market entered in September, fire bigger.

On September 21, the reporter statistics market institutions second-hand House transaction data found that as of September 20, checked over 16,700 September Beijing's second-hand house network, rose nearly 20% over the last month. Excluding weekends, September first half working day daily network signed at more than 1000 sets, which on September 19 and September 20, daily number 1371 and 1312, respectively.

According to Albert, I love my family group market research and statistics, September first half Beijing's second-hand House networks signed 12517, higher than in the first half of August month 16.5%.

In fact, this rally since August has spread. Statistics from the Beijing market in August, new home prices in Beijing rose 3.8%, second-hand house prices rose 3.9%. Centaline said Chief Analyst Zhang Dawei, Beijing in August prices rose by 5-month high.

Zhang Dawei said August Beijing commercial housing residential refresh history before this year the minimum only supply, 18399, down 37.2%, supply and supply area set a new lowest in history. In addition, prices reached 35424 Yuan/square meter, it also created an all-time.

In addition, at the end of August, Beijing property market inventory figures only 58,000, down by 23.7%.

Yi xianrong, a professor at Qingdao University, school of Economics points out that, according to the National Bureau of statistics analysis 1-real estate market data for August, the most prominent feature is whether it is new or second-hand housing prices are generally rising. House prices are getting higher, while financial market conditions have not changed, namely, mortgage interest rates and down-payment requirements are still low, it will continue to strengthen House price expectations continue to rise, attracting more investment in housing speculators into the market. Mulls regulation policy in some cities, influx of funds to speed up its real estate market, and the associated prices are intensifying.

　　Controlling overweight

However, Beijing and other cities and some cities of new and second-hand housing deficiency, also enabled the Government to trying to add leverage to promote inventory to get bogged down in quagmire.

According to the August housing statistics inventory data, digital stock from the stock at its peak from February 2016 739 million square meters in August to 708 million square meters, only 4% in stock.

Zhang Dawei said that 2016 is China's housing policy environment the most relaxed period in its history. From the central to the local, a series of heavy housing stimulus turns in place, nationwide inventory has become an urgent task. Housing stimulus packages mainly related to credit, taxes, housing subsidies and other substantive aspect, even the purchase deed unprecedented adjustment loosen, strongly supported the market's overall recovery.

Zhang Dawei believes that data alone spent 3.3 trillion mortgage stimulus inventory is only 4%, is not benefiting and only went to one or two lines in a few cities.

But for now, added leverage has caused only property "false fire" rise up, enlarged the property market "siphon" effect, excessive to one or two cities, even hot city high jump, also increases the difficulty of three or four tier inventory.

Qiu baoxing, believes that first-tier cities and housing prices in some second-tier cities is really hot, crazy State. In essence, lies in the failure to deal with high-level departments, the differences between Central and local governments and gaming. Can't handle these relationships, some macroeconomic policies introduced after the reason for the failure. Only the central control to local government control, administrative control becomes a lever control, in order to achieve a soft landing of China's real estate. Otherwise the various different sectors, is meant to solve the same problem, is to actually pull in different directions, the result may be well-intentioned but bad things.

"The Central Government has begun to implement town planning guidance, cities continue to market segment, then introduced a differentiated policy approaches began to increase. "E-House Research Institute think-tank, said Yan Yuejin, Research Director of the Center. Hangzhou property reset limit policy, since after 2014 to cancel the purchase, policy cycle there is the inflection point.

Zhang Dawei believes that in Hangzhou, Xiamen, Wuhan and other cities have introduced restrictions, limiting the loan policy, is expected to have more than one city may continue to escalate in the future regulatory policy.

Responsible editor: Zheng Hanxing

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Property inventory

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北京楼市库存骤减：业主坐地起价 隔天涨30万|楼市|库存_新闻资讯

　　房价又一轮的疯涨虽然让人开始看不清方向，但是却引发了买涨不买落的恐慌。《华夏时报》记者以购房者身份近期对北京新房、二手房市场进行调查，一股焦灼情绪弥漫在北京楼市。

　　“10万块钱一个号，可以把你的排卡顺序提前，但不一定能买到，只是概率比较大。”北京某新开盘项目一位销售人员如此对记者表示。除了新房市场外，记者在北京某不动产交易大厅内也看到，到处是焦灼的面孔，人们为了排队交易而焦急地等待着。

　　中国国务院参事、住建部原副部长仇保兴在近日由方正证券主办的房地产高峰论坛上指出，国家金融部门出台政策与房地产部门的调控目标相互冲突是推动本轮房价全面上涨的其中一个关键原因。即金融监管部门允许首付贷、允许居民加杠杆，房价旋即暴涨。

　　房价日涨30万

　　原本是销售淡季的8月，北京楼市突然异常火爆。

　　9月19日，国家统计局公布8月份全国70个大中城市住宅销量数据。数据显示，房价出现全面上涨。其中，8月份北京新建商品住宅和二手房成交价格分别环比上涨3.8%和3.9%，上涨速度远高于7月份的1.7%和1.6%。

　　而在东城区一链家门店，负责人告诉记者，最近业主诚心出售的房子都卖得差不多了，成交很快，成交量很高，房源越来越少越来越紧张，价格就噌噌地涨上去了。

　　而天通苑一麦田房产门店的房产中介则告诉记者，现在虽然买主很多，但是成交一套房子却很不容易，因为诚意卖房的业主少了，业主不断坐地起价，一套房隔天涨个30万的情况太多了。

　　最近一直计划购房的李女士则向记者吐槽，其在中秋看房，看好了一套，隔了一天就被人抢了，也不知道是中介故意的还是真的这么抢手。

　　“最近我还看了一个新盘，也不临近地铁，也不是学区房，也就两三周时间吧，当时看的时候31000元/平米，现在都36000元了。”李女士告诉记者，因为是在房山区域，自己一开始看房没有做很高预算， 觉得260万到280万之间还能接受，后来真是越看价越高，后来觉得300万也行，看到现在觉得400万也能接受了。

　　中介公司相关负责人称，买方的买涨不买跌、卖方的持房待涨，以及银行宽松的信贷政策，联合作用推高了北京的楼市，包括近日疯涨的二手房市场。

　　事实上，北京楼市不管是新房还是二手房，近期都是涨势凶猛。中原地产首席分析师张大伟表示，8月北京房价环比涨幅为5个月来新高。

　　房天下二手房电商集团北京公司区域总监张云峰分析称，中国消费有个观点，买涨不买跌，许多客户都在追涨，现在他们确实担心买不到房子，甚至再等等手里的钱都不够首付了。

　　北京市场库存骤减

　　在北京市场，成交量的飙升直接带来了库存的骤减。楼市进入9月，火气更旺。

　　9月21日，记者统计市场机构二手房成交数据发现，截至9月20日，9月北京二手住宅共网签超1.67万套，比上月同期涨近两成。除去双休日，9月上半月工作日每日的网签量基本都在1000套以上，其中9月19日和9月20日的日成交套数分别达到1371套和1312套。

　　另据伟业我爱我家集团市场研究院统计，9月上半月，北京市二手住宅共网签12517套，比8月上半月上涨16.5%。

　　实际上，这轮涨势从8月已经蔓延。北京市场8月的统计数据显示，北京新房价格环比上涨3.8%，二手房价格环比上涨3.9%。中原地产首席分析师张大伟表示，8月北京房价环比涨幅为5个月来新高。

　　张大伟称，今年前8月北京商品房住宅供应刷新历史最低，仅供应了18399套，同比减少37.2%，供应量与供应面积均刷新了历史最低纪录。此外，成交均价达到了35424元/平米，这也创造了历史最高点。

　　此外，截至8月底，北京楼市库存数据仅5.8万套，同比下降了23.7%。

　　青岛大学经济学院教授易宪容指出，根据国家统计局的数据综合分析，1-8月份的房地产市场数据，最显著的一个特点是住房价格无论是新房还是二手房都出现普遍上涨。房价在上涨，而相应的金融市场条件没有变化，即住房按揭贷款利率及首付比例仍然处于低位，这会不断地强化房价继续上涨的预期，吸引更多住房投资投机者涌入市场。目前在一些城市酝酿出台调控政策之际，资金加快涌入其房地产市场，这与房价上涨预期正在强化有关。

　　调控加码

　　不过，北京等一线城市和部分热点城市新房和二手房的虚火，也使得政府试图通过加杠杆来促进去库存计划陷入困局。

　　根据国家统计局公布的8月份商品房库存数据，从数字上去库存从库存最高峰的2016年2月份的7.39亿平米到8月份的7.08亿平米，只去了4%的库存。

　　张大伟称，2016年是有史以来中国房地产政策环境最宽松的时期。从中央到地方，一系列重磅的楼市刺激政策轮番出台，全国范围内去库存已成为当务之急。楼市刺激政策主要涉及信贷、税收、购房补贴等各类实质性环节，甚至购房契税也史无前例作出调整放松，强劲地支撑了市场的全面复苏。

　　张大伟认为，单独看数据花费了3.3万亿房贷刺激下去库存只完成了4%，并非雨露均沾，实际只去了少数的一二线城市。

　　但目前看，加杠杆只导致楼市“虚火”上升，放大楼市“虹吸效应”，资金过度向一二线城市集中，既使热点城市房价高位跳涨，也增加了三四线城市去库存的难度。

　　仇保兴认为，一线城市和部分二线城市的房价确实是过热的、疯狂的状态。究其根本，在于没有处理好高层各部门之间、中央与地方政府之间的分歧与博弈。处理不好这些关系，是一些宏观政策出台后失败的原因。只有将中央调控变为地方政府调控、行政手段调控变为用经济杠杆调控时，才能够实现中国房地产的软着陆。否则不同部门各说各话，本意是解决同一个问题，实际却是往不同的方向拉车，结果可能是好心办坏事。

　　“目前中央已经开始贯彻因城施策的大导向，各城市继续细分市场、进而出台差异化政策的做法也开始增加。”易居研究院智库中心研究总监严跃进说。杭州楼市重启限购政策，说明自2014年取消限购后，政策周期又出现了拐点。

　　张大伟认为，在杭州、厦门、武汉等城市纷纷出台限购、限贷政策之后，未来预计还有多个城市可能会继续升级调控政策。

责任编辑：郑汉星

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