Population migration in China: the city will win the 21st century urban warfare? | | | city Shenzhen population _ news
Introduction: Shenzhen held the upper hand for the time being, but in the end who has the last laugh, to give time to test. But one thing is sure, mediocre City does not have any opportunities.
Who wins more young people, who will win the world.
Competition between cities, after all, the population is competition. Someone has everything, no one became empty.
Population over the last 10 years leading "normal distribution" proved to be a failure, is essentially the inverse of market behaviour, populations continue to be concentrated in big cities, the strong stronger "Matthew effect" would be the basic trend of the next 10 years. But different from 10 years ago, China's demographic dividend plummeted, mobility is more curable, the city wants to attract young people is no easy task, population battle must quickly escalated between the cities. In a new round of "urban wars", Shenzhen by virtue of its population policy, market dynamics, industrial distribution, urban environment ... ... Is likely to become the city's leading cities, won the last war.
Bucked the trend, Shenzhen issued the most friendly population policy
In Beijing, Shanghai, the two rivals tighten settled upon breaking an arm's length, but relax settled restriction in Shenzhen, September 1, 2016, the Shenzhen will be officially implemented new rules on home, considerable relaxation talent settled policy. People settled by the integral system to approve the system, no indicator Cap personnel that meet the criteria may apply directly to settle in. Can be said that this is the most friendly in the history of population policy in Shenzhen, is the most sensible policy in first-tier cities.
Shenzhen to provide parts for the household population in the short term benefits, but in the long run these people will be the city's biggest motivation. The so-called talent, is to allow him to remain in the city 10 building blocks for urban talent, academic qualifications or know, are not defining talent the best way. Give people the opportunity to stay, than anything else, so as far as population policies, future City competition, Shenzhen won opportunities. While the Shenzhen stock was more than 3 million registered population, also provide a great maneuver for population policy, Beijing, Shanghai and even wanted to release the population limit will encounter stiff opposition, while Shenzhen's "golden age", quickly accelerating population introduced!
House prices are a problem, but Beijing and Shanghai have more living space
Some say Shenzhen prices so high, how can young people mixed, this point was good, prices in Shenzhen now has over 50,000 young people do not have the means to buy a House, or even cannot afford to rent, why do so many young people in Shenzhen is still active? Shenzhen real estate there is a invisible market, that is, urban villages and small property, Shenzhen's urban villages and small property sizes is in Shanghai than in Beijing, although these are not modern Western style, but at relatively low prices, many young people base space.
Objectively speaking, the Shenzhen High House prices is a reason North four the actual population of the city are more than 20 million of guangshen, but Shenzhen area of 1900, not to Shanghai 1/3, Beijing 1/8, in demographic terms, Shanghai, Shenzhen is twice times, now flat house prices in Shenzhen and Shanghai, and in some sense fairly cheap. Shenzhen has a deep area, the hinterland of these young people, development today is also good, if is less than 4000 km in Dongguan, then House prices prices is equivalent to second-tier Guangzhou, compared with Beijing and Shanghai, young people in Shenzhen (including China) living there are a lot of opportunities. Of course, urban connections is needed subway connected, now in full swing in Shenzhen Metro, Dongguan smart and hurriedly ride Shenzhen Metro ride your subway really slowly.
Nature of the market economy: is to give the new generation a chance
Shenzhen is China most market of place, market most core of place is provides full competition, and young is fear competition of, relative Yu other city, Shenzhen market competition most full, this is Shenzhen why has so more powerful enterprise of reasons, Shenzhen Special economic zone founded 36 years, out of Huawei, Tencent, vanke, investment, and peace, and big Xinjiang, ZTE, and China big gene, and Skyworth, and BYD, a large number of global famous enterprise.
The Chinese urban competitiveness report of the Chinese Academy of social sciences released in 2015, urban comprehensive competitiveness of Shenzhen and in 2014, China NO1, it can be said that this youngest city demonstrate the strength of the market economy. While these enterprises to compete in the market understand that, they will need more talented young people, will try to recruit more talented generation.
Complete industrial structure, the hero can no way out
Beijing would not have said, has been occupying the leading position of State-owned enterprises. System as the Central of Shanghai's enterprises: local State-owned enterprises: a foreign company: private enterprise share of 1:1:1:1, one of the most dynamic and innovative private enterprises accounted for Shanghai's industrial structure 1/4, Central and local State-owned enterprises due to the mechanism itself is no way to get people to fly higher, while foreign-funded enterprises have been doing is China's top business, fewer ties with the masses, demand for talent is also more eccentric.
But Shenzhen on different has, basically a private enterprise of are, industry chain very full, what of talent are need, and everyone are is CEO, all are is entrepreneurs, 90% are is private enterprise or individual enterprise, State-owned enterprises + central + foreign also just leaves lining safflower, because are is private enterprise, they will from the aspects consider recruitment talent, and does not necessarily requirements degree high, hero not asked way, high-end talent, General talent are can in Shenzhen found himself place. Appears to be a mixed bag, actually providing more young people with a dream opportunity.
Harmonious humanity environment, here is, people
In the city without dialect, Yi wrote in an article: "Chinese cities have their own dialect, but Shenzhen is an exception. Shenzhen not only there is no dialect, and there is no dialect in the future, as Shenzhen does not belong to a domain, and belongs to the whole of China. ”
In Shenzhen, whether you are from Hunan, Hubei, Sichuan, also from Henan province, Northeast China, as long as the Mandarin, even accent deaf, all of the city unimpeded, without impeding information communication with the soul. Compared with Beijing, Shenzhen can without having to worry about being a local "old gun" despised; compared with Shanghai or Shanghai Boyle as "country folk", where everyone is equal, because we are all one race: immigration. "Here is, people" this is not an empty slogan, it does highlight the city's harmonious and inclusive, open, pluralistic characteristics. And Shenzhen is not afraid of being bullied, you have seven big eight great aunt in Shenzhen.
Optimal environment, air feels sorry Tiananmen
Falling in love with Beijing three years, fell in love with Shenzhen only a day. Shenzhen is located in the South, subtropical climate and coastal waters, year-round rain, air and moist, lush vegetation, dust exposure opportunities. Therefore, the Shenzhen PM2.5 days is around 50 to 80 every day, plus Government attaches great importance to the environment, retained a lot of green space of city construction in Shenzhen central area you thought into forest park.
For the future of young people, especially a lot of one-child, their survival is not very large, is still very concerned about the living environment, the Beijing and Shanghai also said the vast majority of the city is no way with the Shenzhen (Shenzhen Customs have to refuel), as long as no wind there is smog a week ... ... Do not say, and feels sorry for Beijing's Tiananmen.
Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong City Circle, the future Chinese economic barycenter
China's competitiveness in the future depends on urban competitiveness; if the economy continues to develop, China's competitiveness will depend on city competitiveness. Therefore, selection of a city can ultimately become younger talent, and entire cities in which it will be. Three major cities in China, Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, the three cities group integrated development still has the absolute advantage.
On the present development situation, Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong as the axis of the Pearl River Delta region will become the most powerful City Circle, the resident population of nearly 80 million, has both a cosmopolitan like Hong Kong and Macau style town, also has a history of Guangzhou City, Shenzhen City Center location, will naturally be more attractive.
Rat-race? Who will win in 21st century "urban warfare" in 2010, the publication of the city when war, had talked about in the Preface: the process of China's modernization is an urban war. Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Wuhan, ... ... The Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, Bohai, Chang-Zhu-Tan, Wuhan ... ... City skyline burst fury, wants to become an international metropolis, and war started in these cities and urban agglomerations. 6 years later, the war was more serious, and decided that the game-winning, still is the influx of talent. Overall, the Shenzhen held the upper hand for the time being, but in the end who has the last laugh, to give time to test. But one thing is sure, mediocre City does not have any opportunities.
Source: forward network
Reprinted from "the Chinatown Center"
Responsible editor: Gao Yuying
Article keywords:Population city of Shenzhen competition
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中国人口大迁移:这座城市将赢21世纪城市战争？|人口|城市|深圳_新闻资讯
导读：深圳暂时握有先手，但最终谁能笑到最后，要交给时间来检验。但有一点可以肯定，平庸的城市是没有任何机会的。
谁赢得更多年青人，谁将赢得这个世界。
城市之间竞争，说到底是人口竞争。有人就有一切，没人沦为空城。
过去10年政府引导城市人口“正态分布”被证明是失败的，本质上是逆市场化行为，人口继续向大城市集中，强者恒强“马太效应”将是下一个10年基本走向。但与10年前不一样，中国人口红利陡然下降，阶层流动更加固化，城市想吸引年青人并不是容易的事，那么城市间人口争夺战必然迅速升级。在新一轮“城市战争”中，深圳凭借其人口政策、市场活力、产业布局、城市环境……很有可能成为大陆首屈一指的城市，赢得最后的战争。
逆流而上，深圳出台史上最友好人口政策
在北京、上海这两大竞争对手收紧落户自断一臂之时，深圳却放宽落户限制，2016年9月1日起，深圳将正式实施入户新规，大幅度放宽人才落户政策。人才落户由积分制改为核准制，不设指标上限，满足条件的人才可直接申请落户。可以说这是深圳史上最友好的人口政策，也是一线城市里最理智的政策。
短期内深圳要为这些入户人口提供部分福利，但从长期来看这些人将是城市发展最大动力。所谓人才，就是让他留在这个城市发展10年，为城市添砖加瓦了就是人才，学历也好资历也罢，都不是定义人才最佳方式。给人留下来的机会，比什么都重要，所以从人口政策上来说，未来城市竞争胜负已显，深圳为自己赢得了机会。同时深圳户籍人口存量才300多万，也为人口政策提供了很大腾挪空间，北京上海就算想放开人口限制也会遭遇强大反对，趁着深圳现在的“黄金年代”，赶紧加速人口引入！
房价是个问题，但比京沪有更多生存空间
有人说深圳房价这么高，年青人还怎么混，这话说得不错，现在深圳均价已过5万，年青人的确没有办法买房，甚至租都租不起，那为什么这么多年青人却仍然活跃在深圳呢？因为深圳房地产还有一个看不见的市场，那就是城市村和小产权房，深圳的城中村和小产权房规模是北京上海不能比的，虽然这些地方不现代不洋气，但价格相对低廉，给许多年青人提供立足空间。
客观的讲，深圳房价高是有原因的，北上广深四大城市实际人口都在2000万以上，但深圳面积1900公里，不到上海1/3，北京1/8，从人口密度来讲，深圳已经是上海2倍，现在深圳房价与上海持平，从某种意义上讲还算便宜了。深圳还有一个临深地区，这些也是年青人的腹地，现在发展得也不错，如果把东莞算一起也不足4000公里，那么房价也就相当于二线广州房价了，相对于北京上海，年青人在深圳（包括东莞）居住还有很多机会。当然，城市连接是需要地铁连通的，现在深圳地铁修得如火如荼，东莞如果聪明点，赶紧搭上深圳地铁的便车，你们地铁修得真慢。
市场经济的本质：就是给新生代机会
深圳是中国最市场的地方，市场经济最核心的地方就是提供充分竞争，而年青人是不怕竞争的，相对于其它城市，深圳市场经济竞争最充分，这也是深圳为什么有那么多强大企业的原因，深圳特区创立36年，走出华为，腾讯，万科，招商、平安、大疆，中兴、华大基因、创维、比亚迪等一大批全球著名企业。
中国社会科学院2015年发布的《中国城市竞争力报告》，城市综合竞争力排名深圳与2014年一样，中国NO1，可以说，这座最年青的城市证明了市场经济的力量。同时这些在市场上竞争的企业明白，他们一定需要更多优秀的年青人，也一定会想方设法去招纳更多优秀的新生代。
产业结构比较完整，英雄可以不问出路
北京就不用说了，国有企业一直占据主导地位。上海企业体制为央企：地方国企：外企：民企比重为1：1：1：1，最具活力和最具创造力民营企业仅占上海产业结构1/4，央企和地方国企由于机制本身问题没有办法让人才飞得更高，而外资企业一直做的是中国顶端生意，与人民群众关系联系较少，对人才要求也比较怪僻。
但深圳就不同了，基本上一个民营企业之都，产业链非常完整，什么样的人才都需要，而且人人都是CEO，个个都是创业者，90%都是民营企业或者个体企业，国企+央企+外企也只是绿叶衬红花，因为都是民营企业，他们会从各方面考虑招聘人才，并不一定要求学历高，英雄不问出路，高端人才，普通人才都可以在深圳找到自己立足之地。看似鱼龙混杂，实际上给更多年青人提供了造梦机会。
人文环境和谐，来了就是深圳人
易中天在《没有方言的城市》一文中写道：“中国各城市都有自己方言，惟独深圳是个例外。深圳不但现在没有方言，而且将来也不会有方言，因为深圳不属于某个地域，而属于全中国。”
在深圳，无论你是湖南人、湖北人、四川人，还是河南人、东北人，只要会说普通话，哪怕口音南腔北调，都能在这座城市畅行无阻，丝毫不妨碍信息与心灵上的沟通。与北京相比，来深圳可以不用去担心被本地“老炮儿”瞧不起；与上海相比，也不用被上海大妈看成“乡下人”，来这里的每一个人都是平等的，因为大家都是一个种族：移民。“来了就是深圳人”这并非一句空口号，它的确彰显着这座城市和谐包容、开放多元的特质。而且来深圳也不担心被欺负，你总有个七大姑八大姨在深圳。
环境最优， 空气好得感觉对不起天安门
爱上北京用了三年，爱上深圳只需要一天。深圳地处南方，亚热带气候兼近海，终年雨水多，空气温润，植被茂密，染尘机会少。所以，深圳的PM2.5，几天每天都是50至80左右，加上政府重视环境，城市建设保留了很多绿化用地，在深圳中心区你一不小心还以为进了森林公园。
对于未来年青人来讲，特别是很多的独生子女，他们的生存压力并不太大，还是很在意生存环境的，这些北京和上海甚至可以说中国绝大多数城市没办法与深圳比（深圳的关外也要加油了），北京只要一周不刮风 就会有雾霾……不说了，感觉对不起北京天安门。
广深港城市圈，未来中国经济重心
未来中国竞争力，取决于城市竞争力；如果经济继续向前发展，中国竞争力将取决于城市圈竞争力。所以，一座城市最终能否成为年青人才的选择，与它所在的整个城市群也会有关系。中国三大城市圈，京津冀、长三角、珠三角三大城市群的综合发展水平依然具有绝对优势。
而以现在的发展态势来看，以广深港为轴心的珠三角城市圈会成为是最强大城市圈，常住人口近8000万，既有香港这样的国际都会，又有澳门这样的风情小镇，还有广州这样的历史名城，深圳身处这些城市中心位置，自然更具吸引力。
你死我活？谁将赢得21世纪的“城市战争”2010年时出版《城市战争》时，曾经在序言中谈到：中国现代化进程就是一场城市战争进程。北京、上海、广州、深圳、杭州、武汉……长三角、珠三角、环渤海、长株潭、大武汉……城市都在大兴土木，狂飚突进，都想一跃成为国际化大都市，战争在这些城市和城市圈中展开。6年过去了，战争来得更加猛烈，而决定这个大棋局胜负手的，仍然是人才的流入问题。整体来看，深圳暂时握有先手，但最终谁能笑到最后，要交给时间来检验。但有一点可以肯定，平庸的城市是没有任何机会的。
来源：前瞻网
转载自“中国城市中心”
责任编辑：高玉营
文章关键词： 人口 城市 深圳 竞争
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