United Kingdom telecommunications CEO: today 80% jobs in the future, "very likely" disappear-IT information
Automation, the development of intelligent technology to push the global job market to the brink of drastic change. The head of one of the world's top telecom operator predicted a few days ago, today 80% jobs in the future is likely to cease to exist.
HSBC on Friday to attend the annual Innovation Summit, United Kingdom Telecom (BT Group PLC) CEO Gavin Patterson said: "the Internet, data, processing power, and sensors can be seen everywhere, along with augmented reality and virtual reality, these are intertwined, the future will look very different. To be honest, people work today, is likely to have 80% future do not exist. Don't know where we will go. ”
According to reports, not just its staff of more than 80,000 people United Kingdom Telecom CEO, HSBC CEO Stuart Gulliver of attending the Summit also said that within five years, and skill level of the job as it is today unlikely to have so much now. HSBC's global workforce of more than 265,000 people.
But Gulliver believes that certain posts are robots and advanced computing alternative does not mean that employment must be reduced, "there may be some new work, our responsibility is to control the transition. ”
United Kingdom Media City A.M.? Reports that this isn't the first time Patterson refers to rapidly changing the nature of science and technology's impact on the enterprise. On the Forum in Davos in January this year, he said, United Kingdom telecommunications network attacks up to tens of thousands of times per day, during the 18 months prior to the month, the Division suffered cyber attacks surged 10 times.
The Davos Forum's theme is "the fourth industrial revolution", also in January, the World Economic Forum (WEF) publication predicted the fourth report of the industrial revolution, by 2020, artificial intelligence, robotics and other technological changes will result in more than 5 million people are unemployed in the world.
The WEF report also predicted that through streamline, automate or disintermediation may be reduced by 7.1 million jobs and at the same time there are 2.1 million jobs will be created, which focuses on more specialized areas, such as computer science, mathematics, architecture, and engineering. These new jobs can be partially offset by the negative impact of job losses.
In July of this year, one of the big four accounting firms Deloitte published studies are expected over the next 20 years, automation eliminates at least 800,000 jobs in business services, 1 million jobs may have been replaced by robots in the field of risk, accounting for United Kingdom one-fourth of the jobs in this industry. Facing robots took jobs industry jobs reached 35% per cent on average.
In August this year the Wall Street News article mentions, Oxford University Professor Carl Martin Benedikt Frey and Michael a. Osborne is expected over the next ten years or 20 years, United States about 47% jobs at risk of being replaced by robots.
According to the above results of Oxford Professor, Chief European Economist Elga Bartsch at Morgan Stanley-led team in the following chart shows the possibility of 15 occupations are replaced by robots.
英国电信CEO：今天80%工作岗位未来“很可能”消失 - IT资讯
自动化、智能化技术的蓬勃发展将全球就业市场推到了剧变的边缘。一家全球顶尖电信运营商的掌门人日前预言，今天80%的工作岗位未来很可能都不复存在。
上周五出席年度汇丰创新峰会期间，英国电信集团（BT Group plc）的CEO Gavin Patterson说：“互联网、数据、处理能力无所不在，感应器随处可见，加上增强现实和虚拟现实，这些交织在一起，未来看起来会大不相同。坦白说，今天人们做的工作之中，很可能有80%未来都不会存在。不是很清楚我们会走到什么地步。”
据报道，不止是旗下员工超过8万人的英国电信CEO，一同出席峰会的汇丰CEO Stuart Gulliver也说，五年内，像今天这种技能水平的工作岗位不可能还有现在这么多。汇丰全球员工超过26.5万人。
不过Gulliver认为，某些岗位被机器人和先进的计算技术替代不代表就业人数一定减少，“可能会有一些新的工作出现，我们的责任就是管控这种转变。”
英国报媒City A.M.?报道指出，这不是Patterson第一次公开提到科技性质迅速转变对企业的影响。今年1月的冬季达沃斯论坛上，他表示，英国电信每天处理的网络攻击多达上万次，在当月之前的18个月内，该司遭遇的网络攻击激增十倍。
那次达沃斯论坛的主题是“第四次工业革命”，也是在1月，世界经济论坛（WEF）发布预言第四次工业革命的报告，预计到2020年，人工智能、机器人技术和其他技术变革将造成全球500多万人失业。
该WEF报告还预计，通过裁汰、自动化或去中介化的方式可能将减少710万个工作岗位，与此同时也有210万个工作岗位将被创造，其主要集中在更为专业的领域，例如计算机、数学、建筑以及工程。这些新工作岗位的产生可以部分抵消工作岗位减少的负面影响。
今年7月，四大会计师事务所之一德勤发布研究预计，未来20年，自动化至少会淘汰80万个商业服务领域的工作岗位，100万个该领域岗位可能有被机器人取代的风险，约占英国这类行业工作岗位的四分之一。而面临机器人夺走饭碗的各行业岗位平均占比达到35%。
今年8月华尔街见闻文章也提到，牛津大学马丁学院教授Carl Benedikt Frey和Michael A. Osborne预计，未来十年或者二十年，美国约47%的工作岗位有被机器人取代的风险。
根据以上牛津大学教授的研究结果，摩根士丹利首席欧洲经济学家Elga Bartsch为首的分析团队用以下图表展示了15种职业被机器人替代的可能性。