The global "see more" China's economic future | | Trump China's economy _ news
> Source: the FT Chinese network
As 2016 come to an end, the world is quite "surprised" to find that, although after much turbulence, but the global economy is still showing considerable potential. Among them, China has contributed an important component. Foreign Media noted that investor confidence in China's economic performance will remain strong next year, at the same time, China is still the key to global growth.
"Bearish people will regret his decision. "Singapore the Straits Times said. It also became the voice of international public opinion.
[1. Signal appears: continued strong growth in China]
"Despite all the doubts, but this year still achieved 6.7% for 3 consecutive quarters of economic growth over 4 years of factory contract coming to an end, the main manufacturing index flat after 2012 high. "Bloomberg News recently reported.
The focus of the story is a meeting of the Standing Committee of 9th this month. Quoted by Bloomberg, Xinhua reported, which lists six important signals of economic development in 2017, including deepening supply side structural reform, opening areas, improve the investment environment, releasing potential, attract foreign investment, and so on.
Reuters also expressed concern that the focus of the meeting, and reports that China's GDP growth in the first three quarters are 6.7%, four-quarter is widely expected to maintain this trend, 6.5%-7% of the year growth target "can do".
In fact, China has much to show signals of economic recovery in the near future. In November, Chinese economic data has produced a good report card. It also makes foreign media at the central economic work Conference will be held in December, summary in 2016, and 2017, China showed more positive comments on the Outlook.
"China's November economic data overall than experts expected, not only China's economy shows good signal, means that the global economy will start to pick up. "United States" business Insider "website has published an article said.
United States Fortune magazine article published in early December, points out that these economic data not only to the development of China's economy more dynamic, which 6.5% the GDP growth target for the year, a sign of China's economic reforms and stimulate growth of government regulation and achieved initial success.
Article said that due to 40% of the national manufacturing index reached the peak in recent years, non-manufacturing index broke through the 2014 since record highs, China's Economic Outlook is good, "on the road to economic recovery stability along with more confidence."
China's economy "encouraging" data with the world's major economies are still strong growth this year echoes. According to the United States, the Wall Street Journal reported that the OECD headquarters in Paris recently, assessment of future economic activity also showed that many developing countries as well as the United Kingdom and France are showing signs of growth.
"2017 growth prospects for the global economy turns for the better, change the trend of sluggish growth this year. "The Wall Street Journal, citing an OECD report, Canada, and Germany, as well as China, India, and Brazil and Russia economy, continued to show strong signs of growth.
[2. Traceable: power ambition world praise]
From the first three quarters, China's strong GDP data showing growth in the outside world comes as no surprise.
Germany News TV channel published in Germany global and regional studies project Mage·xuleer, a senior researcher in an interview pointed out that in Asia, growth impetus is fully traceable. "Data in line with China's so-called new normal economic policy goal--a reduction of quality of structural adjustment as the goal of economic models. "The article said that China's" new paradigm "rely more on innovation, while reducing dependence on exports and rely more on private consumption, while in Schueler's view, Chinese private enterprises should be in production, investment and exports are becoming stronger.
China in order to realize the transformation of growth pattern of efforts are clearly recognized by the world. "The world's second-largest economy on bold economic, environment, corruption, poverty and other global issues determined by the praise from world leaders. "The Malaysia Star newspaper was published, entitled the emerging new China, the article says, despite the weaker international environment, but foreign direct investment flows to China this year, although slowed down, but was still ranked first in the world.
"In fact, confident of China's capital. "The article says.
Such confidence is reflected in many aspects of the economy. Like, United States Forbes double weekly on pointed out that, China is "world maximum, and growth most fast of consumption market"; United Kingdom ft is note to, in practitioners seems, China "on Subversion sex industry of flexibility over foreign"; United States Wall Street daily recently also published paper said, in Western research budget recession Zhiji, China is in for many tip research project provides huge funds, and China is artificial intelligence, and no machine and Internet technology, field chased up.
"China is in an unusual sense of national purpose to invest heavily to promote innovation in the core technologies to reduce dependence on foreign. And the innovation of China's ambitious move could eventually put the global economy back on a path of faster growth. "The Wall Street Journal quoted data of the Organization for economic cooperation and development shows that China's spending on research and development in 2009, more than Japan, in 2013, more than Europe, and by 2020 is expected to surpass United States.
"Bearish people will regret his decision. "Singapore the Straits Times commented that, in many ways, China is moving up along the value chain. Goldman Sachs, for instance, pointed out that, in 1995, in the top five of China's export commodity categories, footwear, clothing and toys. After 20 years, are communications equipment, automatic data processing, cathode tube, furniture and jewelry.
Meanwhile, China's product quality and service standards are improved. The report quoted head of a marketing consulting company in Asia Pacific jiefu·buluodelike said he expected in the next two or three years, Chinese-made car quality gap with foreign-made cars will disappear.
Gap fade can let the world to pay more attention to China's economy as a "model power" component. "In finance, financial effort to learn from the West that year ' students ', now has to be beyond their teacher, become ' masters of world finance. "United States News weekly recently published of entitled China economic set will beyond Western of articles said, dang Western economic into has" Hou capitalism times ", economic thought and management means into has single of" dead end "Shi, China is in efforts for world introduced a more with elastic of financial markets, in one fell swoop Subversion has people" China not at created commercial mode, and not at bear risk and innovation "of inherent thinking mode.
[3. Linkage to the world: a global look forward to "success"]
Of course, optimistic expectations are still reminded of the risk.
"The Chinese economy still faced many problems, the Government should make great efforts to be addressed, such as cuts in excess capacity and resolve financial risks in some areas, China will accelerate the establishment of long-term mechanism of ensuring stable and healthy development of the real estate market. "Bloomberg said.
Reuters quoted UBS's latest "2017-2018 China's economic prospects," said he expected the next two years, China's real estate market will once again face adjustment, consumption may also be weaker as income growth slowed, but overall should remain steady, while trump after taking office, devaluation pressures may continue. In view of the future of the Federal Reserve and China's Central Bank of China's monetary policy could continue differentiation, capital outflow pressure, is expected in the next two years will continue to depreciate against the dollar.
"China will of course try to innovation-driven economic growth as soon as possible, but we must take into account the future 5 years may appear in different areas of deeper economic downturn. Of course, this restructuring will make China stronger. "Mage·xuleer said.
However, for China, fortunately, is that other countries are looking to China to succeed. Japan economic news published the former Chairman of Goldman Sachs asset management Jim o ' Neill article entitled the BRIC countries play an important role ', "said China's economic development in line with most of the countries, particularly to the Chinese consumer needed to export their goods and services of national interest. In fact, than Europe and Japan's economic problems and India can continue to exert influence in the world and other issues is also important. ”
After all, without China, the world economy will plunge into recession. United States Yale University Professor and former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia Stephen Roach recently this view was strongly emphasized. In his view, China's economic growth rate this year may reach 6.7% – significantly higher than most forecasters had expected.
"China has strategic and financial resources and determination to achieve economic restructuring, will be developed into a service-oriented consumer society, while successfully avoiding periodic crises. "Stephen Roach said in the article," I seldom are optimistic about prospects for the global economy, I think the world has faced much more serious problems than China's economy collapse. I think the world economy after the crisis without China's economic drive, will be in huge trouble. Pessimists, China needs to be more judicious in sound ".
Fortunately, the "pessimist" is less and less.
This paper from micro-Government, public network
Source: people's daily overseas edition
> Editors: Dong Zhang
Article keywords:China's economic Trump
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全球“看多”中国经济未来|中国经济|特朗普_新闻资讯
>图片来源：《金融时报》中文网
随着2016年进入尾声，世界颇为“惊喜”地发现，虽然经过诸多动荡，但全球经济依旧显示出较为可观的潜力。这其中，中国贡献了重要分量。外媒指出，投资者对明年的中国经济表现仍有强劲信心，同时，中国依然会是全球增长的关键所在。
“看空中国的人或许将为自己的决定感到后悔。”新加坡《海峡时报》评论称。这也成为国际舆论的主流声音。
[1。信号显现：中国继续强劲增长]
“尽管外界存在种种怀疑声，但中国今年还是连续3个季度实现了6.7%的经济增长，历时4年的工业品出厂价格收缩即将结束，主要制造业指数与2012年之后的高点持平。”彭博新闻社日前报道称。
这篇报道关注的焦点是本月9日中共召开的中央政治局会议。彭博社援引新华社的报道指出，这次会议列举了2017年经济发展的六大重要信号，其中包括深化供给侧结构性改革、扩大开放领域、改善投资环境、释放消费潜力、积极吸引外资等。
路透社也关注到了这次会议的重点，并报道称，中国前三季度GDP增速均为6.7%，市场普遍预计四季度仍能保持这一态势，全年6.5%—7%的增长目标“料能完成”。
事实上，中国经济的复苏信号在近期已经多有显现。就在11月份，中国经济数据就交出了一份良好的成绩单。这也让外媒在12月的中央经济工作会议即将召开之际，表现出对中国经济2016年总结和2017年展望的更多积极评价。
“中国11月给出的经济数据整体超出专家预期，这不仅仅是中国经济给出的良好信号，更意味着全球经济将开始回暖。”美国“商业内幕”网站近日刊文称。
美国《财富》杂志12月初刊登的文章则指出，这些经济数据不仅给了中国经济更多的发展动力，从而实现全年6.5%的GDP增长目标，更意味着中国的经济改革以及刺激增长的政府调控取得了初步成效。
文章称，由于占国民经济40%的制造业指标达到近年来的峰值，非制造业指标也突破了2014年以来的历史新高，中国经济前景良好，可以“在经济复苏的道路上更有信心地稳定前行”。
中国经济的“喜人”数据与今年全球主要经济体依旧强劲的增长相互呼应。据美国《华尔街日报》报道，总部在巴黎的经合组织近日对未来经济活动的评估也表明，许多大型发展中国家以及英国和法国都呈现增长加速的迹象。
“2017年全球经济增长前景转好，改变今年增长乏力的态势。”《华尔街日报》援引经合组织的报告称，加拿大、德国以及中国、印度、巴西和俄罗斯等经济体，继续呈现强劲增长的迹象。
[2。有迹可循：大国雄心受世界称赞]
中国前三季度从GDP数据上表现出的强劲增速并不令外界感到意外。
德国新闻电视频道发表的对德国全球与地区问题研究所亚洲课题高级研究员玛戈·许勒尔的一篇专访指出，增长的推动力完全有迹可循。“数据符合中国所谓的新常态经济政策的目标——一种以减量增质的结构调整为目标的经济模式。”文章称，中国的“新模式”更加依靠创新驱动，同时降低出口依赖，并更加依赖个人消费；同时，在许勒尔看来，中国的私企应在生产、投资和出口方面变得更强。
中国为了实现增长模式的转变所付出的努力显然正被世界认可。“全球第二大经济体大胆应对经济、环境、腐败、贫困等一系列全球问题的决心受到了世界领导人的赞誉。”马来西亚《星报》发表的题为《一个正在形成的新中国》一文称，尽管国际环境疲弱，但今年以来流入中国的外国直接投资虽然放慢了速度，但仍然位居世界首位。
“事实上，中国有自信的资本。”该文章称。
这些自信表现在经济的许多方面。比如，美国《福布斯》双周刊就指出，中国是“全世界最大、增长最快的消费市场”；英国《金融时报》则注意到，在从业者看来，中国“对颠覆性行业的灵活性超过外国”；美国《华尔街日报》近日也刊文称，在西方研究预算不景气之际，中国却在为许多尖端研究项目提供巨额资金，并且中国正在人工智能、无人机和互联网技术等领域追赶上来。
“中国正在以一种不同寻常的国家使命感投入巨资推动创新，在核心技术上减少对国外的依赖。而中国雄心勃勃的创新举动可能最终让全球经济再次走上一条更快增长之路。”《华尔街日报》援引经济合作与发展组织的数据显示，中国的研发开支在2009年超过了日本，在2013年超过了欧洲，而到2020年将有望超过美国。
“看空中国的人或许将为自己的决定感到后悔。”新加坡《海峡时报》评论称，在许多方面，中国正沿着价值链向上移动。比如高盛公司就指出，1995年，在排名前五的中国出口商品种类中，有鞋类、服装和玩具。20年后，则是通信设备、自动数据处理器、阴极管、家具和珠宝。
同时，中中国国产品的质量和服务标准也在提高。该报道引用一家市场咨询公司亚太地区负责人杰夫·布罗德里克的话说，他预计在未来两三年内，中国生产的汽车与外国生产的汽车之间的质量差距将消失。
逐渐消失的差距让全球更多地关注到中国经济中可以作为“榜样”力量的成分。“当年在财经、金融方面努力向西方学习的‘中国学生’，现在已经将要超越自己的老师，成为‘世界财经大师’。”美国《新闻周刊》近日发表的题为《中国经济定将超越西方》的文章称，当西方经济步入了“后资本主义时代”，经济思路与管理手段进入了单一化的“死胡同”时，中国则在努力为世界引入一个更具弹性的金融市场，一举颠覆了人们“中国不善于创造商业模式、不善于承受风险与创新”的固有思考模式。
[3。联动世界：全球期盼中国“成功”]
当然，乐观的预期中仍然不乏对风险的提醒。
“中国经济仍然面临许多突出问题，政府应该花大力气加以解决，如削减过剩产能和化解某些领域的金融风险，中国还将加快建立确保房地产市场平稳健康发展的长效机制。”彭博社称。
路透社则援引瑞银最新发布的“2017—2018年中国经济展望”称，预计未来两年中国房地产市场将再次面临调整，消费也可能随着收入增速放缓而走弱，不过整体应会保持稳健；同时，特朗普上任之后，人民币贬值压力还可能持续。鉴于未来美联储和中国中国中央银行的货币政策可能持续分化、资本外流压力持续，预计未来两年人民币对美元将会继续贬值。
“中国当然会尝试尽快实现以创新为驱动的经济增长，但我们必须考虑到未来5年不同领域可能会出现的更大幅度的经济下滑。当然，这种结构调整也能使中国变得更强。”玛戈·许勒尔表示。
不过，对中国来说，幸运的是其他国家都期盼中国能够成功。《日本经济新闻》刊登前高盛资产管理公司主席吉姆·奥尼尔题为《金砖国家发挥着很大作用》的文章称，“中国经济的发展符合大多数国家，尤其是可以向中国消费者出口其所需要的商品和服务的国家的利益。实际上，它比欧洲和日本的经济问题以及印度能否在世界持续发挥影响力等问题还重要。”
毕竟，没有中国，世界经济肯定将陷入衰退。美国耶鲁大学教授、摩根士丹利亚洲区前主席斯蒂芬·罗奇近日有力地强调了这一观点。在他看来，今年中国经济增长率可能达到6.7%——比大部分预测人士的预期明显要高。
“中国有战略、财力和决心实现经济结构转型，将发展成为以服务业为主的消费型社会，同时能够成功规避周期性危机。”斯蒂芬·罗奇在文章中说，“我很少对全球经济前景感到乐观，我认为世界所面临的问题要比中国经济崩溃论严重得多。我认为，危机后的世界经济如果没有中国经济的带动，将会陷入巨大困境。中国悲观论者在发声时需要更加审慎些”。
好在，“悲观论者”到底是越来越少了。
本文来自微信公众号中国政府网
来源：人民日报海外版
>责任编辑：张冬
文章关键词： 中国经济 特朗普
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