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The author:(作者)aaapublished in(发表于) 2013/12/8 8:34:48 Broadcom Chairman： Moore can no longer lower chip prices
Broadcom Chairman: Moore-Moore can no longer lower chip prices, chip prices-IT news Broadcom Chairman: Moore can no longer lower chip prices
Broadcom Chairman and Chief Technology Officer of hengli·samiuli (Henry Samueli) recently said that Moore's law will not bring chip prices shrink.
According to Moore's law, integrate more transistors on the chip will make chips smaller, faster processors, lower prices, use more chips each wafer production to reduce the cost of each transistor. Intel co-founder Gordon Moore (Gordon Moore) 1960 introduced Moore.
Samiuli said that Moore's law continue in force require complex manufacturing process, high costs exceed the resulting cost savings. At higher speeds, lower power consumption and lower cost of these three factors, chip makers can only choose one of the two.
Samiuli refers to the high-k metal gate FinFET (fin field effect transistor), production of the most advanced on the market next year will reach 14 NM, this requires the chip vendors have developed is different from traditional manufacturing processes and advanced technology. Transistor density, the higher the higher the chip costs.
Samiuli noted that the manufacturing process there is room, it will be stretched to the limit after about 15 years. After three generations of the chip will use 5-nanometer process, the size of each transistor gate only 10 atoms. Further shrinking transistors is out of the question, "the companies cannot produce transistors the size of an atom, so far, we haven't found that replacing the CMOS (complementary metal oxide transistor) technology".
Samiuli said the consumer electronics need to update the chip technology to extend battery life, cost the game cannot continue falling, "we have got used to consumer electronics prices are falling because of advances in chip manufacturing process, we must learn to adapt to price growth slows down."
Samiuli says, even if it means consumers upgrading Smartphone will begin to slow, for device manufacturers may not be a bad thing. Delay one year upgrades smartphone users will find it can buy other products, such as smart watches.
Chief Analyst at Insight64 market research firm nasen·buluke wood (Nathan Brookwood) that delivers the next generation of cost curves will return to normal levels, develop more advanced technology than the 5 nanometer challenges remain, "we face a lot of problems", the good news is, engineer does not lack the power to solve these problems, "If you cannot come up with a solution, the entire electronics industry will completely shut down".
博通董事长：摩尔定律已不再能降低芯片价格 - 摩尔定律,芯片价格 - IT资讯博通董事长：摩尔定律已不再能降低芯片价格
博通董事长兼首席技术官亨利·萨缪里(Henry Samueli)日前表示，摩尔定律不会再使芯片价格缩水。
根据摩尔定律，在芯片上集成更多晶体管将使芯片尺寸更小、处理器速度更快、价格更低，利用每块晶圆生产更多的芯片将降低每个晶体管的成本。英特尔联合创始人戈登·摩尔(Gordon Moore)1960年代提出了摩尔定律。
萨缪里说，使摩尔定律继续有效要求复杂的制造工艺，高昂的成本超过了由此带来的成本节约。在更高的速度、更低的能耗和更低的成本这三个因素中，芯片厂商只能选择其中的两个。
萨缪里提到了高K金属栅极和FinFET(鳍式场效晶体管)，明年市场上最先进的生产工艺将达到14纳米，这就要求芯片厂商开发出不同于传统制造工艺的先进工艺。晶体管密度越高，芯片成本就越高。
萨缪里指出，制造工艺还有提升空间，但将在约15年后达到极限。三代之后的芯片将采用5纳米工艺，每个晶体管栅极的尺寸仅为10个原子大小。进一步缩小晶体管将是不可能的，“厂商不可能制造出一个原子大小的晶体管，迄今为止，我们还没有发现能取代CMOS(互补金属氧化物晶体管)的技术”。
萨缪里称，消费电子产品需要更新的芯片技术延长电池续航时间，成本不断下跌的游戏不可能无限继续下去，“我们已经习惯了消费电子产品价格因芯片制造工艺的进步而不断下跌，我们必须学会适应价格下跌趋势放缓的局面”。
萨缪里表示，即使这意味着消费者升级智能手机的速度会放慢，对设备厂商而言也未必是坏事。推迟一年时间升级智能手机的用户会发现可以购买其他产品，例如智能手表。
市场研究公司Insight64首席分析师纳森·布鲁克伍德(Nathan Brookwood)表示，下一代处理器的成本曲线将恢复到正常水平，开发比5纳米更先进工艺的挑战仍然存在，“我们面临许多问题”，好消息是，工程师不缺乏解决这些问题的动力，“如果拿不出解决方案，整个电子产业将会彻底停摆”。
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