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published in(发表于) 2013/12/18 10:08:22
The Academy released housing green paper, Beijing rent index even rose 55 months

Beijing Academy of social science publishing house green paper even rent index up 55 | month | CASS | housing rents _ news

Today, the financial strategy Research Institute of CASS and the social sciences documentation publishing house published "the housing green paper"--China's housing development report (2013-2014).


The housing green paper notes that most of China's urban economic growth prospects, so Chinese urban home prices overall crash behavior does not occur. Moreover, in the short term, China's mainland cities will still render a faster rise in the housing market. In addition, by September of this year, Beijing's housing rental index has even risen 55 months, 54% of disposable income of renters to rent.


The green paper pointed out that the 2012-2013, one or two lines of urban House prices to rise relatively quickly, structural differentiation occurred three or four tiers.


  Below 90 square meters of housing


  Home


Rapid rise in housing prices in Chinese cities, but similar cities with the world trends are basically the same. April to October 2012, housing prices in Chinese cities showed a rising trend. By September 2013, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen 4 tier prices rose over 20%.


Demand from the housing structure, and below 90 square meters of housing price growth rate is higher than 90 to 144 square meters of housing price growth rate, 90 square meters and below mostly homeowners purchase of housing for first-time home buyers, indicating that demand-driven housing prices are more pronounced.


Second-tier city housing more serious polarization in September 2013, 31 second tier cities, newly built commercial housing prices are rising trends, growth rates as low as 1.1%, Haikou, Xiamen 16.5% up to.


Urban property prices growth in three or four lines at a slower structures show signs of differentiation. Judging from the third-tier cities in 70 medium and large cities in September 2013, newly built commercial housing sales price in addition to 1.8% a decrease occurs in Wenzhou, the other 34 cities showed a rising trend. In General, three or four tier stocks higher, housing prices in some cities show signs of decline.


The green paper pointed out that the 2012-2013, China's rising home prices in big cities by a tentative slow, and gradually evolved into a surge in panic. Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, 4 cities, house prices rose leads the nation.


  Homeowners fear market


  Boost House prices


2009 late surge in the last round of house prices have a large speculative component are different, this round of price rises mainly from panic driven market demand. The price surge was mainly big cities, these cities have adopted the housing restriction policies, speculative buyers are maximum extrusion, become the subject of purchase demand and improve sexual abusers. Against the secondary sale of tax policies for high activity in the secondary market declined, the contradiction between supply and demand of housing in big cities.


By September 2013, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen 4 tier prices rose over 20%, taking into account the sale of contract splitting, contract data distortion phenomenon of yin and Yang, Beijing and other cities the majority of real property prices rose above 50%.


At the same time, some three or four cities or towns while prices have risen, but the housing market has been a significant glut.


The housing green paper notes that rapid rise in housing rents and rents rising sharply over the prices. By September 2013, national rent index had achieved 45 months in a row, with Beijing up 55 months, winning run of 51 months in Guangzhou, Shenzhen's winning run of 54 months, Shanghai's winning run of 39 months. Highest rents per square metre of 32 cities across the country followed by Beijing, Shanghai, Nanjing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen.


  Beijing renters


  Pay the rent income 54%


Found the housing green paper, significantly increases the burden of rental, rent share of household disposable income reached a higher level. Measured from the rental income than rental burden, rent a larger burden overall. First-tier cities rental burden indicators (rental income) is very high, overall rental burden Max. City, rental expenditure as a percentage of revenues the highest in Beijing, Nanjing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Urumqi, households for every 1 dollar of disposable income, expenditures for rental of 0.54 Yuan, respectively, 0.51 0.51 Yuan Yuan, 0.50, 0.46 Yuan. Apart from Shanghai, rental spending half or more of the total disposable income.


The housing green paper found that the rental burden increases, is the result of revenue growth and a shortage of housing supply. Thus rental burden city, generally have two characteristics, namely, income levels are higher and lower per capita housing area.


The housing green paper considers outsider population proportion of the urban population of the city may actually be more than 30%. 2012 the end of urban population was 712 million, the national population was 236 million, of which 163 million peasant workers, mainly into the floating population is economically developed coastal areas in the city.


  Living space of peasant-workers


  3 to 10 square meters


Main features of the cities ' population living there are several.


First, small living area. Some government departments and research institutions to the migrant population living conditions survey showed that per capita living space of urban peasant workers is generally 3 to 10 square metres, and different in different cities there are large differences between the scope of the investigation. According to five General and six General statistics, 2000 urban households per capita housing area is 21.81 square meters, the area has reached 29.15 square meters per capita in 2010.


Second, much less living space of urban floating population in addition to urban families, residential facilities, and urban residents have a wide gap between the levels of health.


Three cities ' population living in suburban, urban suburbs and villages in cities, relying on the social network aggregation.


Four listings in various forms, to provide accommodation and rental units are common and housing mobility, the lack of adequate protection.


Our reporter Li Li


(Original title: rent half of their annual income to pay the rent)

December 18, 2013 Beijing evening news
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社科院发布住房绿皮书 北京房租指数连涨55月|社科院|住房|租金_新闻资讯

  今天,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院和社会科学文献出版社共同发布“住房绿皮书”——《中国住房发展报告(2013-2014)》。


  《住房绿皮书》指出,中国大多数城市经济增长前景看好,因而中国城市房价不会出现整体崩盘现象。而且,在短期之内,我国内地一线城市的住房市场仍将呈现较快的上涨。另外,截至今年9月,北京的住房租金指数已连涨55个月,租房者可支配收入的54%用于房租。


  绿皮书指出,2012至2013年,一、二线城市房价上涨较快,三、四线城市出现结构分化。


  90平方米以下住房


  自住多


  中国一线城市住房价格快速上涨,但与世界同类城市房价变动趋势基本一致。2012年10月到2013年9月,中国一线城市住房价格呈现不断上涨趋势。到2013年9月,北京、上海、广州、深圳4个一线城市房价同比涨幅均在20%以上。


  从住房需求结构来看,90平方米及以下住房价格增速均超过90至144平方米住房销售价格增速,90平方米及以下住房以首次置业的自住者购买居多,表明自住型需求带动住房价格上涨更加明显。


  二线城市房价两极分化较为严重,2013年9月,31个二线城市中,新建商品住房价格均为上涨趋势,增速最低为海口1.1%,最高为厦门16.5%。


  三、四线城市房价整体增速较缓,结构出现分化迹象。从70个大中型城市中的三线城市来看,2013年9月新建商品住房销售价格除了温州出现1.8%的跌幅外,其余34个城市均呈现上涨态势。从总体来看,三、四线城市库存增加较多,部分城市房价出现下跌的迹象。


  绿皮书指出,2012至2013年,中国大城市房价由试探性的缓慢上涨,逐步演变为恐慌性的暴涨。北京、上海、广州、深圳4个一线城市,房价涨幅领跑全国。


  自住者恐慌入市


  助推房价


  与2009年末上一轮房价暴涨有较大投机成分不同,本轮房价上涨主要由自住型需求的恐慌性入市所推动。本轮价格暴涨的主要是大城市,这些城市都实行了住房限购政策,投机性购房者被最大限度挤出,首次和改善性需求者成为购房的主体。针对二手房出售的高税收政策使二手房市场的活跃程度下降,加剧了大城市住房供求矛盾。


  到2013年9月,北京、上海、广州、深圳4个一线城市房价同比涨幅均在20%以上,考虑到因售房合同拆分、阴阳合同等现象带来的数据失真,北京等一线城市多数楼盘的实际价格同比涨幅在50%以上。


  同时,不少三、四线城市或中小城市虽然房价有所上涨,但住房市场已经出现显著滞销现象。


  《住房绿皮书》指出,住房租金持续快速上涨,租金涨速超过物价。至2013年9月,全国租金指数已经实现连续45个月上涨,其中北京连涨55个月,广州连涨51个月,深圳连涨54个月,上海连涨39个月。全国32个大中城市中每平方米租金水平最高的依次是北京、深圳、上海、南京、广州。


  北京租房者


  收入54%交房租


  《住房绿皮书》发现,租房负担显著增大,租金占家庭可支配收入的比重达到较高水平。从以租金收入比度量的租房负担看,租房负担总体较大。一线城市租房负担指数(租金收入比)大都很高,总体租房负担最大。分城市看,租金支出占收入比例最高的北京、南京、深圳、乌鲁木齐、上海,居民家庭平均每1元可支配收入中,用于租金的支出分别为0.54元、0.51元、0.51元、0.50元、0.46元。除上海外,租金支出都占可支配收入的一半或以上。


  《住房绿皮书》认为,租房负担增大,是收入增长和住房供给紧缺的共同结果。因而租房负担重的城市,一般都具有两个特征,即收入水平较高,同时人均住房面积较低。


  《住房绿皮书》认为,城市外来人口占城市人口比重实际上可能超过三成。2012年底全国城镇人口为7.12亿,全国流动人口为2.36亿,其中农民工1.63亿,流动人口的主要流入地是经济发达的东部沿海地区城市。


  农民工人均居住面积


  3至10平方米


  城市外来人口居住的主要特点有如下几个方面。


  一是居住面积小。一些政府部门和研究机构对外来人口的居住状况调查显示,城市农民工人均居住面积一般在3至10平方米,不同城市和不同的调查范围之间存在较大差异。而根据五普和六普的统计数据,2000年城市家庭人均住房面积为21.81平方米,2010年的人均面积已经达到29.15平方米。


  二是城市外来人口除了人均居住面积远远小于城市家庭外,居住设施和卫生水平也与城市居民有较大差距。


  三是城市外来人口多住在城乡结合部、城市郊区和城中村,多依托社会网络形成聚集。


  四是房源形式多样,以个人租住和单位提供住宿较为常见,住房流动性强,缺乏足够的保障。


  本报记者 李莉


(原标题:租房者一半收入交了房租)


2013年12月18日14:59
北京晚报
)


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