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published in(发表于) 2013/12/22 18:50:29
CASS expert responses to “trend of terrorist activities in Xinjiang grew，“ says

Xinhuanet, Beijing, December 21 (reporter Lei Dongrui)-2013, many changes in the relationship between China and the surrounding, especially in the Diaoyu Islands dispute, Philip Scarborough confrontations in protracted situations, relations between China and its neighboring countries the focus of concern.

On December 18, Xinhua, held the fourth "talks about the world" seminar on international issues, China and its neighboring countries, especially in North-East Asia security situation, the participating experts discuss hot topics such as maritime dispute, security issues in Western China is rarely attained.

"I was probably the only talks to the security strategy of Western China in 2014, if disjointed, to apologize. "At the beginning of my statement, Academy of social sciences, global strategy expert ye hailin International said.

Ye hailin is topic of the post-2014 security strategy in Western China. In his view, is the biggest difference between Eastern and Western China security issues is the problem of autonomy in the West is stronger. On one hand, including Afghanistan, Pakistan, Western China States its dominant and independence has grown enormously, and increasingly able to influence the Affairs of this region. The other hand, the United States global leadership has declined markedly. "This was to a large extent, leaving the framework and perspective of the countries of the region to tackle the problem. ”

On February 22, 2013, the United States Defense Minister Leon Panetta announced US troops from Afghanistan withdrawal timetable, the United States determined in April 2014 in Afghanistan held general elections after withdrawal of all combat troops. Ye hailin says, "9? 11 "after ten years, China has been in cooperation with these problems as a prerequisite of consideration, and now with the United States on Afghanistan troop withdrawal, this premise no longer exists.

"In 2014, the Afghanistan situation changed later, what impact on the Chinese Western security, we have figured out this problem from a national security perspective. Actually, 2014 in Western China after the security situation will become more complex. "Ye hailin says.

Afghanistan problem is closely related to problems in Xinjiang in China. On October 28, the "East games" behind the terrorist attacks in Tiananmen Square, was deeply felt by the public security situation in Western China is critical. Live audience put questions to the ye hailin, now the Central Government, and pledged to various provinces and cities are very large, dramatic changes have also occurred in Xinjiang, why terrorist activities threatening grows? When it was first founded, very difficult conditions, but at the time seemed not so much terrorist activity. So, what is our policy out of the question? Or some other problem?

Ye hailin believes that money does not solve the problem in Xinjiang. "Our policy is logical, issue is classified as a poor and backward areas in Xinjiang issue, poverty as long as the issue is resolved, other issues can be solved. Frankly speaking, in Xinjiang are not the poorest, even worse than economy in Xinjiang, Guizhou province. So the logic is not true. Now we have real problems, not including Qian Miping Xinjiang's development gap with the Mainland, we did the second way? We have attempted a second approach? This is a key issue. ”

In addition, ye hailin also believes that the Government invest enough in terms of identity. "At present, the Government adhere to the regional autonomy policy, adhere to the multicultural, insistence on respect for a variety of cultural values, but China did agree with putting the same amount of power? If one country's national policy only diversity, does not speak agree that sooner or later you'll encounter lots of issues, serious issues like Northern Ireland. We have to see the national identity of the ultimate objective of the policy is unification, rather than differences in identity. ”

　　新华网北京12月21日电(记者 雷东瑞)2013年，中国与周边关系发生很多变化，特别是在中日钓鱼岛争端、中菲黄岩岛对峙等问题久拖不决的情况下，中国与周边国家关系成为令人关注的焦点。

　　在12月18日召开的新华网第四届“纵论天下”国际问题研讨会上，中国与周边国家，尤其是东北亚安全局势、海上争端等成为参会专家谈论的热点话题，中国西部安全问题则很少有人问津。

　　“我可能是唯一会谈到2014年中国西部安全战略，如果有所脱节，向大家道歉。” 在开始发言前，社科院全球战略院国际问题专家叶海林说。

　　叶海林发言的题目是《后2014的中国西部安全战略》。他认为，中国西部安全问题和东部问题的最大区别是西部问题的自主性更强。一方面，包括阿富汗、巴基斯坦在内的中国西部国家其主导性和独立性明显增强，越来越能够影响本地区的事务。另一方面，美国全球领导力却在明显下降。“这在很大程度上，把问题留给该地区国家的框架和视角去解决问题。”

　　2013年2月22日，美国防长帕内塔公布美军从阿富汗撤军时间表，美方已确定在2014年4月在阿富汗举行大选后撤离全部作战部队。叶海林认为，“9？11”之后的十年，中国一直把这些问题作为中美合作的一个前提去考量，而现在随着美国在阿富汗的撤军，这个前提已经不存在了。

　　“2014年，阿富汗局势发生变化以后，会对中国的西部安全造成怎样影响，我们必须从国家安全角度把这个问题想清楚。实际上是，后2014中国西部安全局势会变得更加复杂。”叶海林说。

　　阿富汗问题与中国新疆问题息息相关。10月28日，“东伊运”幕后策划的天安门恐怖袭击事件，让民众深切感到中国西部安全局势的严峻。现场一位观众向叶海林发问，现在中央以及各省市援疆力度非常大，新疆也发生了很大变化，可为什么恐怖活动之势却渐长？当初刚建国之时，条件非常艰苦，但当时却好像没有这么多恐怖活动。那到底是我们的政策出了问题？还是其他方面出了问题呢？

　　叶海林认为，钱并不能完全解决新疆问题。“我们的政策逻辑是，把新疆问题划定为是一个贫穷落后地区的问题，只要贫穷问题解决，其他问题就能解决。坦率讲，新疆不是最穷的，贵州比新疆经济还差。所以这个逻辑不成立。现在我们真正问题，除了用钱弥平新疆与内地发展差距以外，我们有没有第二个办法？我们有没有尝试第二个办法？这是一个关键问题。”

　　另外，叶海林还认为，政府在身份认同方面上投入不够。“目前，政府坚持民族区域自治政策，坚持多元文化，坚持尊重各种各样的文化价值，但在坚持中国认同方面有没有投入同样的力量呢？如果一个国家的民族政策只讲多元，不讲认同，那早晚会出现很多问题，严重的像北爱尔兰问题。我们要看到民族政策终极目标是身份的统一，而不是身份的差异。”

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