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published in(发表于) 2016/11/23 4:36:43
Academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: Internet market, must get out of “fragmentation“

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Academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: Internet market, must get out of "fragmentation"-IT information

Starting from this year, the development of the Internet there are several new, these new Internet market will bring new opportunities.

The Chinese Academy of engineering academician Wu hequan

First is the emergence of the international standards for narrowband Internet . 60% is a low-speed Internet in the Internet of things, this part of the Internet based on fiber-optic and mobile communication, high cost is not economic, it is difficult to develop for the Internet of things important reasons. International standards of narrow-band Internet was born, to the development of the Internet provides a more economical networking option. In June this year in Korea Busan 3GPP meeting, NB-IoT narrow-band Internet standards were agreed to.

Followed by the 5G combine the depth of Internet and mobile Internet, Internet of things become 5G one of the main scenarios. 5G design can be done 1 sq km supports 1 million Internet terminals, 5G application will greatly expand Internet, promote networking and depth of integration of mobile Internet.

Third is the industry Internet and the advancement of the Chinese manufacture 2025 strategy , will contribute to Internet penetration to all trades, as the transformation of traditional enterprise provides the means, applications and wider, greater economic value.

Finally, telematics will be one of the largest driving forces of Internet of things . Car itself is the Internet of nodes, Internet is redefining car, a good car will have hundreds of sensors. Self-driving car is Internet, mobile Internet, cloud computing and data technologies with the concentrated reflection of advanced automotive technologies. Industry forecasts, the size of the 2020 global connectivity is expected to exceed 100 billion euros, China will account for 1/3.

Fifth is the Internet of things begin to enter the era of enterprises as the main body of the application. A few years ago, not too many large enterprises to enter the Internet of things all over the world. Huge corporations have entered the field of Internet, Google for $3.2 billion to buy a smoke sensor company, entered the field of Internet of things in a high profile. Now, Huawei, ZTE, China electric power Research Association, digital as well as three major telecommunications operators such as the smart city as the main strategic direction of the group, the Internet as a business, as the main direction of the Internet industry. Baidu, Alibaba group, Tencent, the Internet giant has also been actively involved in smart city-building, focus on Internet applications.

But is in need of attention, the current large-scale development of Internet marketing and product coexistence of fragmentation, to drive fragmentation of markets to large-scale development, need to pay Government or to the service of development.

McKinsey and company in 2013 and put things in the next 20 years one of the 12 disruptive technologies, estimated that by 2025 the world's annual economic impact of the Internet will reach $6.2 trillion. But all walks of life demand for networking products is different, most of the sensors at the start of dealing with minority customers or long tail market, since for a long time there is fragmentation of standards and application of Internet of things, which restrict the play of scale effect of Internet of things products. No scale, prices to decline, which in turn affects the promotion. To solve these challenges, the Government foot the Bill or buy a service mode will play an essential role in promoting.

Meanwhile, China to promote cloud computing, big data, "Internet +" 2025, China manufacturing, smart city projects and strategies, are Internet-related, how collaboration with the sector and regional advantages and jointly promote the development of the Internet there is still a lot of work to do.

In short, in addition to high-end sensors, industrial technology, industrial identification of Internet standardization, wireless sensor networks, frequency coordination, Internet management, Internet data and privacy protection, in technical, management and regulatory issues need attention, such as short and targeted solutions.


中国工程院院士:物联网市场发展,必须走出“碎片化” - IT资讯

从今年开始,物联网发展有几个新气象,这几个新气象将给物联网市场带来新机遇。

中国工程院院士邬贺铨

首先是国际窄带物联网标准的诞生。物联网中60%是低速互联,这部分互联采用光纤和移动通信,成本高也不经济,这也是物联网难以发展的重要原因。国际窄带物联网标准的诞生,给物联网发展提供了更经济的网络选择。今年6月份在韩国釜山3GPP会议上,窄带物联网标准NB-IoT获得通过。

其次是5G促进了物联网与移动互联网深度结合,物联网成为5G主要应用场景之一。5G设计可做到1平方公里支持100万个物联网终端,5G将大大扩展物联网的应用,促进物联网和移动互联网深度融合。

第三是产业互联网与《中国制造2025》战略的推进,将推动互联网渗透到各行业,为传统企业的改造转型提供手段,应用领域更宽,经济价值更大。

第四是车联网将成为物联网最大的驱动力之一。汽车本身就是物联网的节点,物联网正重新定义汽车,一部好的汽车会有上百个传感器。自动驾驶汽车是物联网、移动互联网、云计算和大数据技术与先进汽车技术融合的集中体现。业界预测,2020年全球车联网有望突破1000亿欧元的规模,中国将占1/3。

第五是物联网开始进入企业为主体的应用时代。前几年,全世界都没有太多大企业进入物联网。现在大企业纷纷进入物联网领域,谷歌以32亿美元收购一家烟雾传感器企业,高调进入物联网领域。现在华为、中兴、中国电科、联想、神州数码以及三大电信运营商等将智慧城市作为集团的主要战略方向,把物联网作为业务增长点,把产业互联网作为主攻方向。百度、阿里巴巴、腾讯等互联网巨头也积极参与智慧城市建设,关注物联网的应用。

但需要注意的是,当前物联网市场的大规模发展与产品碎片化并存,要想驱动碎片化市场向规模化发展,需要政府买单或向服务化发展。

麦肯锡公司曾在2013年将物联网列为未来20年的12项颠覆性技术之一,预计到2025年全球物联网的年度经济影响将达到6.2万亿美元。但各行各业对物联网产品的需求是不同的,大多数传感器产品开始时面对的是小众客户或长尾市场,很长时间以来物联网存在标准与应用的碎片化现象,这就制约了物联网产品规模化效应的发挥。产品没有规模,价格就难以下降,反过来又影响到推广。要破解这些难题,政府买单或买服务的模式会起很大的推动作用。

与此同时,中国推动的云计算、大数据、“互联网+”、中国制造2025、智慧城市等项目和战略,都与物联网有关,如何协同各部门和各地区的优势,共同推动物联网发展仍有不少工作要做。

总之,除了高端传感器,工业总线技术、工业互联网的标识标准化、无线传感网的频率协调问题、物联网管理、物联网数据开放利用与隐私保护等,涉及技术、管理与法规等问题都需要重视短板并进行针对性解决。






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