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published in(发表于) 2016/12/9 9:05:53
Wired: smartphones will not go away,

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Wired: smartphones will not disappear-line smart phones-IT news

The Wired Web site author David pears (d а Vid Pierce) published an article saying, all kinds of electronics manufacturers have tried to create a product to replace the smart phone, but this is unrealistic. Industry should not go looking for Smartphone killer, and should be thinking about how to give smart phones add to create truly useful product.

The following is the main content of the article:

5-inch mobile phone in your Pocket can be said to be an essential part of your daily life, it almost anything. It is usurper, so almost everything becomes obsolete, from newspapers to music player, then to people in real life interaction. People embrace smart phone faster than any other device of all time, which created a is expected to be in the next four years, more than 6 billion people in the trillion-dollar level.

However, someone dare ask, "what's next? ”

Smart watch manufacturer, light bulb company, headset manufacturers and many other tech people have asked this question. They are trying to find the next blockbuster product and want to know smart phone finally go away, the world will be like. Some people bet that the Internet of things so the whole world is surrounded by computers, making the device in your Pocket becomes the meaning of existence. Some people believe that the future lies in your physical computer, or computers within your body. We are at the stage of feeling the stones across the River, is looking for iPhone (or Pixel) killer.

However, the point is: smart phones will not go away.

This would never happen in the short term. Smart phones now and in the future will be the central part of the new wheels, the Sun in the universe ... ... The problem is that people are asking the wrong question. The right question is, since everyone has a Smartphone on the planet, we can also do what crazy new gadgets?

Two ideas

Here are two opposing ideas from looking at this issue: Smartphone killer, and Smartphone additions. I've been testing two headphone products embody the two ideas very well. One is the Chinese company Vinci to build a smart headset. In addition to playing music, Vinci headset also supports 32GB of storage and 3G connection. No cell phone, you will be able to play and store music. The product can measure your heart rate and steps, and also allows you to control the headset by voice. In addition, the left ear cup on a giant touch screen so that you can slide to control music, and also allow you to view the data.

On paper, this does not sound like a crazy concept. But Vinci is a crazy concept. Not saying it will carry Android system, and it is very heavy and difficult to wear. Vinci is essentially to a functionally obsolete phone caught in your skull. Vinci Voice speech operating system OS is unable to Siri and compare Google g о о GLE Assistant, the entire interface is very clunky and slow. Its touchscreen is also very poor, tried several times to enter WiFi password made up of 8 letters – by the way, it is maddening, the headset must be connected to a WiFi network, or insert a SIM card and can come in handy. Of course, the Vinci copied a lot of functionality on a mobile phone, but I can guarantee that you will be more willing to do those things on your cell phone.

Next for Bragi's new headphones The Headphone. The Bluetooth headset is running very smoothly, wearing experience are also quite good. Intelligent headset should do what it did, and Smartphones can't: overlay real-world sounds, and digital sound, Siri supports hands-free access, click on the right button to change the song twice. It does not attempt to redesign Spotify or trying to help you order flowers.

Vinci-Bragi has had similar ambitions, on its products (headphone-based computer) provides internal storage, motion tracking and other functions. You can learn to Bragi gesture makes people crazy, put up with it problems, you can do a lot of things on it. But the whole experience is so complicated, annoying, the headset is also a mess. The Headphone is simple by comparison, can bring great Bluetooth connectivity, subtly bring added to your phone, rather than a replacement. Its position is similar to Apple Here Ones of the AirPods and Doppler. All of these devices depends on your mobile phone to access Internet, voice aid and most of the interface. By contrast, Vinci and don't care if your phone is in your pocket, or in other places.

Of course, this is its main selling point. Vinci on raised platforms on the Kickstarter page says, "Vinci is a separate device, so you don't need to link or look for your mobile phone. When jogging, traveling or commuting, you will not be subject to any constraints. "Some of the new devices use this as a selling point. Samsung support LTE network Gear s especially Smart Watch: it's brand slogan is "let your cell phone at home." Wear the Gear s, you will be able to pick up the phone and send text messages, to enter information on the full size keyboard. You no longer need to pick up your phone.

It is simply wishful thinking. In addition, it is no problem to find problems to solve. No one will want to leave your phone at home. People are very afraid of cell phones is not at hand, this phenomenon even has a name: no phone anxiety. Studies have found that people view the phone number an average of 150 times a day. Another study found that 71% of mobile phone users put the phone to sleep in one arm away. Forcing yourself to a day or two without cell phones, is considered to be a spiritual cleansing, even a psychological treatment. You could argue that people shouldn't have to rely on mobile phone so, but it is what it is. People want to spend less time on the phone, but nobody endorsed let smartphones get out of our lives.

The crux of the

Thinking about present situation of technology industry perspective is that Smartphone great success has created an equally energetic industry: smart-phone components. "The sensors have been commercialized. "Well-known venture capitalists bennidikete·aiwensi (Benedict Evans)," manufacture of the iPhone among 200 different vendors and 800 different plant. All components are commoditized. "The only thing more ubiquitous than the Smartphone itself is components required to manufacture them, which prompted the component prices have fallen to near zero. Therefore, any person who is not yet mature concept of networked devices can go to any electronic equipment market in Shenzhen, buy needed any sensor, camera, processor, and radio parts. "Anyone can make a camera," Evans said, "that isn't worth mentioning. The key is, how do you make it work? ”

That's the problem. Lost iPhone the fastest way is to try and replace the iPhone. Method of making a useful thing is to create some new stuff, on some Smartphones do not have access to the experience of something better. For those who need notification or to quickly view the information, Smart Watch works great. Snap eyeglasses help people remove photos from trouble. The best "smart" TVs supports Chromecast and Airplay, so you can control TV through mobile phones. Virtual reality based on mobile phone also has a lot of potential, augmented reality systems like Project Tango. There will be more products like this in the future, many cannot imagine. They all got one thing in common: they are not trying to replace cell phones, can make the phone better.

This is the Gospel for all device manufacturers. Soon, the world will have up to 6 billion people have mobile phones, ID also has network connectivity, security, electronic payment, microphone, and camera. You don't have to make those things! Instead of trying to replace cell phones, you may as well use our cell phones to make our lives more enjoyable.


《连线》:智能手机不会消失 - 连线,智能手机 - IT资讯

《连线》网站撰稿人大卫·皮尔斯(DАVid Pierce)发表文章称,各类电子产品厂商纷纷在尝试打造产品来取代智能手机,但这是不切实际的。业界不应去寻找智能手机杀手,而应该思考如何给智能手机带来补充,打造真正实用的产品。

以下是文章主要内容:

你口袋中的那台5英寸手机如今可以说是你日常生活中不可或缺的一部分,它几乎无所不能。它就像是篡夺者,让几乎一切都变得过时,从报纸到音乐播放器,再到人在现实生活中的互动。人们拥抱智能手机的速度要快于有史以来任何其它的设备,进而造就了一个预计将在未来四年触及逾60亿人的万亿美元级别行业。

不过,有人敢问,“下一个会是什么?”

智能手表制造商、灯泡公司、耳机厂商以及科技行业的众多其他人都有问这个问题。他们都在试图找到下一个重磅产品,都想要知道智能手机最终离我们而去之时世界会是什么样的。有的人在押注物联网让整个世界都被计算机所围绕,使得你口袋中的那个设备变得没有存在的意义。有的人则认为未来在于你身体上的计算机,又或者你身体内的计算机。大家都处在摸石头过河的阶段,都在寻找iPhone(又或者Pixel)杀手。

然而,要指出的是:智能手机不会消失。

短期内这绝不会发生。智能手机如今和未来都仍将会是新车轮的中心部分,宇宙中的太阳……问题在于,人们都在问错误的问题。正确的问题是,既然地球上的每一个人都有智能手机,那我们还可以做出些什么疯狂的新玩意呢?

两种观念

不妨从两个相互对立的观念来看待这一问题:智能手机杀手和智能手机补充品。我最近测试的两款耳机产品很好地体现了这两个观念。其中一个是中国公司Vinci打造的一款智能耳机。除了播放音乐之外,Vinci耳机还支持32GB的存储和3G连接。无需手机,你就能够播放和存储音乐。该产品可以测量你的心率和步数,也可以让你通过语音来控制耳机。此外,左耳杯上的巨型触控屏让你可以通过滑动来控制音乐,也方便你查看数据。

从账面上来看,这听起来并不像是个疯狂的概念。但Vinci绝对是疯狂的概念。不说它搭载的Android系统,以及它非常笨重,难以佩戴的事实。Vinci实质上是要将一台功能过时的手机夹在你的头骨上。Vinci Voice OS语音操作系统无法跟Siri和谷歌Gооgle Assistant相提并论,整个界面非常笨重,且运行缓慢。其触控屏也十分糟糕,要尝试好几次才能输入由8个字母组成的WiFi密码——顺便提一下,令人抓狂的一点是,该款耳机必须要连接到WiFi网络,或者插入SIM卡,才能派上用场。当然,Vinci复制了很多手机上的功能,但我可以保证你会更愿意在你的手机上做那些事情。

接着来说下Bragi的新款耳机The Headphone。该款蓝牙耳机的运行非常顺畅,佩戴体验也相当出色。智能耳机应该做的事情它都做了,且能智能手机所不能:叠加现实世界的声音和数字声音,支持免手访问Siri,点击两下右耳塞的按钮就能更换歌曲。它并没有试图去重新设计Spotify,也没有试图去帮你订购鲜花。

Bragi曾经也有类似于Vinci的雄心,它的上一款产品(基于耳机的计算机)提供内部存储、运动追踪等功能。你可以学习Bragi让人抓狂的手势,忍受它的毛病,可以在它上面做很多的事情。但整个体验太过复杂,让人讨厌,耳机本身也一团糟。The Headphone相比之下较为简单,能够带来出色的蓝牙连接功能,巧妙地给你的手机带来补充,而不是取而代之。它的定位类似于苹果的AirPods和Doppler的Here Ones。所有的这些设备都依靠你的手机来访问网络、语音助手和大多数的界面。相比之下,Vinci并不在乎你的手机是在你的口袋里,还是在别的地方。

当然,这是它的主要卖点。Vinci在众筹平台Kickstarter上的页面介绍道,“Vinci是一款独立的设备,因此你不需要去连接或者寻找你的手机。在慢跑、旅行或者通勤的时候,你将不会受到任何的束缚。”很多新设备都以此作为卖点。三星支持LTE网络的Gear S智能手表尤其如此:它的品牌口号是“让你的手机留在家就好”。戴上Gear S,你就能够接电话和发短信,能够在全尺寸键盘上输入信息。你不再需要拿起你的手机了。

那简直是痴人说梦。此外,那是没问题找问题来解决。没有人会想要将手机留在家里。人们非常害怕手机没有带在身边,这种现象甚至已经有了名号:无手机焦虑症。有研究发现,人们每天查看手机的次数平均达到150次。另有研究发现,71%的手机用户睡觉时将手机放在一臂之隔处。强迫自己一两天不用手机,被认为是一种心灵净化,甚至是一种心理治疗。你可以争辩人们不该对手机如此地依赖,但事实就是如此。人们想要少花时间在手机上,但没有人会赞同让智能手机滚出我们的生活。

问题的关键

思考科技行业现状的一个角度是,智能手机巨大的成功造就了一个同样充满活力的行业:智能手机元件。“传感器已经商品化。”知名风险投资者本尼迪克特·埃文斯(Benedict Evans)指出,“iPhone的制造涉及200家不同的供应商和800家不同的工厂。所有的元件都商品化了。”唯一比智能手机本身更加无处不在的就是制造它们所需的元件,这促使元件的价格已经下降到几乎为零。因此,任何有尚不成熟的联网设备构想的人都可以前往任何的深圳电子器材集市,买所需要的任何传感器、摄像头、处理器和无线电部件。“任何人都可以去制造相机,”埃文斯说道,“那不值一提。关键在于,你要怎么使得它变得有用?”

那就是问题所在。败给iPhone最快捷的途径就是尝试取代iPhone。做出某种有用的东西的方法是,打造某种新的玩意,某种在智能手机上得不到更好体验的东西。对于需要通知提醒或者快速查看资讯的人来说,智能手表非常好用。Snap的眼镜可帮助人们免除拍照时的麻烦。最好的“智能”电视就是支持Chromecast和Airplay的、让你可以通过手机控制的电视。基于手机的虚拟现实也有着不小的潜力,像Project Tango这样的增强现实系统亦然。未来将会出现更多像这样的产品,很多还无法想象。它们都有一样共同点:它们没有试图去替代手机,能够让手机变得更好。

这对于所有的设备厂商来说是福音。不久之后,全球将有多达60亿人拥有手机,同时拥有网络连接、安全ID、电子支付、麦克风和摄像头。你不必去打造那些东西!与其尝试去替代手机,你还不如利用我们的手机来让我们的生活变得更加美好。





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