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published in(发表于) 2017/4/13 11:11:28
Who will be the first market break through the trillion-dollar mark by technology giant? ,

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Who will be the first market break through the trillion-dollar mark by technology giant? Apple, Microsoft, Google-IT information

Who will become the first break through the trillion-dollar company by market capitalization? This problem seems to be that investors and the media are one of my favourite pastimes. Microsoft, Apple and Google had once ranked the "most likely" top the list, however, is promising to be the Amazon recently.

Trillions of dollars what is a concept? This stunning 13 digits, enough to buy about 1.3 billion iPhone 7 Plus phone. According to the most recent share price shows that Apple's total market capitalisation of 744.664 billion dollars, but its historical record of 775 billion dollars gap. Yet, Apple seems to be closest to the trillions of target companies, but why not take the investors and observers are bullish on?

Biggest problem is considered to be "innovation capacity cannot keep up." AR/VR, cloud services, artificial intelligence, new direction, driven by biting times such as Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and constantly introducing new products and innovative technologies. In contrast, Apple, still gnawing at iPhone dividend capital stage, although occasionally spread into areas such as AR/VR, ATO, but still escaped criticism but fizzled.

In fact, Amazon's market value now is only a little more than half of the Apple, $428.7 billion, Barclays Bank, Amazon be trillion crowns the strongest contender. In the past year, Amazon's stock soared 48%, currently selling for over $902.

Investors unhappy about the Amazon last year's performance seems to be not its profit nearly three times, reached 2.4 billion dollars, sales of about 136 billion dollars, up 27% from a year earlier.

S&P Global Market Intelligence survey of 10 analysts are predicting Amazon will exceed 1000 dollar mark next year, 13 analysts ' target prices within a 5% gap and the $1000 mark.

Taking into account the shares of $1000 will be this year's expected earnings per share of about 140 times, it was a dizzying high projections. It is undeniable that Amazon never really influenced by traditional valuation standards of liability. According to FactSet data, in the past 10 years, its share price averaged about 117 times times its expected earnings per share.

Amazon's profit is expected to maintain strong growth on Wall Street, Amazon today has not entirely past that depends on the survival of small retail margins Amazon.?The company's fast-growing Internet services and other services to significantly improve its profit and cash flow situation. Morgan Stanley analysts expect Amazon's Gold membership services, advertising and credit card schemes brought about $9.3 billion to its revenue last year, this year's revenue to rise to about $12.7 billion total operating profit margins of about 70%. This is helpful for Amazon, because the company still needs the access to all the power.

If Amazon's share price continued rising over the past 12 months, its market value in two years time will be a staggering $1 trillion. However, it was not easy to maintain such a rapid growth. Amazon's stock is still needed at the current prices on the basis of 140%, only 13 digit value. Markets rarely so stable, investors rarely are so loyal, competitors rarely like this year after year, the lack of threat.

By 2027, analysts said Amazon could eventually reached about $91 billion in market value, a distance of 1 trillion still about 10%. But given the other competitor's value closer to this goal, Amazon is on the way to $1 trillion market capitalization will face fierce competition. To be topped, Amazon must beat the following companies:

1, Apple

Has been a much-favored Wall Street competitors. Apple is not only the largest of standard and poor's 500 companies, even Warren Buffett praise for this stock. His Berkshire Hathaway bought billions of dollars ' worth of Apple stock. Even Warren Buffett predicted that the Apple is likely to start breaking the $1 trillion mark in Berkshire. But to reach this figure, investors need to promote this technology to increase by more than 30%. Despite the confident investors pointed out that the highly anticipated iPhone 8, progress in the field of augmented reality, and Apple helped push the company to reach this figure, but generous share buy-back and dividend plans may slow down the process, because they could be used to develop attractive new products.

2, Google

Parent company Google Alphabet is a standard and poor's 500 index's second largest constituent stock, currently has a market value of $566.7 billion. The stock also soared by more than 70%, to reach $1 trillion. This means that Alphabet shares must be 1460 dollars. In the past year, the stock is up 11%.

3, Microsoft

Participation in this competition for war time much larger than the other competitors. The 42-year old company is far more than the Amazon market value of close to $1 trillion. Microsoft currently has a market value of $505.9 billion.

Previously, market analysts say that Microsoft has the potential to become the world's first US $1 trillion in market value of the enterprise. A big part of the reason is that Microsoft completed the acquisition of the well-known career social networking platform LinkedIn, which is the number of users is expected to reach 700 million people in 2020, which will inject substantial economic growth for Microsoft.

4、Facebook

Facebook currently has a market value of $403.2 billion. If you want to reach us $1 trillion, and shares of its $142 also requires increased by more than 140%. But its recent performance has sparked rumors: Facebook could become one of the first companies to achieve this goal. In the past year, the stock is up 23%.

5, Tesla

Elon-Thomas g of the Tesla company is a born black horse. Its name has market value of us $1 trillion market rumors among the competitors.

In fact, it is Mr tusk himself to promote the electric car company to join the fray. In order to convince investors that Tesla buying solar SolarCity is an astute, the Tesla CEO known for serial claims that combined company one day will reach us $1 trillion market capitalization. Of course, musk is clamouring for their own, but in the past when looking ahead to his own company's trajectory, his predictions tend to be very accurate. But it will be difficult to achieve a success: Tesla's current market capitalisation of us $49.7 billion, in order to achieve this goal, there is still a long way to go.

Of course, undeniable is that the technology bubble also exists, history never lies.

In 1999, Nokia launched the Internet, send and receive messages, so-called "smartphones", opens the imagination of the market, its share price more than the BP Amoco, a market value of $250 billion, as Europe's largest companies. But 1 year later, the dotcom bubble burst, the NASDAQ plunged, beginning a years-long recession.

Microsoft in 1999 brilliant heyday had a record $613 billion of market value. If you consider inflation factors, the figure of 874 billion dollars by 2014. But now Microsoft's market value has fallen to around $500 billion.

Who wants to dominate for 100 years, but the only constant innovation and Subversion itself, has introduced the consumer is willing to pay for the product to remain influential. But history shows that most of the big getting bigger after being huge bulk binds himself. Who will be the exception? We'll see.


谁将成为首家市值冲破万亿美元大关的科技巨头? - 苹果,微软,谷歌 - IT资讯

谁将成为首家市值冲破万亿美元的公司?这个问题似乎已经成为投资者和媒体们最喜欢的消遣之一。微软苹果谷歌曾经都一度排在这个“最可能”榜单的前列,不过,最近被人看好的是亚马逊。

万亿元美金是个什么概念?这个令人瞠目的13位数,足以购买约13亿部iPhone 7 Plus手机。根据最新的股价显示,苹果的总市值为7446.64亿美金,不过距离其历史纪录7750亿美金依然有差距。按理说,苹果看起来是最接近万亿目标的公司,却为什么不被投资人和观察人士看好?

最大的问题被认为是“创新能力跟不上”。在AR/VR、云业务、人工智能等新风向的推动下,谷歌微软亚马逊等紧咬时代步伐,不断推出新的产品和创新技术。反观苹果,依然停留在啃iPhone红利老本的阶段,虽然也不时传出涉足AR/VR、自动驾驶等领域,但依然逃不过雷声大雨点小的批评。

事实上,亚马逊现在的市值只有苹果的一半多一点,4287亿美元,但巴克莱银行认为,亚马逊才是万亿王冠最有力争夺者。在过去一年中,亚马逊的股价飙涨了48%,目前的股价超过902美元。

亚马逊去年的表现似乎无法令投资者不满,其利润增长近三倍,达到24亿美元,销售额约为1360亿美元,比上年增长了27%。

据S&P Global Market Intelligence的调查﹐10位分析师目前预测﹐亚马逊股价明年将突破1000美元的关口﹐另外13位分析师给出的目标价与1000美元关口的差距在5%以内。

考虑到1000美元的股价将是今年预期每股收益的约140倍﹐这实在是一个高得令人眩晕的预测。不可否认﹐亚马逊从未真正受到传统估值标准的负累。据FactSet数据﹐过去10年来﹐其股价平均为其预期每股收益的约117倍。

华尔街预计亚马逊的利润将保持强劲增长﹐今天的亚马逊已不完全是昔日那个苦苦依赖于微薄的零售利润率生存的亚马逊了。该公司快速增长的网上服务业务及其它服务已使其利润和现金流状况得到大幅改善。 摩根士丹利 分析师预计﹐亚马逊的金牌会员服务、广告和信用卡计划去年为其带来了约93亿美元收入﹐今年的收入将增长至约127亿美元﹐合计营运利润率约70%。这对亚马逊很有帮助﹐因为该公司仍需要其能获得的所有助力。

如果亚马逊的股价继续保持过去12个月的上涨速度,它的市值只需两年多一点的时间就将达到惊人的1万亿美元。然而,要维持如此迅猛的增速绝非易事。亚马逊股票仍然需要在目前的基础上飙涨140%,才能达到13位数市值。市场很少如此稳定,投资者很少如此忠诚,竞争对手也很少像这样年复一年地缺少威胁。

到2027年,分析师预测称,亚马逊最终可能达到约910亿美元的市值,距离1万亿仍然差大约10%。但鉴于其他竞争者的市值更加接近这个目标,亚马逊在通往1万亿美元市值的道路上必将面临残酷的竞争。要想拔得头筹,亚马逊必须得击败以下这几家公司:

1、苹果

一直是备受华尔街青睐的竞争者。苹果不仅是最大的标准普尔500指数成分股公司,就连沃伦-巴菲特也对这只股票赞不绝口。他的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司购买了价值数十亿美元的苹果股票。巴菲特甚至预测称,苹果很可能先于伯克希尔冲破1万亿美元大关。但要达到这个数字,投资者需要推动这只科技股再增长30%以上。尽管信心满满的投资者指出,备受期待的iPhone 8,以及苹果在增强现实领域的进展将助推该公司企及这个数字,但慷慨的股票回购和分红计划可能会减慢这一进程,因为这些资金原本可以用来开发有吸引力的新产品。

2、谷歌

谷歌的母公司Alphabet是标准普尔500指数第二大成分股,目前的市值为5667亿美元。这只股票还需要飙涨七成以上,才能抵达1万亿美元。这意味着,Alphabet的股价需要达到1460美元。在过去一年中,这只股票上涨了11%。

3、微软

参与这场竞逐战的时间远大于其他竞争者。这家42岁高龄的公司远比亚马逊更加接近1万亿美元市值。微软目前的市值为5059亿美元。

此前,市场分析师认为微软有可能成为世界上首家市值达到1万亿美元的企业。其中很大一部分原因是,微软完成了对知名职场社交平台LinkedIn的收购案,后者用户数量有望在2020年达到7亿人,这显然将为微软注入大量经济增长活力。

4、Facebook

Facebook目前的市值为4032亿美元。要想达到1万亿美元,其142美元的股价还需要增长超过140%。但它最近的表现引发了市场传闻:Facebook可能成为首批达到这一目标的公司之一。在过去一年,这只股票上涨了23%。

5、特斯拉

伊隆-马斯克的特斯拉公司是一匹横空出世的黑马。它的名字也跻身市场传闻的1万亿美元市值竞争者之列。

事实上,正是马斯克自己推动这家电动汽车公司加入战团。为了说服投资者相信特斯拉收购太阳能公司SolarCity是精明之举,这位以连续创业著称的特斯拉CEO声称,合并后的公司终有一日将达到1万亿美元市值。诚然,马斯克是在为自己摇旗呐喊,但过去在展望自家公司的发展轨迹时,他的预言往往非常准确。但这将是一个很难实现的成就:特斯拉目前的市值为497亿美元,要达到这个目标,还有非常长的路要走。

当然,不可否认的是,技术泡沫也同样存在,历史从来不说谎。

1999年时,诺基亚推出了能上网、收发邮件的所谓“智能手机”,一下子打开了市场的想象,令其股价一举超过了BP阿莫科,市值达到了2500亿美元,成为欧洲最大的公司。不过1年后,网络泡沫破灭,纳斯达克指数一路狂跌,开始了长达数年的衰退。

微软在1999年的鼎盛期也曾创下6130亿美元的辉煌市值。如果考虑通胀的因素,这个数字就相当于2014年的8740亿美元。但是现在微软市值已经跌到5000亿美元附近。

谁都想独领风骚一百年,但是唯有不断创新和颠覆自我、不断推出消费者愿意买单的产品才能保持江湖地位。可是历史证明,大部分的巨头在变大之后就被庞大的身躯束缚住了自己。谁会成为例外?我们拭目以待。





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